FanGraphs Baseball


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  1. These include the NL, right? Then OF COURSE the number will be higher in the early to middle innings – the NL starting pitchers are still in the game. Try removing pitchers and see what the results look like.

    Comment by Mitch — August 5, 2012 @ 12:30 pm

  2. And I thought I loved Lord Cistulli’s NERD calculations. These are genius!

    Comment by Chummy Z — August 5, 2012 @ 12:36 pm

  3. Strasburg a 3 and Lee a 0, but Blackburn a 7??

    Comment by Matt — August 5, 2012 @ 12:36 pm

  4. there are really more homers and buds than there are tommys being born? i call shenanigans.

    Comment by kdm628496 — August 5, 2012 @ 12:37 pm

  5. Does Cliff Lee really have a NERD of 0?

    Comment by Matt — August 5, 2012 @ 12:38 pm

  6. Ooops, didn’t read correctly

    Comment by Matt — August 5, 2012 @ 12:39 pm

  7. It may surprise you, but neither Bud or Homer were actually named Bud or Homer at birth. Mr. Milone, meanwhile, chooses not to go by “Tomaso”.

    Meanwhile, Cliff Lee’s real first name is actually Clifton, and I’m ashamed for all of us that we don’t address him as such more often.

    Comment by Patrick Dubuque — August 5, 2012 @ 12:41 pm

  8. 1. “Human Reference Point Jason Marquis” is so excellent and befitting a nickname that referral to Dayn Perry will be unnecessary. “Human Reference Point” and Jason Marquis were born for each other, like peanut butter and Nutella.

    2. Atlanta has a livability of 9? That website must be taking the piss. Atlanta just voted no to a mass transit plan despite the fact that it has the some of the longest commutes in America – an average commute of 60.6 minutes per day, according to PolitiFact, and 65 minutes for carpoolers – and despite the fact that according to NPR, the average metro Atlanta resident lives 33 miles away from his/her job. The average Atlantean drives 70+ miles every single day. Perhaps my English colours are showing through, because where I come from we would only drive 65 miles for a holiday or possibly a football match.

    Comment by Well-Beered Englishman — August 5, 2012 @ 12:44 pm

  9. Your words strike true, Mitch. This is one of those things I thought about right before falling asleep, and forgot about after waking up. I’ve added a parenthetical apology below the original graph above.

    Fortunately, and through no virtue of my own, the American League data happens to vindicate my thesis.

    Comment by Patrick Dubuque — August 5, 2012 @ 12:51 pm

  10. Plano is not liveable, being within an unacceptable radius to Nolan Ryan, Texans, and Texans of Dallas and their environs, Texas.

    Comment by Robin Ventura — August 5, 2012 @ 1:04 pm

  11. In a similar vain, how is Oakland a 2? Its not a place where its possible to live.

    Comment by Jack — August 5, 2012 @ 1:22 pm

  12. Be careful Robin, lest you receive another beat down from Nolan Ryan.

    Comment by Kevin — August 5, 2012 @ 1:42 pm

  13. I like these whimsical alterations to NERD. Both of this weekend’s Daily Notes were very excellent.

    Comment by Kyle — August 5, 2012 @ 1:46 pm

  14. Have you been to Atlanta? The last time our state tried to improve mass transit we ended up with MARTA which has been bankrupt for years. No one likes it/uses it.

    We see the need for mass transit, but we aren’t going to rely on our municipalities to provide it for us. We don’t enjoy wasting money. Until we find/are given a better option then we will continue to run inefficiently.

    Comment by busch — August 5, 2012 @ 1:48 pm

  15. How often do Sac bunts even work? Meaning how often would the run still score if there was no sac bunt that inning. My guess is around 96% of the time.

    Comment by Wasted At Bats — August 5, 2012 @ 2:22 pm

  16. Anywhere in Nebraska shouldn’t be in the top 10

    Comment by Red — August 5, 2012 @ 2:29 pm

  17. Oakland a 2?! Wow, our city is really looking up!

    Comment by Don-E — August 5, 2012 @ 2:53 pm

  18. Don’t you know the unwritten rule? If you play for 1 run you can only get a single run.

    Comment by ppabich — August 5, 2012 @ 3:18 pm

  19. List of Acceptable Parts of Texas
    1. Central Austin
    2. Deep Ellum, Uptown, and Greenville districts, Dallas
    3. The Kimbell, Fort Worth
    4. Montrose, Houston
    5. Any open space on which the art of baseball is practiced

    Comment by Well-Beered Englishman — August 5, 2012 @ 3:29 pm

  20. Speaking of sac hunts, Rajai Davis just scored from 2nd on a Gose sac bunt. I’ve never seen anything like that before

    Comment by Louis — August 5, 2012 @ 4:16 pm

  21. so glad you’re doing the daily notes instead of carson, he tries way too hard to be funny

    Comment by my jays are red — August 5, 2012 @ 4:33 pm

  22. Astonishingly good prediction on the Baltimore-Tampa Bay game. The O’s failed to have any offense, Price pitched well, and the Orioles mysteriously somehow won.

    Comment by John Thacker — August 5, 2012 @ 8:06 pm

  23. Does the sacrifice data only include bunts actually laid down or also sacrifice attempts that ended in a foul out or popup (or popout double play). Can that be tracked? I was at the Royals-Rangers game today and a Rangers batter (Andrus, I think) missed making contact on a suicide squeeze – runner dead at the plate.

    Comment by Kenos — August 5, 2012 @ 11:25 pm

  24. The bunt data does include popups, foul popups, and double plays – anything where the batter moves his hand up the bat and makes contact. What it doesn’t include, sadly, are foul strikeouts – if any have actually occurred this year – and bunt situations that were aborted once the batter reached two strikes. Who knows – there could be even more bunting going on than we know!

    Comment by Patrick Dubuque — August 6, 2012 @ 12:06 am

  25. So Homer Bailey wearing Marty Brennaman’s sheered hair as a beard gets him a 9? Nice.

    Comment by Hugh Briss — August 6, 2012 @ 12:33 am

  26. carson have you been watching the silence of god trilogy?

    Comment by macseries — August 6, 2012 @ 12:52 am

  27. That’s a great point. Does the data include failed bunt attempts on the first 2 swings (0-2) and then the batter is forced to bat away at a pitcher’s count? There should be some kind of penalty for being put in the hole?

    Comment by MyrAn — August 6, 2012 @ 6:17 am

  28. For Los Angeles Angels (aka LAA), I see you selected the location of their playing field. Do any other teams not play in their nominal city? The Football Giants and Jets have zero presence in New York, the Washingtom team plays in Murrylnd….

    Comment by Brazen Reader — August 6, 2012 @ 1:53 pm

  29. Thanks!

    Comment by Kenos — August 6, 2012 @ 2:24 pm

  30. the washington nationals decidedly play in the city of washington in the district of columbia.

    Comment by macseries — August 6, 2012 @ 5:39 pm

  31. Your data also seems to be missing the rare attempt to move a runner up and beat the bunt out.

    Comment by Brian — August 6, 2012 @ 7:10 pm

  32. Actually, it’s in there. And surprisingly, it’s not that rare: 166 of the 1,456 bunts in sacrifice situations went for singles, or about 11.3%. It also counts errors for the purpose of WPA. Unfortunately, those positive events get easily cancelled out by the successful and unsuccessful sacrifices, as well as the double plays.

    Comment by Patrick Dubuque — August 6, 2012 @ 8:38 pm

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