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  1. I think Cory Luebke’s ultimate ceiling/talent level is being a little overestimated by many, but it is tough to find fault with this deal. The price is perfectly reasonable even if the Ohio State product is more of a back end type.

    Comment by Brian Fantana — April 2, 2012 @ 1:34 pm

  2. Back end type? I think the argument is whether he is a front end type or just a good #3 starter. Baseball America listed his ceiling as a #3 guy and that was even before last year’s emergence in his stuff.

    Comment by Nolan Fontana — April 2, 2012 @ 3:06 pm

  3. There 11 starters (w/10+ starts) with a K/9 above 9 last season and Luebke was one of them — putting him in a class with Greinke, Cliff Lee, Lincecum, Tommy Hanson, Beachy, Kershaw, Annibel Sanchez, Morrow and Rich Harden.

    Thats not just alright Company, thats some of the best pitchers in the game. Unlike ERA, there is very little luck in missing bats. Its a skill that has proven to be repeatable and valuable.

    Arguing his ceiling is silly — if he continues to K a batter per inning he’ll be a #1, the only question is sample size. If he goes another 100 IP at this rate (regardless of ERA) you’ll know what you’ve got and personally I think its a great deal.

    Comment by Joe — April 2, 2012 @ 5:40 pm

  4. a) Did you control for the fact relievers K more guys than starters?

    b) Man, Anibal Sanchez is underrated.

    Comment by CJ — April 2, 2012 @ 11:14 pm

  5. CJ:

    If you’re talking about Luebke, he entered the rotation sometime around June 21st of last year. That would put his innings and strikeouts as a starter approximately at 101.1 innings and 111, compared to 38.1 and 43 as a reliever. That’s a 9.88 K/9IP as a starter and 10.18 K/9IP as a reliever.

    Comment by Drew — April 3, 2012 @ 3:29 pm

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