FanGraphs Baseball

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  1. So, 33% of projected starting 2012 catchers are from college…that sounds like a higher number than other positions?

    Comment by Norm — March 14, 2012 @ 2:04 pm

  2. or at least in line with other positions?

    Comment by Norm — March 14, 2012 @ 2:05 pm

  3. There are 3 major talent streams into professional baseball: College, High School and International. If 1/3 of the current starters are from College, I’d say that is exactly the percentage contribution you would expect.

    Comment by DrBGiantsfan — March 14, 2012 @ 2:14 pm

  4. I sure hope Tony Sanchez has a breakout season in 2012.

    Comment by gonfalon — March 14, 2012 @ 2:59 pm

  5. Ryan Lavarnway was a 6th round pick in ’08, so he misses your cut-off, but he remains a live prospect.

    Comment by Mr Punch — March 14, 2012 @ 3:07 pm

  6. Doesn’t that completely ignore population sizes of those three streams?

    Comment by Blake — March 14, 2012 @ 3:27 pm

  7. It won’t distort your numbers any but a healthy, hitting Jason Castro (another college player) is a virtual lock to be the Astros’ starting catcher. And he seems to be both healthy and hitting so far this spring.

    Comment by reillocity — March 14, 2012 @ 4:31 pm

  8. Don’t forget the awful Bavasi draft pick of Eff Clement out of Southern California in the 05 draft just one year before your sample.

    Comment by Jared Graves — March 14, 2012 @ 4:53 pm

  9. Jeff*

    Comment by Jared Graves — March 14, 2012 @ 4:54 pm

  10. Rod Barajas was a junior college player, though he wasn’t drafted.

    Comment by matt w — March 14, 2012 @ 5:37 pm

  11. Pretty interesting stuff.

    Also, not sure if there’s any hockey fans here but I thought it was funny there was a catcher named “Mark Fleury”.

    Comment by Pat — March 14, 2012 @ 7:16 pm

  12. I love reading about the development of catching prospects. They must have the weirdest process of any position.

    Comment by Krog — March 14, 2012 @ 8:00 pm

  13. Effin*

    Comment by 2012 — March 14, 2012 @ 8:09 pm

  14. An interesting read, but I have a hard time believing a study of this size has much if any predictive value.

    Comment by TK — March 14, 2012 @ 8:16 pm

  15. Draft picks in the top 3 rounds where you get most of your drafted MLB talent is approximately evenly divided between college and HS picks. I don’t know the percentage of international signees vs draftees entering the pros each year but judging from rosters in the lower minors, I’d say it’s close to 1/3.

    Comment by DrBGiantsfan — March 14, 2012 @ 11:13 pm

  16. I agree that a quick reiteration of the % of major leaguers that come from the prep ranks vs. college vs. international overall by whatever position the post is about would be helpful(and if a particular position is an outlier it would be helpful to know what the overall aveages of these three streams are). Also when choosing a draft round cutoff – providing some context as to the % of MLB’s at a particular position are drafted in the first 5 rounds would be helpful as well. Do any positions have very different results when divided between high round and lower round?

    Comment by Dan G — March 14, 2012 @ 11:15 pm

  17. Surprised you left Austin Hedges off your list.

    Comment by El Guapo — March 15, 2012 @ 7:44 am

  18. Am I the only one who thinks that Petey Paramore and Dock Doyle sound like the best prohibition era gangsters ever?

    Comment by displacedmariner — March 15, 2012 @ 9:19 am

  19. So not counting the last two years 7 of 27 college catchers taken in are currently starting in the majors. That doesnt seem too bad considering.

    Comment by jesse — March 15, 2012 @ 10:09 am

  20. Drafting every position is a risky business.

    Comment by maqman — March 15, 2012 @ 10:14 am

  21. In other shocking news, 1/3 of all starting SS’s come from college.

    Comment by Joebrady — March 15, 2012 @ 10:33 am

  22. 20% of the current top 50 hitting prospects come from college.

    A 33% ratio actually seems really good.

    Comment by Killua — March 15, 2012 @ 1:47 pm

  23. Have you ever even seen Dane Phillips play? Clearly not. The kid hardly ever got a chance to catch in college ball and now that he is, he has done very well. Also Phillips had a top batting average in the Cape Cod baseball league this summer, a big step up from NAIA pitching. Still you think that he won’t be able to hit at pro ball? Phillips strength is his bat. Plus he made All-Star catcher this summer for the Cape Cod east side. If you have ever seen Phillips play, he is a hard working teammate who continues to improve his defensive skills. I also love how every other catcher in this article is dogged on but Mike Zunino. Yes the kid is awesome and has a lot of tools, but you shouldn’t criticize each of these young men on their ability to play.

    Comment by BravesFan10 — March 26, 2012 @ 8:01 pm

  24. Grammatically, the headline should read “Draft College Catchers: A Risky Business.” Although, if you were really shooting for accuracy, it probably should have read “I Can’t Think Of Anything To Write So I’m Going To Put Together Something Painfully Obvious To, Well, Everyone.”

    Comment by bjoseph316 — March 27, 2012 @ 1:50 am

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