FanGraphs Baseball

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  1. Nice write-up, really appreciate info on Scherzer…

    Comment by Aggie E — October 10, 2011 @ 3:20 pm

  2. Good stuff…hope you continue to write these for upcoming matchups.

    Comment by Dave — October 10, 2011 @ 3:30 pm

  3. Here is the box score output for this game from my simulator. The game was simulated 100K times with the lineups being used for today’s DET/TEX game. Along with the box score is a table listing the 25 most likely final score outcomes. From this the thing that sticks out is that the Tigers have a pretty bad top of the lineup (Jackson/Santiago) and that the Rangers probably shouldn’t have Andrus batting 2nd and Young batting 4th.

    Comment by xeifrank — October 10, 2011 @ 3:39 pm

  4. Forgive the potentially naive question, but how normal is it for a lefty’s slider to be so effective against RHB? From the discussion of Scherzer, it sounds like the changeup-for-opposite-handed-batters and slider-for-same-handed-batters is the norm, which tracks with my memory of what I’ve read and heard elsewhere.

    So, what’s going on with Holland’s slider? Should we expect regression? Is his success with it against RHB an indication of a great slider? Are different pitchers’ sliders just different enough in the kinds of breaks that they get that it just depends?

    Comment by darrylzero — October 10, 2011 @ 3:57 pm

  5. You pretty much answered why people think Scherzer has a very high ceiling: he’s basically an average curveball or cutter away from being an all-star.

    Comment by JG — October 10, 2011 @ 4:41 pm

  6. These articles are great – many thanks.

    Comment by The Dude — October 10, 2011 @ 5:14 pm

  7. RE: Derek Holland. Big discrepancy between your whiff % for sliders by righties at 38% and texas leaguers at 19%. Granted there is some room for manouevre regarding pitch classification, but other numbers seem the same? Any idea.

    http://pitchfx.texasleaguers.com/pitcher/502706/?batters=R&count=AA&pitches=AA&from=3%2F1%2F2011&to=10%2F9%2F2011

    Comment by tomhaywood — October 10, 2011 @ 5:26 pm

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