FanGraphs Baseball

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  1. Meh…I’d rather have Mark Melancon.

    Comment by Ben Cherrington — May 10, 2012 @ 9:05 am

  2. Melancon’s ERA is more than 12 pts higher than his FIP and 39 pts over his xFIP. Due for some regression!

    Comment by Pete — May 10, 2012 @ 9:13 am

  3. Dear God Fangraphs, 3 Lowrie articles this week? I think I got it…

    Comment by Andrew — May 10, 2012 @ 9:51 am

  4. You do realize that: a) you don’t have to read the articles if they’re not interesting to you. b) if fangraph’s content isn’t up to snuff, you don’t have to visit the site.

    I’m not telling you to get lost and get off my lawn or whatever. I just don’t understand the reasoning behind these comments which appear far more often than I’d expect. Look, Rick Reilly really really annoys me. I hate his writing style. I used to read his columns on ESPN.com and rage about how cloyingly obnoxious he is.

    And then I realized, why the hell am I sending traffic to someone who’s style I hate? So I stopped reading him. Sometimes the title of one of his articles sounds really interesting but then I have to stop myself. I just know there’s going to be like 5 strained pop culture references and a tortured simile comparing something weird to whatever is happening in the news today and sports. So…why read the article if it looks like it will annoy you? And why read fangraphs if you think the content is lacking? And then, to top it all off, why take the time to comment on it?

    Comment by mikesavino85 — May 10, 2012 @ 10:03 am

  5. How much is this a result of moving to an easier league, and a much easier division? May be too early to speculate on that being a significant reason for his success.

    Good for Lowrie at any rate.

    Comment by Evan — May 10, 2012 @ 10:21 am

  6. I’ve always hoped he would do well in Boston, but he’s one of the streakiest players I’ve ever seen. This is the same guy who spent 3+ weeks of early 2011 as one of the hottest hitters in the league but ended the season at 79 wRC+ and basically replacement-level WAR, even if you double it to account for the fact that he only played 88 games, which is his career high in the majors, despite having a reasonably productive rookie year in 2008. If this is the same Jed Lowrie that played here, he’ll regress hard or get hurt over the next couple months. It’s not uncommon for him to have a great month then disappear, so I’m leery of small sample size here, moreso than I am of many players.

    Hopefully the Astros have figured out a way to unlock whatever it is that makes him exceptional for brief periods of time, though. It really is magical when it happens.

    Comment by Alex — May 10, 2012 @ 10:26 am

  7. If he keeps this up, he won’t be an unpaid intern for long.

    Comment by Well-Beered Englishman — May 10, 2012 @ 10:27 am

  8. He’s no Mike Aviles that’s for sure.

    Comment by Preston — May 10, 2012 @ 10:34 am

  9. Because I love Fangraphs, read it all the time happily, but realize that its writers have limited time so that time would be better off spent discussing new topics. I’m sorry if the sarcastic nature of the comment was annoying, but it is possible to make suggestions/complaints to a service you admire and respect, unlike Rick Reilly.

    Comment by Andrew — May 10, 2012 @ 10:57 am

  10. WAR doesn’t make him the Astro’s best hitter, but perhaps wRC would.

    Comment by pudieron89 — May 10, 2012 @ 11:16 am

  11. So we’ve had the Altuve article and now the Lowrie article, and the Astros are still “devoid of talent”. When do we get the “Schafer is better than we thought” article and “by the way, Wandy is actually a pretty good pitcher” one?

    Comment by Christian — May 10, 2012 @ 11:18 am

  12. 4 players an organization does not make.

    Comment by Mario Mendoza of commenters — May 10, 2012 @ 11:26 am

  13. Have to agree with Andrew here, I love FanGraphs but 3 Lowrie articles is a bit much.

    Comment by jskelly4 — May 10, 2012 @ 11:53 am

  14. The problem with Lowrie has never been his performance — he’s put up numbers like this in small samples before. The problem with Lowrie has always been injuries. And while right now he’s playing great (read: healthy) and the Melancon is in the minors, you can still see why the Sox traded him. They needed someone dependable at SS and Lowrie had been anything but that for them. So they pass that risk onto someone else to fill a position of need. The season is still young: both players may yet regress to their means: injured for Lowrie (although I really hope not) and effective for Melancon.

    Comment by Brandon T — May 10, 2012 @ 12:08 pm

  15. True, but they’ve had a very good or great 12-16 months.

    Ed Wade–who (not to rant) was in a terrible situation being asked to field a competitive team, rebuild a depleted minor league system (easily one of the most bare systems of the past 5-10 years?), all while reducing salaries and operating staffs–pulled in some terrific talent in trades and draft over the last 2 seasons.

    While it’s too early to declare the new GM a success, he seems to have a clue. Given the financial resources available to the Houston market, I think it’s completely proper to note that we’ve probably passed an inflection point in Houston and FG has noted that in the past week, highlighting some of the young talent in Houston. Mind you, it’s not going to be a linear thing to the 2015 AL West crown…but that seems within the realm of possibility at last.

    Comment by cable fixer — May 10, 2012 @ 12:08 pm

  16. The Astros definitely have better decision makers in place now than they did. But their minor league system isn’t very promising and they are moving to the AL West next year. It seems like it’s going to take a while for this team to rebuild. Although if they can trade a couple more relievers for above average position players that would help speed up the rebuilding process.

    Comment by Preston — May 10, 2012 @ 12:16 pm

  17. Re: Shafer — when he brings his K rate down to a reasonable level for a guy with no power and has success for more than a month.

    Comment by chuckb — May 10, 2012 @ 12:56 pm

  18. One thing to note is that people seem to equate “disabled list” with “injured”. In 2010, Lowrie missed most of the season with mono, not due to injury.

    That said, what have Lowrie’s past DL stints been from? I know last year he was out after a collision with Carl Crawford, how about 2010-and-earlier?

    Comment by AlecTrevelyan006 — May 10, 2012 @ 1:08 pm

  19. Inuries can be a pain for an organization to deal with. But I always felt that Lowrie’s abilities when healthy made it worthwhile to try to have backup plans in place for his injuries so that the team can get by with vaguely above-replacement stopgaps. For a team trying to maximize WAR, such as the Red Sox, a guy like Lowrie, who can contribute WAR at a talent-shallow position, is valuable even in 80 or 100 games. Boston is in a position to spend money to put itself in a position to pick up a win, if that money buys good-but-injury prone players along with not-terrible backups and bench players. At least, one would think that they’d prefer to spend that money rather than cough up a win in the standings because Lowrie+Scutaro was just too expensive vs Aviles and soup de jour.

    It’s similar to how the Yankees have been a lot wiser the last few years about how they fill out their bench. They have the money to pay someone to be decent on the bench as a hedge against the inevitability of injuries. And until then, well, you have a bench bat and day-off player, which are very handy things. It’s a big improvement in approach over the days when they’d pay Miguel Cairo to be terrible.

    Comment by NBarnes — May 10, 2012 @ 1:15 pm

  20. Those other two articles talked about jed from a fantasy baseball perspective. This one is mentioning him from an organizational point of view.

    Comment by brandon — May 10, 2012 @ 2:37 pm

  21. Devoid of talent my ass.

    Comment by supershredder — May 10, 2012 @ 3:26 pm

  22. You do realize that: a) you don’t have to read the article comments if they’re not interesting to you. b) if fangraph’s comments aren’t up to snuff, you don’t have to scroll down to the comments section.

    So…why read the comments if they look like they will annoy you? And why read comments section if you think the comments are lacking? And then, to top it all off, why take the time to comment on other people’s comments?

    Comment by Dexter Bobo — May 10, 2012 @ 4:18 pm

  23. i think it’s all health. i think he’s a terrific hitter when he’s fully healthy but needs to be fully healthy to keep it up and tends to get hurt, which makes him seem streaky. last year he bummed out his shoulder and missed some time but also played through it for most of the rest of the year and was never the same hitter from the left side afterwards.

    Comment by wily mo — May 10, 2012 @ 6:41 pm

  24. I really wish that the Red Sox would try to stretch Melancon out into a starter. I think he could be a solid #3.

    Comment by CarlosLee4MVP — May 10, 2012 @ 8:00 pm

  25. bad reliever usually dont make good starters let alone a #3 starter

    Comment by jon — May 10, 2012 @ 9:40 pm

  26. Meh, I think it’s a bit early to be declaring this some sort of breakout year for him considering the peripherals (walk rate, strikeout rate, line drive%) are only modest improvements over a small sample. I think he’ll be a useful player for the Astro’s sure but labeling him a player to build around at this juncture is pushing it in my opinion.

    Comment by Peter — May 16, 2012 @ 10:28 pm

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