FanGraphs Baseball


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  1. One of these days…mark my words, one of these days the Twins will not be scored a zero.

    Comment by TFINY — June 27, 2011 @ 7:20 pm

  2. They’re still a pretty hard zero — but probably less so than before.

    Has their bullpen really been that bad? Because it looks like it’s been REALLY bad.

    Comment by Carson Cistulli — June 27, 2011 @ 7:24 pm

  3. Are you posting game previews for the rest of the week.

    Comment by hoopsvader — June 27, 2011 @ 7:45 pm

  4. I love ya, Carson. You may be the most entertaining writer here. But any system that considers the Royals the most watchable team in baseball must be flawed.

    It is interesting to note that the most watchable and least watchable are the teams with the two worst records in the AL.

    Comment by MikeS — June 27, 2011 @ 7:58 pm

  5. MIke S, I feel it’s an appropriate time to inform you that I love ya, as well.

    Also: you’re probably right. There’s a playoff-odds adjustment I can add.

    Let me see what it looks like with that.

    (But also also: Eric Hosmer? Moustakas? Gordon?)

    Comment by Carson Cistulli — June 27, 2011 @ 8:29 pm

  6. The system should be reexamined as Adam Dunn is not on the top of any of these lists.

    Comment by Resolution — June 27, 2011 @ 8:32 pm

  7. I’m also amazed when I see the team NERD scores sometimes, but then when I look into the numbers they make sense.

    Team NERD only factors in batters and bullpen, which is why the Royals are so high. Surprisingly, their batters are 12th in MLB in WAR. That plus the youngest lineup and the lowest payroll makes them a 10. They’re no good because they’re pitchers are 29th in MLB in WAR.

    If I could make any tweaks to these great stats it would be to eliminate the luck or regression element. I agree its interesting to see if a guy can turn around his bad luck, but the problem is unless he’s on my team I rarely know he’s experiencing bad luck. Maybe an asterisk could be put next to guys who are having the worst luck so I at least know that when watching.

    Also, I think some kind of overall team quality variable should be put into team NERD. Sure the Royals have a young cheap lineup, but I’m still not going to have high interest in watching them if they are way out of the race. You could possibly use the FG power rankings as some kind of variable. This would even scores like the Phillies and Royals out a little bit. Keep up the great work.

    Comment by J Hey — June 27, 2011 @ 8:52 pm

  8. blue bood value 2005 ford escape

    Comment by FewFleendsino — June 27, 2011 @ 8:53 pm

  9. A playoff-odds adjustment would be great. I think a lot less people would be confused when they see a high NERD game score and then see it’s the 10 Royals or 10 Indians playing.

    Comment by J Hey — June 27, 2011 @ 8:59 pm

  10. Actually only parts of the Twins bullpen has been bad. They still have some brightspots such as reliever Glen Perkins, 2.03 ERA

    Comment by Sam — June 27, 2011 @ 9:06 pm

  11. I will cry so very, very hard if the Royals ever drop off the 10 mark. AHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Comment by Derek — June 27, 2011 @ 9:23 pm

  12. Mr. Cistulli,

    May I take this moment to ask you a question that’s been bothering me: how is it that, as a sabermetrician (sabermagician?), you can worship at the altar of Charlie Blackmon despite the fact that he stubbornly refuses to do those three things that are most holy to sabermetrics? I.e., the Three True Outcomes.

    Also: I love ya, as well.

    Comment by Yirmiyahu — June 27, 2011 @ 10:11 pm

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    Comment by Unfifure60 — June 27, 2011 @ 11:01 pm

  14. @ Sam, the Twins sure picked a good night to crap the proverbial bed (in which the bullpen sans Perkins presumably sleeps)

    Comment by Resolution — June 27, 2011 @ 11:05 pm

  15. Yay! 25 Hits by the Dodgers tonight! That’s some bad Twins bullpen, but we’ll take what we can get until we hear more news about bankruptcy!

    Bankruptcy and court proceedings…not fun. The Dodgers are only a 3 right now, which seems about right. Otherwise NERD should have a – modifier for “owner getting more headlines than actual team.”

    Comment by Matt — June 28, 2011 @ 12:47 am

  16. wut

    Comment by BIP — June 28, 2011 @ 1:05 am

  17. Carson, the bullpen has been bad. Perkins is one of the lone bright spots. Dumatrait seemed to be pretty decent, but his peripherals didn’t match his sparking ERA he had for his first 10 outings or so. That should give you an idea of how bad the ‘pen has been this season, when Phil Dumatrait was at one point considered one of the best relievers on the team.

    Comment by Bryz — June 28, 2011 @ 1:32 am

  18. When he’s not hitting home runs and is striking out a helluva lot of the time, I don’t see how that makes him one of the most watchable players this season.

    Comment by Bryz — June 28, 2011 @ 1:33 am

  19. wut [2]

    Comment by Xenophanes — June 28, 2011 @ 1:37 am

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    Comment by David Appelman — June 28, 2011 @ 2:07 am

  21. I don’t know how they let this bloke write for this website, but I am very glad they did.


    Comment by Well-Beered Englishman — June 28, 2011 @ 3:57 am

  22. Cubs 2nd to last?
    I’m a believer in Team NERD.

    Comment by Norm — June 28, 2011 @ 9:55 am

  23. Sorry, no. Any “Most Underrated” leaderboard that features Dustin Pedroia near the top has a severe flaw in its construction.

    Comment by rbt — June 28, 2011 @ 10:36 am

  24. Actually, the Royals ARE fun to watch. By and large they play superior defense, they can hit a bit, and the kid bullpen has been great. But the starting pitching is simply brutal. Really, the starters are the only reason why their record isn’t better. Ignore those guy and they are an eminently watchable team.

    Comment by rbt — June 28, 2011 @ 11:33 am

  25. He’s just so damn loveable, that’s how

    Comment by Resolution — June 28, 2011 @ 11:37 am

  26. I’d have to second the opinion that a system that considers the indians and Royals highly watchable is flawed. As an Indians fan, I find their games, at least over the last month, quite painful to the soul, and watching them is about as pleasant as repeatedly stabbing myself in the eye with a butter knife. Seeing Grady Sizemore flail at breaking balls like he’s Russell Branyan, or like he’s a 28-year-old CF with 2 bad knees, is especially soul-crushing, as is predicting “Carlos Santana will jump back from a fastball that’s slightly on the inner half of the plate for strike 3”, and then watching it happen. I notice Jack Hannahan is also 7th in the “underrated” category, despite not being in the “starting” category anymore. Can you really be underrated when you’ve hit at a steady .180 clip for 2 months, with a wOBA around .250?

    I guess the flaw I’m seeing, is it’s not taking into account what a team or player is currently doing. When a team hasn’t hit or played defense in over a month, that should drag the score down. When a guy has hit like a pitcher with an ok bat for 2 months, that should drag his score down.

    Comment by isavage30 — June 28, 2011 @ 12:26 pm

  27. Under what system does the Astros bullpen have positive value? I don’t watch the Twins everynight, but there is no way their bullpen is worse than the Astros. I turn the TV off when the starters exit the game with a lead.

    Comment by Terence — June 28, 2011 @ 12:30 pm

  28. So you used my idea of using xBABIP for position player, or BABIP – xBABIP I assume…

    Comment by Dan — June 28, 2011 @ 1:12 pm

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