FanGraphs Baseball


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  1. Now this was fun reading!

    Comment by Mario Mendoza of commenters — June 6, 2012 @ 2:33 pm

  2. Hear, hear, like reading Stark but without the painfully unfunny jokes!

    Comment by smb — June 6, 2012 @ 3:10 pm

  3. Desmond’s game had a couple of other notable things. He made a great barehand-the-ball-gun-the-runner-out play on a chopper that took a wicked sideways hop just before it reached him in extra innings. I doubt that Kingman made a play like that in his life, much less in his >1 WPA game.

    That said, Desmond had a HUGE assist from the Mets, as his RBI in the 10th really should have ended the game with a Mets win. Desmond hit the ball very hard, but it was on one hop to the SS; if he picks it clean it’s a sure double play. But he muffed it, the run scored, and the game continued.

    Comment by John C. — June 6, 2012 @ 3:11 pm

  4. .254 – that’s how much Desmond’s WPA went up from a defensive error. so it’s only slightly fair to give him credit for that play.

    Comment by jacob — June 6, 2012 @ 3:26 pm


    “Art Shamsky produced a WPA of 1.503, which is the highest amount of all time, ever and fo’ rilz. And somewhat amazingly, despite Shamsky’s efforts, his team lost that game. But that’s not all, Shamsky didn’t even start the game. He came into it in the eighth inning as part of a double switch and made three plate appearances, as first described to us by Sam Miller last year:
    With his team trailing 7-6 in the bottom of the eighth, Shamsky comes up for the first time. There’s a runner on base and his Reds are 31% likely to win the game. He homers to center field, and now the Reds are 85% likely to win.
    His team is now trailing 9-8 in the bottom of the 10th, and have only an 11% chance of winning. With one out, he homers again, tying the game and giving the Reds a 58% chance of winning. The Reds load the bases with one out but can’t score, and the game moves forward.
    His team now trailing 11-9 in the 11th inning, and Shamsky bats with two outs, a runner on and a 5% chance of winning. He homers and the Reds now 51% to win.
    He never got to hit again. In the 13th, Cincinnati’s seemingly awful bullpen allowed three runs and the batting order isn’t capable of bringing Shamsky up for one more at bat in the bottom half of the inning as the tema went on to lose 14-11. Nonetheless, Shamsky finished the game with that outstandingly remarkable 1.503 WPA”

    Comment by Infield Fly — June 6, 2012 @ 3:28 pm

  6. The most memorable one of these for me was Ryne Sandberg hitting 2 HR off the normally unhittable Bruce Sutter of the Cardinals on June 23, 1984 to tie the game each time, once in the 9th and again in the 10th. The Cubs won in 11 innings 12-11 when Dave Owen singled in Leon Durham. Sandberg’s WPA was 1.045.

    Comment by Ivan Grushenko — June 6, 2012 @ 4:26 pm

  7. Joey votto had a game with a WPA over 1 earlier this year too!

    Comment by Nick Doyle — June 7, 2012 @ 1:14 am

  8. Thanks for this write-up, and HUGE thanks for shedding light on Daubach’s heroics! I’m a Twins fan in MN, and the 8/21/2000 Red Sox – Angels game represents my one and only trip to Fenway. I remember it vividly, particularly Daubach’s pair of htis, but hadn’t realized until now just how dramatic they were. Awesome.

    Comment by Stew — June 7, 2012 @ 1:28 pm

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