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  1. Great writeup Mike, Mathes hit 23 HR with a home park that had a 40/100 HR suppression factor. Can either of these guys become Todd Helton’s eventual replacement?

    Comment by Hmm — January 12, 2012 @ 2:56 pm

  2. It all depends what you consider a replacement. If you mean a guy who’s functional, but by no means a star level player, then maybe. But if you mean Todd Helton through his peak years when he was a perennial MVP candidate, then not a chance.

    Comment by Mike Newman — January 12, 2012 @ 3:10 pm

  3. This is the Rockies homer in me dreaming, of course, but his leg kick and follow through look a lot like Holliday’s.

    Comment by Kyle K. — January 12, 2012 @ 4:11 pm

  4. Holliday’s MILB numbers are actually very interesting as he was never particularly good in the minors. However, keep in mind Holliday passed through the Sally a full two years younger than Parker.

    Comment by Mike Newman — January 12, 2012 @ 4:15 pm

  5. I mostly meant 800-850 Ops with decent defense

    Comment by Hmm — January 12, 2012 @ 5:52 pm

  6. Mike, color me surprised that you would write this article and fail to mention Parker’s fairly dramatic home/road splits:

    Home: .308/.392/.579
    Road: .269/.347/.401

    That’s not as bad as Corey Dickerson’s splits by any stretch, but the fact that Asheville is a very friendly hitting environment and Parker did not hit particularly well away from there is a major red flag.

    Comment by Sean O'Neill — January 12, 2012 @ 6:00 pm

  7. I was gonna make the exact same comment, with the caveat that Holliday was a high school draftee. But it’s not just the leg kick. If I recall correctly, Holliday had his hands all over the place for a while before settling on where he is now.

    He’s clearly raw, but like Holliday wouldn’t you say he has impressive bat speed down in the zone, Mike?

    Comment by Paul — January 13, 2012 @ 8:50 am

  8. .800 with okay defense is possible, but I worry about the OBP’s of both due to their walk rates as they advance.

    Comment by Mike Newman — January 13, 2012 @ 8:52 am

  9. I like the bat speed Paul and agree with your assessment. He has the tools to hit. However, if you can’t turn on 95 MPH on the inner half, you are essentially toast at the MLB level.

    Comment by Mike Newman — January 13, 2012 @ 8:55 am

  10. In all honesty, I’m more a scouting guy and use what I see and then look for areas where the notes match statistically. The home/road splits are more statistical analysis and those words are better spent discussing what I actually saw being there when most anybody can point out those home/road splits and downgrade him that way.

    Comment by Mike Newman — January 13, 2012 @ 9:34 am

  11. First of all, go Gamecocks, I hope Parker fails to be great. However, I’m surprised by his lack of speed running the bases. He was said to run a 4.6 40yd dash, and always displayed quick feet and athleticism at Clemson as a QB. While I wouldn’t expect him to be Vince Coleman, I would expect his speed to be a plus rather than a minus.

    Despite the cliche “you can’t coach speed,” which every track coach in the world must hate, you can improve running form and baserunning skills. I wonder if Parker is capable of making a significant improvement in those areas?

    Comment by thomkay07 — January 13, 2012 @ 11:12 am

  12. Significant? Probably not, but you are correct in that learning how to correctly run bases and practicing better form should yield results.

    Comment by Mike Newman — January 13, 2012 @ 4:30 pm

  13. I think this is worth noting for a number of reasons. First, if you look at the dimensions of the Asheville park, you get a pretty clear picture of what’s going on here. The dimensions are as follows:

    Field Dimensions
    Left Field – 326′ Left Center – 370′ Center – 373′ Right Center – 320′ Right Field 297′

    This is a pathetically small park that plays into hitters’ hands in more than one way. Asheville, while not Denver, is still in the mountains. There is no humidor in Asheville, either.

    If you look at the home/road splits for the primary Asheville contributors, the trends are astonishing.

    Corey DIckerson’s Home/Away OPS splits were 1.262/.642.
    24-year old catcher Dustin Garneau carried H/A splits of 1.001/.762
    Chandler Laurent went 1.016/.749.
    Brett Tanos went 1.003/.708
    Light-hitting SS Joey Wong even posted an .866 OPS at home, with a sub-.650 OPS on the road.

    The fact that Parker “only” posted an OPS of .973 at home, given his somewhat advanced age and prospect status, would be troubling to me if I were counting on him as a Rockies FO executive.

    It is worth nothing that the Sally is a notoriously difficult league in terms of road trips. With parks spread from Savannah to New Jersey and Lexington and everywhere in-between, there are some incredibly tough trips for young guys on bad buses. I haven’t done a study, but I’d guess that Home/Away splits in this league are more pronounced than in most minor leagues.

    There is no denying that Asheville is a hitter’s haven, though, and the fact that Parker didn’t “feast” there like some of his counterparts is a scary thought.

    Comment by Coby DuBose — January 13, 2012 @ 8:57 pm

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