FanGraphs Baseball

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  1. Eric, this is a good look at Myers, though you left out last night’s awful performance against the Braves. I went a bit more in depth and essentially concluded that his problems boil down to location more than anything.

    The decline in velocity is definitely concerning but if my Excel spreadsheets are right, here are his fastball averages so far:

    3/31 vs. WAS: 88.89 MPH
    4/6 @ CIN: 89.79 MPH
    4/11 vs. CHC: 89.97 MPH
    4/17 vs. HOU: 89.54 MPH
    4/22 @ COL: 90.49 MPH (the altitude adds a MPH or two I believe)
    4/27 @ PIT: 89.51 MPH
    5/3 vs. SFG: 89.26 MPH
    5/8 @ ARI: 90.68 MPH (heat adding a MPH or two?)
    5/14 vs. ATL: 88.78 MPH

    His fastball velocity has been pretty much consistently 89 MPH or around there for the entirety of the season, and he’s still been striking out hitters at a good rate, while his walk rate hasn’t really jumped. Based on that, I don’t think we can say his fastball is a problem since he is still making Major League hitters swing and miss over and over again. I think it’s all about location with him.

    Comment by Bill B. — May 15, 2008 @ 12:56 pm

  2. Bill, I did this about an hour before his start last night. I guess I jinxed him by mentioning how good his home numbers had been.

    Yeah, he’s still striking a lot of guys and his curveball/slider has still been stellar.

    He’s literally throwing the ball right down the middle, though. It might work against the Giants but it isn’t going to work against Yunel, Chipper, Teixiera, the ultimate Phillie killer Matt Diaz, and players of that ilk.

    Comment by Eric Seidman — May 15, 2008 @ 1:00 pm

  3. Oh my bad, I didn’t notice that you wrote this before the game. My bad.

    Comment by Bill B. — May 15, 2008 @ 1:05 pm

  4. I actually have a Pitch F/X analysis of Brett Myers in my queue of things to do; though I’m delaying it because I want him to turn it around. Mitch Williams said it best in the post-game last night. Myers needs to just snap and get it all out of his system. Last year and in the past he had attitude; right now he seems tentative, hoping a pitch is going somewhere instead of knowing a batter stands no chance.

    Comment by Eric Seidman — May 15, 2008 @ 1:08 pm

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