FanGraphs Baseball

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  1. Strange that Kennedy doesn’t throw his cutter to LHB, but does throw his two-seam fastball, when two-seam fastballs from RHP to LHB have terrible splits and cutters from RHP to LHB have tremendous splits.

    Comment by Feeding the Abscess — October 7, 2011 @ 3:36 pm

  2. Great article! However, after the first pitch I just sit back and enjoy the action.

    Comment by Tasintango — October 7, 2011 @ 3:45 pm

  3. Awesome write-up, you should do these more often!

    Comment by ICEYhawtSTUNNAZ — October 7, 2011 @ 3:59 pm

  4. Very interesting article – thanks! Such a handy little breakdown of each pitcher.

    Comment by Luke — October 7, 2011 @ 4:06 pm

  5. I agree. It’s really nice to see a clear concise summary of pitch reportoires and usages. Please do this more often.

    Comment by Ben — October 7, 2011 @ 4:17 pm

  6. What are his splits re: two-seamers to lefties? Because I remember Maddux used to throw his two-seamer to lefties all the time and had a pretty decent career. And it seems like Kennedy has better numbers vs. lefties, so maybe he’s doing something similar.

    Comment by JG — October 7, 2011 @ 4:38 pm

  7. That is very strange Kennedy doesn’t throw the cutter against lefties. He’s the anti-Mariano.

    Comment by Calm Like A Bomb — October 7, 2011 @ 4:40 pm

  8. Gallardo had a monster second half of the season. a KBB rate of 8:1

    Comment by LionoftheSenate — October 7, 2011 @ 4:43 pm

  9. Gallardo improved each month, approach ridiculity in September, and his first post season start was also grand. He’s one of the best pitchers in the game right now.

    Comment by Joe — October 7, 2011 @ 5:01 pm

  10. on a completely unimportant note: ian kennedy, as a hitter, had a wRC+ of -3 this year. as in negative three. and that was considered ABOVE replacement level for a pitcher. replacement level pitcher hitting is really really ridiculously bad.

    Comment by phoenix2042 — October 7, 2011 @ 5:44 pm

  11. Since the playoffs are when pitchers have to go up against the best teams, I like to know how those pitchers did against good teams over the season. And I think the biggest reason Kennedy’s stats “exploded” this year is that 22 of 33 starts came against losing teams, and another 5 were against the Giants really bad lineup — making 27 of 33 games padding his stats.

    Comment by Fatbot45 — October 7, 2011 @ 6:33 pm

  12. Bah

    Everyone knows that Ian would not last two seconds in the AL East. He’s not a quality pitcher here (maybe a #5) like he is over THERE, and I’d still rather have Hughes and Joba (teh upside! (no fat jokes, please)).

    #thingsdumbassYankeefanssay

    I would like to see a poll here one day. That poll: On average, exactly how stupid are Yankee fans? Cameron seems up for that job.

    Comment by Sultan of Schwwinggg — October 7, 2011 @ 9:19 pm

  13. If you look at Pitch F/x and see the “two-seamer” is just a misidentified four-seamer (it doesn’t sink), and that the “cutter” could easily be called a slider, then you know why. Sliders, after all, do not have reverse splits, not in the slightest.

    Comment by Woodman — October 8, 2011 @ 11:17 am

  14. Your math is wrong. The winning teams Kennedy faced were Dodgers (4), Giants (5), Cardinals (2), Phillies (2), Brewers (1) – so that’s 14 games against opposition > .500, more than Gallardo.

    12 of those 14 were quality starts, with a 13th where he could only pitch three innings because of a rain-delay. Kennedy’s record in 14 contests against winning teams this year? 9-2 with a 2.97 ERA over 91 innings.

    Really, your criticism on this basis is worthless.

    Comment by Jim McLennan — October 8, 2011 @ 12:44 pm

  15. Damn bitch!

    Comment by wat — October 9, 2011 @ 3:47 pm

  16. Aw if only I saw this at the time. But at least I get to come back now with my overdue “I told you so”.

    I guess my math was wrong, but my point was spot on. He couldn’t be trusted in the playoffs because all he faced were: (a) lots of bad teams to pad his stats; and (2) even the “winning” teams he faced, like the Giants, were terrible lineups.

    I guess I should have been thorough and included the Dodgers (82-79) as a “winning team” but also pointed out that like their fellow NL worst Giants, they were in the bottom half of NL lineups to help pad his stats.

    So nine of the 14 “winning teams” cited were bad NL west lineups that skewed Kennedy’s stats. The others were indeed in the top half of NL batting … so let’s see his totals of the 5 games versus STL, PHI and MIL:

    28 IP, 15 ER, 4.82 ERA … and two (of his 4 total) losses came in just those 5 games against good teams with good lineups.

    Oh yeah, we can add a third loss in the playoff game this article was previewing. I sure hope you heeded my advice and didn’t bet on Kennedy.

    Comment by Fatbot — December 13, 2012 @ 6:24 pm

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