I really like Correa. With highschool batters, younger is almost always better. That said, the Twins will take the toolsy high school player with potential in Buxton, and that is a far better pick than Appel.
This was the article that I got my information from. Fabulous read. Basically, young hitters are a massive market inefficiency. (I got the link in a thread somewhere, probably in a comment on fangraphs, so kudos to whoever posted it earlier.)
Comment by Mario Mendoza of commenters — June 4, 2012 @ 4:22 pm
As M’s fan I like the Correa pick or Buxton second and the M’s offensive woes are troubling but there is hope since their run differential this year is -1 so far and last year was -119 at end of year….and M’s lead ML in home runs at “away” ballparks with 39. That is an incredible stat and one which shows promise for Smoak and rest of team…Go M’s
Even with their extra picks, do you see the Jays having money to sign both McCullers and Giolito?
Comment by Arthur Fonzarelli — June 4, 2012 @ 4:37 pm
Marc, isn’t taking both McCullers and Giolito impossible for the Jays from a draft-cap perspective? Also, isn’t taking a guy like Giolito in the first with a pick that won’t be returned to them (because its already a compensatory pick) tremendously risky?
i disagree with this. maybe if its a slam dunk guy who is head and shoulders ahead of the rest available…. but lets say the rockies highest rated guy is a SS and their 2nd highest is a P, or really, any other position. why would they draft the SS?
Comment by Sleight of Hand Pro — June 4, 2012 @ 4:57 pm
Because they believe the SS is going to be a better player
so they’ll move tulo off the position then? If you have a young established star signed long term at a specific position, i dont see why youd draft that position unless hes way ahead of the next best guy on your board.
Comment by Sleight of Hand Pro — June 4, 2012 @ 5:22 pm
You sign the better player because a lot can happen between drafting someone and when they get to the majors.
Keep in mind that the vast majority of players don’t get into the majors for like four years. If the best player available is a shortstop, then the Rockies should take him because in four year Tulo might not be fit to play short anymore.
Systems don’t really take the best available player. It happens more often than not, for sure, but it means something different to each organization’s philosophy and developmental strength. You might say that you draft for maximizing a value per pick.
It’s clear that there is preferential treatment throughout. Most notably, between pitchers and hitters, sometimes a guy get’s drafted cause he might shoot through the system quickly, and organizations do stockpile players to fill voids or create a surplus.
Also, you are permitted to “trade” players. That is, you exchange a player from your team, with a player from another team. In general, the better the player you have to trade, the better the player you will get in return.