FanGraphs Baseball


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  1. Proofread please. There are ISOs aplenty, and not enough wOBAs

    Comment by AdamM — May 27, 2011 @ 2:06 pm

  2. I think AdamM is referring to this line:

    “Howie Kendrick, is on the DL until at least next weekend. He holds the team’s highest ISO by nearly 40 points, and has the second highest ISO, by a mere four points.”

    Comment by dustin — May 27, 2011 @ 2:06 pm

  3. Trumbo has two ISOs as well

    Comment by AdamM — May 27, 2011 @ 2:12 pm

  4. kendrick leads the league with 2 ISOs

    Comment by juan pierre's mustache — May 27, 2011 @ 2:19 pm

  5. Vernon Wells was supposed to be that guy in the line-up. He posted a .242 ISO last season. If he was productive earlier in the year, I bet the Angels would be fine. The lack of power is especially noticeable now with Howie and Wells out. The Angels are running line-ups out there with Bourjos, Abreu, Mathis, Amarista, Izturis, Aybar, and Callaspo all out there at the same time. Torii and Trumbo aren’t making up for that.

    If the Angels are competitive in July they are going to have to get a bat from somewhere.

    Comment by ppabich — May 27, 2011 @ 2:51 pm

  6. Whew, good thing Wells is coming back in a few weeks to solve all of this!

    Comment by Nate — May 27, 2011 @ 2:54 pm

  7. Where does RISP come into play? Or, better, is there a correlation between wOBA and RISP or wOBA and ISO? As an Angels’ fan, I have always said that the best way to get out of inning with the Angels at bat is to get a runner or two into scoring position; guaranteed out.

    Comment by Tom SInclair — May 27, 2011 @ 3:33 pm

  8. Don’t blame Peter Bourjos. After all, we all know that Peter Bourjos can hit.

    Comment by Bob — May 27, 2011 @ 3:49 pm

  9. I read in the past about power-heavy wOBAs having less variance in runs-scored-per-game vs. OBP-heavy. The rationale is that you can scatter singles and walks over several innings and not score, but an HR always scores, with 2B, 3B also likely to turn into runs.

    If that is true, LAA could just be suffering from that high variance, scoring fewer runs than expected of there team wOBA, because of scattering.

    Comment by brendan — May 27, 2011 @ 7:46 pm

  10. +1

    Comment by BillWallace — May 27, 2011 @ 7:58 pm

  11. It’s also that the linear weights for a particular event are based on an environment where the other events occur by previous and later batters at league average rates. In a different environment, those weights may be off. e.g. if a team had player that only hit home runs or got out and nothing else, then home runs wouldn’t be worth 1.4, they’d be worth 1. Conversely if a team hits nothing but singles a single might not be worth .5 it might be worth .45.

    Comment by BillWallace — May 27, 2011 @ 8:03 pm

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    Comment by fdhjstf — May 27, 2011 @ 9:30 pm

  13. tied with Trumbo for 2 ISOs.

    Comment by phoenix2042 — May 27, 2011 @ 10:03 pm

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    Comment by Lewie Pollis — May 27, 2011 @ 10:58 pm

  15. I suspect the coefficients for w/OBA are not correct for the lower run environment this year. Power is more important in a lower run environment.

    Also, the Angels have some weird H-A splits.

    644 OPS-H
    775 OPS-A

    Comment by pft — May 28, 2011 @ 3:19 am

  16. In the 4th paragraph, the 4th “ISO” should say “wOBA”, I believe.

    Comment by Drew — May 28, 2011 @ 5:25 am

  17. Similar typo in the following paragraph about Kendrick.

    Comment by Drew — May 28, 2011 @ 5:26 am

  18. This is interesting for the organization that is known (accurate or not) for excelling at smallball in the form of taking the extra base and hitting with RISP.

    Is it possible that aging and player movement has decreased this ability/skill?

    BTB posted an article on 5/24, illustrating each team’s production via the home run. NYY tops the charts with 52% of the runs coming from HR’s. 2nd is ARZ, BAL, COL, and TBR with 38%.

    LAA is below league average (32%) with 29%.

    Granted teams don’t choose when they hit HR, but with HR decreasing leaguewide, hitting them with men on and scoring runs without HRs is at a premium.

    There was also an interesting article at Tango’s Blog reprinted from the first half of the 1900′s looking at how many hits each team needed to get to score a run. The figures were presented as H:R ratios. I don’t recall whether this was statstically significant, but it was interesting.

    Good topic. It would be interesting to examine the teams that are the best at scoring runs without HR and see how they’re doing it and whether there is some predictive value as to whether they can continue it. Are the getting a lot of walks? Timely/Lucky hitting? Stealing bases or taking the extra base?

    Comment by CircleChange11 — May 28, 2011 @ 6:19 pm

  19. That’s interesting to hear – the UBR features have the Angels down as one of the better baserunning teams in the league. Which adds more to the ‘lack of power’ argument, I’d say.

    Comment by Mike — May 29, 2011 @ 5:34 pm

  20. Sign me.

    Comment by Barry Bonds — May 29, 2011 @ 9:33 pm

  21. Anaheim depresses left-handed power and power generally.

    Comment by AA — May 30, 2011 @ 12:55 am

  22. NO!

    Comment by kick me in the GO NATS — May 30, 2011 @ 3:24 am

  23. When the Angels homer, they win. When they don’t, they lose. W-L for past 11 games: 7-4. 6 of the wins were with homers; 2 of the 4 losses the opponents homered. In one loss, the Angels homered. I know this is no more than a crude observation, but certainly on the surface, power matters.

    Comment by Tom Sinclair — May 30, 2011 @ 11:57 pm

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