FanGraphs Baseball

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  1. “all that typing would hella exacerbate my ulnar claw.”

    Sounds to me like someone’s spent some time in the Bay…?

    Comment by B — September 22, 2009 @ 2:37 pm

  2. “Disney Corp. — is somehow behind this operation”

    But then wouldn’t he be playing for the Angels?

    “That Pujols’s body was originally constructed to replace the current Teddy Roosevelt in the Hall of Presidents, except then the Disney execs realized that Teddy Roosevelt wasn’t shaped like the Incredible Hulk.”

    Oh, that clears that up. Idiots.

    Comment by lookatthosetwins — September 22, 2009 @ 2:47 pm

  3. Solid effort, good read. Keep it coming!

    Comment by Matt B. — September 22, 2009 @ 2:50 pm

  4. Bingo: http://www.oursportscentral.com/services/releases/?id=3883322

    Ben Johnson is on the Golden Baseball League’s Orange County Flyers.

    Comment by Caleb — September 22, 2009 @ 3:01 pm

  5. As Dave’s earlier article pointed out, Petit’s K numbers progressively worsened as he ascended leagues in MiLB. If Hernandez’s issues are “stuff and pedigree”, why do his K numbers progressively improve throughout MiLB levels?

    Comment by MFG — September 22, 2009 @ 3:03 pm

  6. Thanks. I actually got semi-worried that he’d gotten sick or something. Usually, Baseball Cube is pretty good at tracking a guy, regardless of where he goes. Plus, “Ben Johnson” (even “+ baseball”) isn’t exactly the narrowest of Google searches.

    Comment by Carson Cistulli — September 22, 2009 @ 3:06 pm

  7. I might also point out that in the 5 starts prior to the Boston one, Hernandez recorded 23 Ks in 20.2 IP.

    I’m not saying he’s a great pitcher, but the K stats might not be the best way to point out his troubles.

    Comment by MFG — September 22, 2009 @ 3:21 pm

  8. I think we all know what a slow-clap is.

    Comment by Nick — September 22, 2009 @ 4:39 pm

  9. Point taken. I was dwelling on the high K-rates, I guess, on account of they’re what’s distinguished Hernandez as a minor leaguer. He led the Eastern League in Ks last year and the Carolina League the year before that. And it’s in spite of those distinctions that scouts have remained cool on Hernandez’s potential as a front-line starter.

    Comment by Carson Cistulli — September 22, 2009 @ 4:43 pm

  10. One other amazing thing about Pujols is that the Cardinals started him out and played him almost the entire 2000 season at LOW A ball, and the next year he’s one of the best batters in the league.

    Comment by KJOK — September 22, 2009 @ 6:11 pm

  11. I am trying to understand what makes Hernandez unattractive to scouts. Before he came up, I assumed it was a mediocre fastball, but, at least thus far in the majors, his 92.9 average velocity is better than that of Tillman, Matusz, or Bergesen. Is it poor secondary stuff? Anyone know?

    Comment by Mike — September 22, 2009 @ 7:51 pm

  12. If I’m remembering correctly, according to BA’s Prospect Handbook, it’s not so much about Hernandez’s fastball velocity as it is his lack of command with the slider and the absence of a real third pitch. (They mention that his change-up is sub-par.)

    Comment by Carson Cistulli — September 23, 2009 @ 12:12 am

  13. “El Hombre’s numbers tell the story of a young Dominican who immigrated with his family to the US, attended Maple Woods Community College in 1999, and either during his stay there or at least some time before 2001, DISCOVERED THE MIRACLE OF SYNTHETIC TESTOSTERONE.”

    fixed

    Comment by Wrighteous — September 23, 2009 @ 10:05 am

  14. Give him some time. He is pitching in the toughest environment imaginable, Yanks, Rays, Sox, and it is his first year in the majors. I bet his K rate goes up over the next few years.

    Comment by wobatus — September 23, 2009 @ 11:48 am

  15. “El Hombre’s numbers tell the story of a young Dominican who immigrated with his family to the US, attended Maple Woods Community College in 1999, and either during his stay there or at least some time before 2001, DISCOVERED THE MIRACLE OF SYNTHETIC TESTOSTERONE.”

    Which somehow allowed him to maintain his size, hit for high average, and crank out a decent (although not outrageous) amount of home runs every year.

    Yeah, roid-induced freak, sure.

    Comment by Matt — September 23, 2009 @ 1:27 pm

  16. “Albert Pujols, Crusher, St. Louis”

    Rated +1 Made of Win

    Comment by NBarnes — September 23, 2009 @ 1:38 pm

  17. I totally agree. After all, it’s been so well established that using PEDs turns you into Stan Musial. Look at all the guys that used in the minors and the next day were leading MLB in OPS+. It’s happened so many times. That’s why Pujols’ numbers don’t really stand out, in context. Anybody could do what he did, if they were willing to be a big dirty cheating cheater McCheatpants like Pujols.

    Comment by NBarnes — September 23, 2009 @ 1:40 pm

  18. Actually, Teddy wasn’t a bad athlete and in his prime could likely kick the butt of any other elected president (Ford wasn’t elected). As for William Howard Taft…

    Comment by neuter_your_dogma — September 23, 2009 @ 2:44 pm

  19. I’m pretty sure Wrighteous is just trolling at this point.

    Which is ironic because we all love to argue and don’t really care if we’re trollbaited into it.

    Comment by Joe R — September 23, 2009 @ 3:55 pm

  20. Pujols’ head deserves to be on ice right next to Ted Williams when he dies.

    Comment by CH — September 23, 2009 @ 8:46 pm

  21. Great post!

    I have to admit, I was a bit hesitant to read this after reading your first couple posts (I haven’t read your two most recent) but I really, really enjoyed this post. I think you may have found your stride.

    Keep up the good work.

    Comment by Nate — September 23, 2009 @ 10:49 pm

  22. I agreed, I found this a pleasant/enjoyable article.

    Comment by Alex JN — September 24, 2009 @ 7:06 am

  23. Told u I read it. Didn’t seem like u believed me

    Comment by Luke C. — September 24, 2009 @ 10:41 am

  24. At best steroids could turn a good player into a really good player or a really good one into a great one. Not a nobody into the God of baseball. He’s one of the best hitters OAT even if he has been using and the evidence points to him not having used.

    Comment by Reuben — September 26, 2009 @ 2:56 am

  25. The K rates are important, but even more important to Hernandez’s potential success are his HR rate and BB/9.

    At AAA he had the following stats
    HR/9 = 0.78
    BB/9 = 2.83

    Major league stats from 2009
    HR/9 = 2.40
    BB/9 = 4.09

    Also look at his HR/FB in the majors (14.8%) and you can see that HR/9 will come down. The BB/9 is still a wild card, as he had good and bad seasons in the minors. Based on the spring, he appears to be showing good control and command.

    I think he’s a great sleeper for deep leagues. This is supported by his FIP of 3.52 or less at all minor league levels from A+ to AAA.

    That said, he’s not a frontline type until he gets his BB/9 consistently under 3.

    The biggest concern should be his potential IP. He has never pitched 150 innings in a season, so I could see them running him hard early and then moving him to the pen when Tillman comes up. No need to send back to AAA since he’s been around a few years already.

    Comment by Tommy Landry — March 31, 2010 @ 12:47 pm

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