FanGraphs Baseball

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  1. Bautista will end up as the “permanent” 1B solution before too long, is what the opinion seems to be.

    Also, here’s another song link for you:
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=758aK6Un42U

    Comment by sc2gg — May 18, 2012 @ 4:20 pm

  2. Great piece, Paul.

    It’s crazy that his decline wasn’t even gradual like other one year wonders like Ludwick and Cust. He just went from great to awful in one year.

    Comment by Vin — May 18, 2012 @ 4:22 pm

  3. Why can’t EE be the 1B man for the rest of the year and 2013, with being spelled off by a guy or two?

    And what to do if Rasmus keeps hitting like Mark Reynolds?

    Comment by DSC — May 18, 2012 @ 4:35 pm

  4. Enjoyed the piece very much.
    Hate to be that person, but Lind’s triple slash should read a .562 slugging %, not .502.
    Otherwise, well done!

    Comment by GUY — May 18, 2012 @ 4:37 pm

  5. As a Pirates fan, I’m kind of hoping Huntington gets in on this. Lind isn’t much anymore, but he’d benefit from jumping from the AL East to the NL Central, and lefties don’t fare terribly in PNC Park.

    Comment by Kirsh — May 18, 2012 @ 4:50 pm

  6. NoNoNo, he’s worse than Garrett Jones and that’s saying something.

    Comment by PiratesHurdles — May 18, 2012 @ 4:54 pm

  7. I’ll pay for the plane ticket myself.

    Comment by Mark — May 18, 2012 @ 5:06 pm

  8. I have $10 bucks left on Lind next year in an AL only league. So yes, please, go to the NL!

    Comment by Mx — May 18, 2012 @ 5:08 pm

  9. re: Scrg People who say Jose will be playing 1b before too long are delusional. Yes 1b is a black hole (E5 is a FA at years end) and Gose might get a sept call up or a long look next spring but Jose is still a beast in RF, his arm is a cannon and while he might not have the speed, he makes up for it with routs and instincts. Nothing but your hope suggests he’d move to 1b before his defensive skills decline, so we’re talking 2-3 years. AA for all his praise should half chased Rizzo. There is no reason not to have, Cooper / McDade are not options leaving no 1b in the system!

    Comment by Evil — May 18, 2012 @ 5:26 pm

  10. As long as Rasmus is playing CF and Reynolds is playing 1B/poor 3B I’d rather have Rasmus of the two. Bear in mind that a CF with a .240 BABIP on a 22% LD rate is a sign to expect upward regression. Lind also has bad BABIP for his LD rate, but he has the range of a DH, so you’d expect him to beat them out less often.

    Comment by Torgen — May 18, 2012 @ 6:23 pm

  11. A Why not trade Arencibia and a low level arm to the Angels for CJ Cron?

    Comment by Jimmy Wahl — May 18, 2012 @ 6:51 pm

  12. Isn’t this article kind of self-fulfilling? Here’s a player who had a good year then sucked, so now we will compare him to other players who are good to show how much he sucked since then. His career numbers will of course be awful, so why use them as some sort of comparison?

    A more amusing article would be to show how bad Lind has been in the last 2 years.

    Comment by Impossibles — May 18, 2012 @ 6:54 pm

  13. Bautista is too good in right field now to be moved to first base. I’d say 3 years from now it’s a definite option but they need to solve 1B long before that. EE could be serviceable there, he’s certainly over-qualified to play the position from an athletic standpoint and he is developing into the kind of bat you like to have there. You may see Travis Snider called up and Thames moved to DH if EE becomes the everyday first baseman.

    Comment by Dan M. — May 18, 2012 @ 7:17 pm

  14. Personally, I appreciate it when a typo is pointed out if it is a number. Grammar or spelling can be deciphered from context, but numbers cannot. So, thanks! I wouldn’t have known that that was supposed to be .562 unless I saw this comment.

    Comment by TFINY — May 18, 2012 @ 9:19 pm

  15. Thanks for the catch. I went back and fixed it.

    Comment by Paul Swydan — May 18, 2012 @ 9:20 pm

  16. you serious about E5 as a 1b full time? do you really want handling the ball more than all but the catcher and pitcher?

    Comment by Cidron — May 18, 2012 @ 9:39 pm

  17. Seems to me almost all of the analysis on Lind is missing a key element: What role has a bad back played in his decline?

    Last year Lind actually hit well overall the first three months; he was passable in April, dominant in May and strong in June. The reason his season numbers were so poor was he was abysmal in July, August and September, a stretch when he was having issues with his back.

    The same back issue troubled him during Spring Training, and while neither Lind nor the Blue Jays have said much about during the season, I wonder if is still bothering him or affecting his swing.

    Comment by rotofan — May 18, 2012 @ 11:18 pm

  18. Why would the Jays do that? A young major league catcher for a 1B/DH prospect that’s still years away?

    Comment by colour — May 18, 2012 @ 11:28 pm

  19. If he was passable in April, then he did not hit well in the first three months. Also he only played 9 games in May. So that makes 1 and 1/3 months worth of good hitting, and then sucking again. Just looks like a hot streak to me.

    Comment by colour — May 18, 2012 @ 11:31 pm

  20. Why so dismissive of Cooper? He has an OPS of 841 at AAA this year, with as many walks as strike outs. Last season over 544 AAA plate appearances he had an OPS of 975 with a a 67-43 BB-K ratio. Is it his fielding, or his mediocre MLB results in 2011? What am I missing?

    Comment by Sam Samson — May 18, 2012 @ 11:54 pm

  21. And it still doesn’t explain why he sucked in 2010.

    Comment by Mark — May 19, 2012 @ 12:35 am

  22. OPS of .841 in the PCL is pretty mediocre for a 1B prospect.

    Comment by Feeding the Abscess — May 19, 2012 @ 1:39 am

  23. Well obviously PCL numbers are inflated league-wide, but I believe the PCL slash line is .275/.341/.420, and he did hit for a 975 OPS in 2011, so I was surprised people were either not mentioning him at all or dismissing him as “not an option” without explanation.

    Comment by Sam Samson — May 19, 2012 @ 5:46 am

  24. I wish this article came out before my AL only draft. *sigh*

    Comment by Bret — May 19, 2012 @ 9:32 am

  25. the knock on Cooper seems two-fold: he’s got absolutely no defensive value, which relegates him to DH duty, and he’s got no pop, which excludes him from the aforementioned role.

    Comment by 198d — May 19, 2012 @ 9:03 pm

  26. I thought Encarnacion was a good fielder, he just makes a ton of throwing errors, which would be much less of an issue at 1st base.

    Comment by David — May 20, 2012 @ 2:27 am

  27. This is not true. Jose is not a good fielder. I know this because I watch every game. Same reason I know rasmus has been hitting better than his slash line. Jose will end up at first as soon as gose is ready for everyday action

    Comment by Brian the fist — May 21, 2012 @ 1:44 am

  28. Corrections that affect the sense of a piece are good. Pointless whining about grammar or absolute nittery about things nobody cares about are not. This clearly falls into the first category.

    Comment by Simon — May 21, 2012 @ 6:30 am

  29. Those who follow the Blue Jays know that Lind’s list of excuses has grown quite long since 2009.

    Comment by Mitch — May 21, 2012 @ 10:08 am

  30. +1 for the Mobb Deep reference

    Comment by Jimmy Hammond — May 21, 2012 @ 11:04 am

  31. As a jays fan, I love this idea

    Comment by Hayves — May 22, 2012 @ 12:31 pm

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