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  1. Dexter Fowler is an enigmatic sonofabitch. How did he have such a fluky first year on the base paths and then forget how to steal bases?

    Comment by fledermice — June 22, 2011 @ 5:02 pm

  2. Dexter’s biggest obstacle? Charlie Blackmon.

    Comment by The Dude — June 22, 2011 @ 9:19 pm

  3. How is it possible that he doesn’t have a plate appearance between the 7th and 11th innings?

    Comment by Dave — June 22, 2011 @ 9:32 pm

  4. He actually walked in the 8th, not the 7th.

    http://web.minorleaguebaseball.com/gameday/index.jsp?gid=2011_06_21_cspaaa_tacaaa_1

    Comment by Temo — June 22, 2011 @ 9:59 pm

  5. dexter fowler is a laurel and hardy character

    Comment by jim — June 22, 2011 @ 11:33 pm

  6. LOL ROCKIES PLAYERS

    Comment by LOL ROCKIES non-fan says — June 23, 2011 @ 3:20 am

  7. A situation like this is precisely what RTAOBP was created for.

    http://www.wrigleyville23.com/2008-articles/copy-of-may/rtaobp_a_new_stat_for_08.html

    ( For quick reference, RTAOBP = (H+W+HBP-CS-TOOTBLAN)/PA. So despite his .833 OBP, Fowler’s RTAOBP comes in at a staggering .000. )

    I can’t believe that a story on a stats-savvy website like Fangraphs could overlook such an obvious and important statistic.

    Comment by fang2415 — June 23, 2011 @ 8:28 am

  8. Dexter’s biggest obstacle? Dexter

    Comment by tenags — June 23, 2011 @ 9:45 am

  9. actually his RTAOBP would be .333

    ((0 H + 5 BB + 0 HBP) – 0 CS – 3 TOOTBLAN) / 6 PA

    He only had 3 TOOTBLAN (can’t blame him for the GIDP, and he was ‘drama free’ in the 11th)

    Comment by tenags — June 23, 2011 @ 9:51 am

  10. I continue to be amazed at the attention that a player with such mediocre major league stats as Dexter Fowler receives. My sense is that we’ve got a lot of fantasy baseball fans who were hoping he’d be the next Coors-inflated Rockies “star” and have since been disappointed.

    But really, what’s with the Fowler Fascination? He had a nice 2008 in AA Tulsa, but so do a lot of players. He might turn out to be another Shane Victorino, which would be nice, but I would be really surprised if he becomes the huge star that many seem to expect. His .255/.349/.391 line in 1297 major league plate appearances certainly don’t have me drooling.

    Comment by Angelsjunky — June 23, 2011 @ 10:34 am

  11. Very few guys have the combination of speed, gap power, patience, and athletic ability as Fowler does.

    A switch hitting CF with a 12% career walk rate and had 14 triples in 400 ABs last year at age 24. The guy has Kenny Lofton like ceiling but cannot seem to fix his contact problems.

    Comment by Mr. wOBAto — June 23, 2011 @ 10:48 am

  12. Is he related to Chone Figgins?

    Comment by maqman — June 23, 2011 @ 10:49 am

  13. Interestingly enough Figgins was taken in 1997 by the Rockies, not a bad comp for Fowlers current ceiling

    Comment by Mr. wOBAto — June 23, 2011 @ 11:22 am

  14. how has Brett Gardner been caught stealing 10 out of 24 tries after stealing 47 in 56 tries last year? how has Juan Pierre been caught stealing 9 out of 19 tries after stealing 68 out of 86 tries last year? personally, I think catchers are strengthening their arms & studying tape of base stealer’s more to find their “tells”, hence they’re getting caught more.

    example: Gardner, until a few weeks ago, NEVER stole on a pitcher’s first pitch. he would sit there timing the pitcher giving the catcher time to wait until his body language changed & it was obvious he was going to go.

    Comment by shaolin730 — June 23, 2011 @ 12:36 pm

  15. I had totally forgot the other two when I posted this bit about Dexter. You’re right, it’s not just like Gardner and Pierre got slower, but there’s some element of “getting in your own head” that I think must play a role.

    It could be the stronger catchers theory. It could just be silly trends we dont see… after all, 5 of Dexter’s 27 steals came in a single game against the notoriously poor-armed Nick Hundley. So that’s roughly 19% of this steals in his rookie year. At the same time though, his success rate has gone down. It’s really odd…

    Comment by Nick — June 23, 2011 @ 1:00 pm

  16. Are CS% up overall? It doesn’t seem like it. For MLB as a whole: the success rate for 2011 so far (SB/[CS+SB]) is 72%, exactly what it has been for the last couple of years (there’s been some per-league variation: AL is slightly higher this year than in past years, while the NL is slightly lower, but that may just be early-season noise). It does seem like players are trying to run more, as the rates of both SB/game and CS/game are up over past years, but that may be always true in the first half of any season when legs are fresh and rookies are challenging arms.

    Comment by joser — June 23, 2011 @ 2:36 pm

  17. Ah yes, you’re right (although isn’t a pick-off a CS rather than a TOOTBLAN?)

    Anyway, .333 describes his night much better than .833 I think.

    Comment by fang2415 — June 24, 2011 @ 8:26 am

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