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  1. Sorry, but seeing the word written as “esthetically” makes me want to claw my eyes out.

    Also, too:
    Darvish pre-AS: 10-5 3.59 ERA
    Darvish post-AS: 6-4 4.28 ERA

    I’m not seeing the “getting stronger” thing.

    Comment by mettle — September 21, 2012 @ 2:41 pm

  2. You present one sign that you read the article and you present one sign that you did not read the article?

    Comment by Jeff Sullivan — September 21, 2012 @ 2:45 pm

  3. Maybe because you didn’t read the article? I’m pretty sure the bulk of this article deals with Darvish’s last six starts, not his post-ASB performance.

    Comment by elijah — September 21, 2012 @ 2:46 pm

  4. i imagine he is referring to his last 6 starts.

    Comment by Aggie E — September 21, 2012 @ 2:47 pm

  5. Also presented is a sign that this person does not frequent this website often.

    Comment by diegosanchez — September 21, 2012 @ 2:53 pm

  6. His cutter and 2-seamer tend to be around the zone more than the slider and split-finger pitch. His last 2 starts he has used that slow curveball more also. Most people thought he would not be able to use that pitch. but he uses it to get ahead in counts and also off his 4-seamer to screw up the batters timing…

    Comment by Aggie E — September 21, 2012 @ 2:56 pm

  7. Yu did some nice work here, Jeff. I don’t know about Yu, but I think the Ranger’s staff looks pretty good. Yu got me thinking that they could go all the way, but Yu never know.

    I’m done know.

    Comment by Jack — September 21, 2012 @ 2:56 pm

  8. In response to mettle

    Darvish beginning of season – 8/12:

    12-8, 140.2 IP (22 starts)
    ERA 4.54, FIP 3.60, xFIP 3.89
    10.4 K/9, 5.1 BB/9, 0.8 HR/9
    .303 BABIP, 73.0% LOB%, 47.3% GB%, 9.75% HR/FB

    Darvish 8/17 – now:
    4-1, 44.0 IP (6 starts)
    ERA 1.84, FIP 1.65, xFIP 2.45
    10.6 K/9, 1.8 BB/9, 0.2 HR/9
    .196 BABIP, 64.3% LOB%, 47.1% GB%, 3.2% HR/FB

    So while he’s benefiting from a really low BABIP in this “second half”, his strand rate is actually ridiculously low as well – so those two factors cancel each other out a bit.

    He’s walking WAY fewer batters though.

    Comment by Bob Loblaw — September 21, 2012 @ 2:58 pm

  9. So now Darvish has the fifth highest fWAR among ML pitchers. I don’t think their’s any way he’s actually been the fifth best pitcher in the game this season, but this is still a pretty impressive feat for a rookie pitcher to pull off.

    Comment by elijah — September 21, 2012 @ 3:01 pm

  10. I see what Yu did there.

    Comment by DowntownChico — September 21, 2012 @ 3:07 pm

  11. Last night, I actually used the word “Medlenesque” to describe Yu’s last six starts. Have you been reading my texts, Jeff?

    Comment by El Vigilante — September 21, 2012 @ 3:11 pm

  12. It could be the park adjustments are a little too steep. They give too much credit for pitching in a hitter’s park. The White Sox do really well in pitcher WAR year after year because they apparently play in a little league field.In the last four years, the team pitcher WAR winner has been COL, CHA, CHA, TEX.

    Comment by RMD — September 21, 2012 @ 3:18 pm

  13. Your math is horriable. Keep hating its good for your heart.

    Comment by Jay — September 21, 2012 @ 3:31 pm

  14. His periphirals(sp) were very low all season. his walk rate was ugly and his strand rate has been below average all season. He is just getting ahead and stopped walking people so much and basically understanding what he needs to do here. Ron Washington and Mike Maddux told him to pitch the way he pitched in Japan and stop trying to change things so much over here. The biggest thing they told him was to figure out before his starts and early in games which 2-3 pitches are working for him instead of trying to throw 6-7 different pitches in his starts…

    Comment by Aggie E — September 21, 2012 @ 3:42 pm

  15. I bet he could abuse Billy Hamilton since Hamilton is a terrible player.

    Comment by Doug Dirt — September 21, 2012 @ 3:50 pm

  16. “I’m a fan of the lollipop curve”

    Worst pitch in baseball.

    Comment by TX Ball Scout — September 21, 2012 @ 4:10 pm

  17. you’re funny, guy, but you’re no sullivan yet

    Comment by jim — September 21, 2012 @ 4:22 pm

  18. Completely off-topic and not a fair/sound comparison, but can’t help it:

    “over his last six starts he’s [Darvish] allowed a .394 OPS. I’m just going to go ahead and let that sentence sink in.”

    Craig Kimbrel for the season – .368 OPS

    Comment by Brian — September 21, 2012 @ 4:32 pm

  19. I think I’d need a lot more evidence to believe the park adjustment is too much.

    Rangers are 7th in home ERA among AL teams, 1.12 runs behind the leader. They’re a closer 4th in ERA on the road, .07 runs behind the leader.

    White Sox are an even bigger split, 11th and 1.51 runs behind the leader at home – 1st in road ERA.

    Comment by todmod — September 21, 2012 @ 4:33 pm

  20. You might just be the worst person in, not just baseball, but the entire universe.

    Comment by J.D. — September 21, 2012 @ 4:33 pm

  21. excuse me, the .394 is only Darvish in his last 6 starts when ahead 0-1 in the count

    Comment by Brian — September 21, 2012 @ 4:34 pm

  22. Just a quick FYI… this analysis was a complete waste of time. Darvish has actually gotten better because I traded him away in my keeper league on Aug 7th.

    The rest of this is just nonsense. :)

    Comment by Tom B — September 21, 2012 @ 4:37 pm

  23. Thank you, Tom B. I drafted Yu in my AL keeper league and had been waiting all year for the real Yu to show up. Your efforts are very much appreciated!

    Comment by Wait Til Next Year — September 21, 2012 @ 5:17 pm

  24. Yu Darvish is now tied for the highest single-season fWAR by a Japanese pitcher (4.9, Hideo Nomo, 1995).

    Comment by cwendt — September 21, 2012 @ 5:41 pm

  25. That third strike call on Vernon Wells was nowhere near a strike. He just happened to get a very generous call on a pitch 3 inches outside the zone.

    Comment by WillC — September 21, 2012 @ 5:44 pm

  26. Comparing relievers to starters is a pretty inaccurate exercise. It’s one thing to face 3 batters per outing versus going thru a complete lineup 3 or 4 times.

    Comment by oldtimer — September 21, 2012 @ 5:50 pm

  27. Yu Darvish’s Cutter (2012 Season)
    BA: .190
    OPS: .554
    GB Pct: 56.0
    HR: 0

    Comment by Aggie E — September 21, 2012 @ 5:55 pm

  28. Which brings up a big point. Early in the season he was getting squeezed more than any pitcher in baseball. Now he isn’t, huge difference.

    Comment by Matt — September 21, 2012 @ 6:35 pm

  29. Also, too:

    These words mean the same thing.

    Comment by PNWRangerFan — September 21, 2012 @ 6:46 pm

  30. ????

    (because he doesn’t like the lollipop curve ball?!?)

    Comment by Richie — September 21, 2012 @ 7:07 pm

  31. Seriously, not liking some specific oddball pitch makes you evil? What am I missing with all the ‘+’s and ‘-’s here?

    Comment by Richie — September 21, 2012 @ 7:10 pm

  32. mettle is making the point here that we’re working off of a small sample size which, when rolled back just a wee bit farther, quickly gets not only subsumed within the broader sample but actually reversed.

    So Jeff has become ‘he who must not be critiqued’, huh? Yeesh.

    Comment by Richie — September 21, 2012 @ 7:22 pm

  33. who cares? he was squeezed the entire game

    Comment by sneaky_flute — September 21, 2012 @ 7:45 pm

  34. Most of that poster’s other comments over the past few weeks, probably.

    Comment by NS — September 21, 2012 @ 8:00 pm

  35. You aren’t seriously defending someone who used wins, losses, and ERA in less than half-season samples to make a point, are you?

    If he really wanted to make the point you said, he should have done so with better statistics.

    Comment by Ben Hall — September 21, 2012 @ 9:24 pm

  36. Yusually I find these puns funny, but quite frankly, Yu ruined them for me…

    Comment by Bieberhole — September 21, 2012 @ 9:48 pm

  37. That’s my favorite pitch as well Jeff, beautiful!

    Comment by Matty Brown — September 21, 2012 @ 11:48 pm

  38. Ben, this reeks of statistical elitism. You are drawing close to the malady that Richie is describing. Not that the OP was eloquently gifted, of course, but still . . .

    Comment by Brad — September 22, 2012 @ 12:40 am

  39. I think the BIG idea would be this…Yu has been teriffic as a rookie pitcher in the MLB. He’s had his ups and downs, but his ups are great and his downs are somewhat avg. I’m a fan, Yu should be too.

    Comment by Patrick Kelley — September 22, 2012 @ 1:44 am

  40. It’s also how the park adjustment is done.

    I believe it is adjusted bu run environment. But what happens in a park which has a noticeable split in run and HR factors.

    For example Fenway – huge positive run environment, so that helps the FIP adjustment while at the same time it is a negative HR environment so the pitchers are benefiting in some sense both ways.

    Comment by Tom — September 22, 2012 @ 5:54 am

  41. Worth noting those 44 innings have come against:

    TB (twice), KC, SEA, ANA and a depleted Tor lineup

    It’s an impressive run, but with the exception of ANA, this is a pretty soft schedule in term of opponent’s offense.

    Not saying he hasn’t turned the corner, but it will be good to see him do it against some more potent offenses as well (granted he can only pitch against the lineup he gets when his turn comes up)

    Comment by Tom — September 22, 2012 @ 6:07 am

  42. Yu is a punk for scheduling those teams for his start.

    Comment by Aggie E — September 22, 2012 @ 7:36 am

  43. I haven’t seen much of everdiso lately, coincidence?

    Comment by I Agree Guy — September 22, 2012 @ 7:39 am

  44. You are a horrible poster and entirely unoriginal. For the record, Yu’s curve is a favorite of mine.

    Comment by Txball — September 22, 2012 @ 8:03 am

  45. False, all counts

    Comment by Boom17 — September 22, 2012 @ 10:02 am

  46. claw away dude.

    Comment by Ray — September 22, 2012 @ 2:32 pm

  47. And in the 22 starts before his recent streak, his best game was against the Yankees… in Arlington

    Comment by ck — September 22, 2012 @ 2:56 pm

  48. In a post about Yu Darvish there isn’t a single link to his player page. For shame.

    Comment by Sensual Sharting — September 22, 2012 @ 7:00 pm

  49. Rookie comes over into the major league, starts off hot like all good rookies do, struggles after that with flashes of brilliance, then suddenly turns around in September and flat out dominates, giving the fans hope for the next season. Sounds like half the good pitchers in baseball.

    So, this same type of season came from a 25 year old pitcher with a full arsenal of legit and nasty major league pitches who clearly knows how to get elite hitters out, and enough command that there is no realistic way he should have walked so many?

    /Tinfoil hat on.

    I would be wholly unsurprised if Yu Darvish did this to his season on purpose. Knowing the importance of honour and tradition in Japanese culture, I’ll put money on Darvish making sure to play his season out like a ‘typical top prospect’ so as to not insult those that came before him.

    Kind of like how Ichiro lost no speed or contact ability last year, yet came way short of an 11th 200 hit season just after he broke the previous record.

    Comment by derp — September 22, 2012 @ 7:29 pm

  50. lol wut

    Comment by adohaj — September 22, 2012 @ 9:44 pm

  51. I’m developing an experiment which will conclusively prove that Yu Darvish’s success in his last six starts has led to not only the major league career, but the very existence of Geovany Soto.

    Comment by Causation — September 23, 2012 @ 4:41 pm

  52. Keep that tinfoil hat on, buddy. Seems you’ll be needing it.

    Comment by Ned — September 24, 2012 @ 3:47 am

  53. Yes. Just flame it if you don’t like it, but don’t try to instill censorship. This site is great for allowing any and all free commentary.

    Comment by Ned — September 24, 2012 @ 3:49 am

  54. Comments are never deleted on this site. People will click -1 for posts they have a problem with, but this one falls below that category, into if that post & poster exist, the best we can do is not acknowledge it.

    Comment by Jon L. — September 24, 2012 @ 4:02 am

  55. I am a meat popsicle, it keeps me warm.

    Comment by derp — September 24, 2012 @ 8:38 am

  56. Note to self fangraphs writers, Yu gets a lot of hype on the message boards good and bad.

    Comment by Dscottncc — September 24, 2012 @ 8:58 am

  57. That was a shit curve, and a shit call. As a batter, you’re supposed to be ready every pitch. He looked like he was ready to take a swing, and then the curve stayed out the strike zone, so he didn’t.

    Comment by makeitRayn — September 24, 2012 @ 9:03 am

  58. I’m a huge Texas fan and a big fan of Yu Darvish. What I don’t understand is why people are dragging him down in the dirt over some of the smallest things. Whats your point? Are you trying to say that because he threw a “shit curve”, and got a “shit call” that he is truly a bad pitcher who isn’t doing good in his starts? Please tell me more about how that changed the entire game and made it a fluke? Also, the entire point of this article was to prove that Yu has improved in his last 6 starts. Who cares what teams they were against. Excuse me if i’m wrong but i’m pretty sure we are talking about MAJOR league baseball. All these guys are professional hitters, even if they are on a “shit team”. Take your biased opinions elsewhere. Yu Darvish has been great his last few starts statistically speaking. Not the BEST, but he has been great.

    Comment by WilltheGM — September 24, 2012 @ 9:29 am

  59. Oh and by the way, please go find a guy who can change speeds from 63, to 96 in a game and tell me more about his “shit”.

    Comment by WilltheGM — September 24, 2012 @ 9:30 am

  60. Average wRC+ of those teams = 97.5

    Strength of schedule doesn’t seem to be a big factor

    Comment by Brett — September 24, 2012 @ 10:33 am

  61. I’m guessing this is in response to my comment above…
    Maybe if you get the tears out your eyes, and let your rage subside for a second; you will see my snark was not aimed at Yu’s ability, but at Sullivan’s bashing/praising of the Well’s strike out. Now I know baseball is new to you Ranger fans, but it would be nice if you didn’t clutter this board with your trifling opinions.

    Comment by makeitRayn — September 24, 2012 @ 11:20 am

  62. First of all my post was about multiple comments I had seen above and yours. Second of all i’m not just a Texas fan, but a baseball fan in general and i’m entitled to my opinions just as you are. This is a website for talking baseball, so drop the 12 year old dramatic comments about tears in my eyes and being new to baseball. This is not facebook. Sorry for mistaking your comment as a bash towards Yu Darvish. The way it was worded made it seem that way, if you will read the rest of the comments multiple people were bashing him. I think anyone who has pitched the way he has in his last 6 starts deserves some praise and thats why I posted what I did. I completely agree that it was not a strike and it was a bad call; my mistake. Now lets stop talking crap, and talk baseball.

    Comment by William — September 24, 2012 @ 12:57 pm

  63. What’s so crazy though is this blatant homophobic slur has only 11 negative votes. Why are the great majority of people who’ve read that comment OK with it??

    Comment by bstar — September 25, 2012 @ 9:03 am

  64. For the record, part I: it did make me giggle when I first read it.

    For the record, part II: I’m gay. Still giggled.

    For the record, part III: people take themselves much to seriously most of the time.

    Comment by Jason B — September 25, 2012 @ 3:23 pm

  65. Because comments with a lot of negative votes get read more than others. The minus button is the worst.

    Comment by Browl — September 25, 2012 @ 5:24 pm

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