FanGraphs Baseball

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  1. Back in the ’50s and ’60s, power was considered the main factor in a batter’s walk rate – walks were attributed to pitchers, but the idea was that pitchers avoided giving power guys anything good to hit. (Selectivity was about getting a pitch to drive.) Sluggers like Ted Williams, Mickey Mantle, Norm Cash, Harmon Killebrew and Carl Yastrzemski walked a lot, of course. Nobody knew what to make of Eddie Yost, who didn’t even have a particularly small strike zone.

    Comment by Mr Punch — March 15, 2012 @ 10:13 am

  2. About the graph at the end of the write-up. It looks like it’s generally a good fit with some outliers but the R-squared is only 0.1905. How am I to interpet this? Thanks.

    Comment by Brian — March 15, 2012 @ 10:33 am

  3. So nice not to see any CWS players on the laggarboard.

    Comment by Eminor3rd — March 15, 2012 @ 10:43 am

  4. Carson, I think this is a bad decision, I found minor league walk rate had the highest correlation to major league wRC+

    Comment by bosoxfan — March 15, 2012 @ 11:14 am

  5. Tell me more about that. You have the data?

    Comment by Carson Cistulli — March 15, 2012 @ 11:18 am

  6. A low R-squared means that the relationship is more complicated than this univariate regression can show. That’s all! No surprise.

    Comment by billybob — March 15, 2012 @ 11:23 am

  7. Huff is high on the list. Maybe the MVP caliber Huff twin will be playing this year while the lousy one will be relaxing at some secluded five star resort.

    Comment by bill — March 15, 2012 @ 11:33 am

  8. Danny Valencia on a leader board! He is the Twins player they were touting as having reworked his on field approach and approach at the dish.

    I realize best shape has been covered, but is there something fan graphs has done on reworked batting stance / new approach on the field?

    Comment by Barkey Walker — March 15, 2012 @ 12:10 pm

  9. So are all of the outliers at the top end Barry Bonds, or only some of them?

    Comment by byron — March 15, 2012 @ 12:14 pm

  10. Bonds wouldn’t appear on the graph. His top performance (2001) was a HR average (HR/AB) of 0.15, or 15%.with a (surprisingly low) walk rate of about 26%.. If you use PA as the denominator for HR, it goes down to 11%, still off the graph.

    Comment by Barkey Walker — March 15, 2012 @ 1:25 pm

  11. It’s all Bonds.

    Comment by Marshall — March 15, 2012 @ 1:39 pm

  12. Of course 2001 would be “off the graph”… it’s outside the sample year range; 2002-2007 Bonds, however, is most definitely on that graph.

    Comment by Marshall — March 15, 2012 @ 1:40 pm

  13. I don’t have my data, but someone at minorleagueball posted stuff for Low A. they didn’t have wRC+, but BB% correlated better to career wRC+ than K% or XBH/SO.

    It’s here http://www.minorleagueball.com/2012/1/2/2678421/loa-strikeout-walk-rate-spreadsheet

    Comment by BoSoxFan — March 15, 2012 @ 5:13 pm

  14. And your theory about walks doesn’t seem to be true, as Low A walk rates have a correlation of .517 to major league walk rates. Ks were a little better than BBs for correlating to the MLB, as Ks have an R of .637, but still BBs are much more important for major league success

    Comment by BoSoxFan — March 15, 2012 @ 5:19 pm

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