FanGraphs Baseball


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  1. If I did it right, their Pythagorean w/l is 19-30, which is better but still the worst in baseball.

    Comment by don — June 2, 2009 @ 7:57 am

  2. The GB for the ’05 Astros and ’09 Nationals is a red herring. After 56 games, those ‘Stros had a .375 won/loss percentage. The Nationals, after 49 games, have a .265 percentage. Obviously, both are bad, but there’s something to be said for how bad the Nationals are. To win even 88 games, they would have to play at a .664 clip the rest of the way. While I agree that such a turnaround would make for a wonderful story, their play thus far indicates that this is virtually impossible…while the Astros run was very improbable. A .375 team may have had some breaks not go its way. A .265 team is simply bad, and there aren’t enough breaks on Earth to change that.

    Comment by Mike G. — June 2, 2009 @ 1:41 pm

  3. BP has their chances at 0.16% (one in 625) thru chance, but their PECOTA-adjusted Playoff Odds Report has their chances at just 0.0097% (one in 10,309). The Rockies (0.478%, one in 209) are the second-worst.

    Comment by John — June 2, 2009 @ 3:56 pm

  4. I am a big NATS fan and watch nearly every game on TV. I can say with all honestly that Ryan Zimmerman is the best 3rd basemen in the National league by a wide margin. I have seen no other 3b this good in 40 years of watching the game. But, the team everywhere else is so bad that this team has no chance. As a group, they are the worst defensive team I have ever seen! They must blow 3 plays a game that almost any other team in baseball would make. Dunn is good for at least one of those plays. The young talent in the rotation is really outstanding, but with the gloves behind them you really have to wonder how long they can hold up.

    Comment by PhDBrian — June 3, 2009 @ 12:17 am

  5. Have you happened to miss all 18 Mets games each year?

    I’m a Nats fan too, but you can’t seriously say Zimmerman is better than Wright by a wide margin.

    Comment by Will — June 3, 2009 @ 2:34 am

  6. Nobody squanders offense like the Washington Nationals.

    In games that they’ve allowed nine or more runs (which have been plentiful), they’ve averaged 7.1 runs scored per game. In games that they’ve allowed between five and eight runs where they actually could have used some of those outbursts, they’ve averaged 3.8 per game. With a normal scoring distribution they would have won seven of these thirty-one games but as it actually stands they’ve won two.

    Comment by John L. — June 3, 2009 @ 4:55 am

  7. I don’t laugh out loud and I sure as hell don’t LOL, but this title was an exception. I thought this piece may have been fantasy comic brillinace until I opened the article and found out you were serious.

    Comment by Nate S. — June 3, 2009 @ 1:49 pm

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