A Replacement-Level Andrelton Simmons

I’ve been pretty busy. I wonder what Andrelton Simmons has been up to of late? Most of my attention is dedicated to the actual races. Let’s go ahead and take a quick peek over at Simmons’ MLB.com video highlight page. What’s the most recent clip look like? Cool, it’s from just a couple days ago. Looks like a defensive play against the Marlins. I’ll stream it, and — ooh, slow chopper off the bat. Batter got badly jammed. You’re telling me Simmons turned this into some kind of out?

simmonsmarlins1

That’s pretty hard to b-

SimmonsMarlins1.gif.opt

Welp.

The world needs not another article about how Andrelton Simmons is a defensive wizard. About how Andrelton Simmons is a defensive king of the wizards, or president of the wizards, or whatever, the head wizard through which all other prospective wizards must go. I wouldn’t say the topic’s been beaten to death, but Simmons is well understood around these parts, and his defensive numbers are on par with Barry Bonds‘ offensive-number porn. The statement: Andrelton Simmons is an otherworldly defender. The agreement: unanimous. He looks amazing in the numbers, and he looks amazing in the games.

There’s a question, though, mostly for fun, but asked in some way pretty often: given that Simmons can field, just how bad of a hitter could he stand to be for it to still be worth the Braves playing him? This is, basically, a matter of WAR. Simmons has been worth a lot of WAR, in large part because of his fielding. He has a career 91 wRC+. How much worse could that be? What might we learn about the value of defense?

There are a lot of ways to tackle this, but I’ve settled on trying to reduce Andrelton Simmons to being a replacement-level player. No, that probably wouldn’t make him a starting shortstop, but it could leave him a big leaguer, and the Cardinals and Yankees this year have demonstrated that you can compete with shortstop trouble spots. Also, it’s easy to deal with replacement level, because you’re just summing things to zero. If all your various values add up to zero, you’ve been replacement-level. Easy! And this should be a fun exercise.

So let’s set about creating a replacement-level Simmons. We’ll use the numbers he’s already posted, again basically for ease. The mystery box: batting value.

  • Baserunning: -0.4
  • Fielding: +34.9
  • Replacement: +22.3
  • Positional: +8.4
  • PA: 773

Those numbers add up to +65.2 runs. So if we want a replacement-level Simmons, we want to set his batting value at -65.2 runs, over 773 plate appearances. After division, that gives us -0.084 runs per PA. All right, now, I examined the historical window between 1969-2013, looking for players who batted at least 1,000 times. I calculated all of their respective batting run values per plate appearance, to see who might be closest to that hypothetical Simmons. Here, right here, is a list:

Four pitchers and a shortstop after whom the Mendoza Line was named. Four pitchers and a shortstop remembered specifically for the fact that he hit like a pitcher. The spreadsheet includes 1,778 different players. Twelve of them have lower batting run values than the hypothetical Simmons. All of them, of course, were pitchers, none active.

What if we look just at this season, so as to enhance your perspective? Some players who have posted similar batting run values per plate appearance:

If you take Simmons’ performance so far as legitimate, then in order to be approximately replacement-level overall, he could’ve gotten away with literally hitting like a pitcher. Not even necessarily a good-hitting pitcher. Seaver batted .154 and he sluggged .210. If Simmons were like a second pitcher in the Braves’ order, they could still be justified in playing him, because of his range and his arm and his hands.

Let’s say, though, that you don’t buy Simmons’ elevated defensive numbers so much. Let’s say you want to regress, and now this could double as a projection of sorts. Let’s knock off a full ten defensive runs. Who are some offensive comps, for a hypothetically replacement-level Simmons who is worth -0.071 runs per plate appearance?

What if we knocked off a full twenty defensive runs? That’s more than half Simmons’ career total. A replacement-level Simmons here would be worth -0.057 runs per plate appearance. Comparisons:

In order for Andrelton Simmons to be a replacement-level player, he’d have to hit like a pitcher, or one of the very-worst-hitting position players. This is true looking back, and this ought to be true looking forward, even as Simmons declines a bit. If Simmons hit like just another Braves starting pitcher, he’d be a borderline candidate for playing time. Instead, he gets on base almost 30% of the time and he slugs around .400. If you keep Simmons’ WAR the same, but transfer all of his fielding runs to his batting column, he’s a hitter like J.D. Drew or Josh Hamilton or Chase Utley. The difference between Simmons as a hitter and Utley as a hitter, so far, has been about equivalent to Simmons’ defensive value, not even counting his position.

So there are some answers to a fairly popular hypothetical. And while a team could justify playing a replacement-level Simmons, Braves fans don’t actually need to worry about that possibility, because his offense is far too good. Even assuming his defense declines, his offensive level is high enough that Simmons shouldn’t be any kind of problem for a long while. Rather, he’s a franchise building block.

And by the way, I was using UZR above. It’s UZR that puts Simmons at +34.9 career runs. Defensive Runs Saved puts him at +58.



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Jeff made Lookout Landing a thing, but he does not still write there about the Mariners. He does write here, sometimes about the Mariners, but usually not.


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@indifferentdrum
Guest
@indifferentdrum
2 years 8 months ago

Did you consider labeling him a “defensive grand wizard,” or “grand dragon,” if you will?

Antonio Bananas
Guest
Antonio Bananas
2 years 8 months ago

Supposed to be thumbs up. KKK joke, good job.

Paul
Guest
Paul
2 years 8 months ago

If you’re gonna make a KKK joke, it better be hilarious. This one wasn’t.

Sn0wman
Member
Sn0wman
2 years 8 months ago

Everyone should make KKK/Hitler/etc jokes whenever it isn’t a stretch. Rather than giving them the power of being some fearsome thing to only be spoken of in hushed terms and never to be joked about, let them be the pathetic objects of mockery that they deserve.

Dwayne Carter
Guest
Dwayne Carter
2 years 8 months ago

I concur.

Only time I ever made a Hitler reference “Like Hitler, it’s the New Orleans nightmare (…young money baby, yeah we right here, and I’mma make sure we ball ’til we bawl like tears).

I’m just about rhyming. Only history I know is Benjamin Franklins wrapped in rubber bands or duffeled up, for the f’ of it.

The guy under me, your comment is flawed logic. I’m no internet 5-0, just my two pennies.

Jason B
Guest
Jason B
2 years 8 months ago

wut

Tim
Guest
Tim
2 years 8 months ago

Don’t Braves pitchers historically hit better than pitchers in general?

CJ
Guest
CJ
2 years 8 months ago

If so, someone forgot to tell Tommy Hanson. He was the worst EVER.

Wil
Guest
Wil
2 years 8 months ago

He was so bad. He had 1 hit last year, the entire year. ONE.

Alex Remington
Member
2 years 8 months ago

He was so terrible that his Twitter bio actually said: “Starting pitcher for the Atlanta Braves. Not a very good hitter.”

https://twitter.com/TommyHanson48

Trotter76
Guest
Trotter76
2 years 8 months ago

So how bad does Tommy Hunter’s pitching need to be to make him replacement level for an NL pitcher? Or has he already dipped under that bar?

Jake
Guest
Jake
2 years 8 months ago

Do you think he gets any MVP votes?

Antonio Bananas
Guest
Antonio Bananas
2 years 8 months ago

According to b-ref he’s as valuable as Matt carpenter and cards fans have been clamping for him to get votes.

John C.
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John C.
2 years 8 months ago

He’ll appear on some ballots, but not finish in the top five, and probably not in the top 10. There are a lot of skeptics concerning defensive metrics, as well there should be – it’s fair to question the validity of a metric that is so inconsistent from year to year. And WAR (whichever calculation you use) is a tool/reference point, not a literal measure of wins delivered.

And before the Barves chorus starts up, I love watching Simmons play defense. But even if you think he’s the best thing since Ozzie Smith, the Wizard of Oz never finished above 13th in MVP voting, except for 1987 when he finished second. In 1987 Smith hit .303/.392/.383, good for an OPS+ of 105 from a SS. Simmons isn’t so much better than a top-of-his-game Ozzie Smith that he can make up 20 points difference in OPS+

cthabeerman
Member
cthabeerman
2 years 8 months ago

As a Brave fan, I agree with everything you said. The only thing I’d add is that we’re not in the 1980s anymore, and defense is gaining traction with the people in charge of voting.

I don’t think Simmons will post in the top-five this season, but I wouldn’t put it out of the realm of possibility as he comes into his own. If he can become an above-average hitter, I think there’s certainly an argument for it…and I think it’s an argument that will be made and accepted by many a few years down the road.

-C

Trotter76
Guest
2 years 8 months ago

He needs to get his hitting respectable in order to get MVP votes. Sabermatricians would say his OPS is under .700. For the newspaper stats, he’s hitting under .250. For the WAR guys, he’s not in the top 10. By comparison, you could argue that Carlos Gomez is a defensive master who also contributes mightily with the bat, and is more deserving of the MVP than Simmons.

He’s a great player, but he’s gotta hit to be MVP.

CJ
Guest
CJ
2 years 8 months ago

Outstanding article!! I had never thought about him like that. The very best part about him is that he is still learning as a major league hitter. He only played in the minor leagues a couple of years and was called up to the majors before his bat was totally allowed to develop. In the last 30 days he has hit .277 with a 136 wRC+. That is tremendous production from a guy who everyone thought would be a “glove only” shortstop.

FDA
Guest
FDA
2 years 8 months ago

He has hit only .000 with a wRC+ under 0 over the past three games, so his bat probably isn’t still developing.


Your point still stands, and it’s quite possible he could hit better especially since has shown decent power and low K rates. It’s just kinda impossible not to make a joke of your “over the last 30 days” comment

CJ
Guest
CJ
2 years 8 months ago

Yeah, I thought that was over the top after I posted it. I should have just left it at….”he’s made a ton of progress with the bat as this season has progressed”.

D
Guest
D
2 years 8 months ago

Curious, if you used his DRS #, could he hit like Tommy Hanson and still start?
Guessing the is the theoretical max for worst hitting person (aside from guys like us).

Tim
Guest
Tim
2 years 8 months ago

Hanson’s -0.205, which is a lot. Simmons would have to save 128 runs to even that out.

A batter who went up without a bat would have a wOBA of about .024 and Simmons would have to make up 153 runs. So Simmons is more than 1/3 of the way to no batter, but less than halfway to Hanson.

Tim
Guest
Tim
2 years 8 months ago

By DRS I mean.

Sn0wman
Member
Sn0wman
2 years 8 months ago

Shouldn’t Al Leiter be the gold standard for awful hitting, rather than Hanson? Without looking, my memory says that every year when I saw him he was batting something like .040.

Requisite Troll
Guest
Requisite Troll
2 years 8 months ago

I think a better question would be if he could pitch better than Hanson at this point. Possibly.

Justin
Guest
Justin
2 years 8 months ago

What if we did the same thing with a good-hit, poor-field player? Miggy Cabrera is a bad third baseman, but — considering his elite bat — how bad would he have to be to bring his overall worth down to replacement level? Has there ever been a fielder that bad in the history of baseball? Get cracking, Jeff!

Brendan
Guest
Brendan
2 years 8 months ago

2008/2009 Adam Dunn?

I mean he didn’t have current-level Miggy’s elite bat. But he posted a 130 and 142 wRC+ and his fielding was bad enough to drag his WAR down below 1.

Tim
Guest
Tim
2 years 8 months ago

This one’s pretty easy: Cabrera’s been worth 65.1 runs this year and the worst fielder ever by UZR was Brad Hawpe in 2008 at -36.1 runs. So not particularly close.

Johnston
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Johnston
2 years 8 months ago

Jose Offerman? Dick Stuart?

Al
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Al
2 years 8 months ago

Matt Adams at shortstop.

Matt
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Matt
2 years 8 months ago

The alternative universe Detroit team, featuring Miggy & Prince as the 2B/SS combo, might go close.

Bono
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Bono
2 years 8 months ago

Albert Pujols as a CF

Sean T
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Sean T
2 years 8 months ago

I would pay damn good money to see that. Hell, I’d pay damn good money to play against them. I was a crappy hitting outfielder in high school and I still might hit .300 if those two were manning the keystone positions.

RMD
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RMD
2 years 8 months ago

So… Brendan Ryan?

vivalajeter
Guest
vivalajeter
2 years 8 months ago

When I saw the title, I honestly thought the article would be about Ryan, considering the timing.

Robbie G.
Guest
Robbie G.
2 years 8 months ago

Me, too!

Balthazar
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Balthazar
2 years 8 months ago

And me as well.

taprat
Guest
taprat
2 years 8 months ago

Jeff did a similar article about Brendan Ryan over at Lookout Landing about a year ago (more or less). I just gave it about 5 minutes of searching and I can’t find it. I remember it well, because it was actually in response to an email query that I sent to Jeff. Jeff?

Anon21
Member
Anon21
2 years 8 months ago

I mean, Ryan’s not half the fielder Simmons is, but other than that, yeah.

Peter Williams
Guest
Peter Williams
2 years 8 months ago

Check your facts! Nearly equal in the field.

Anon21
Member
Anon21
2 years 8 months ago

I did check before I posted, and no, they aren’t “nearly equal.” Ryan’s highest UZR reading ever was 13.8 in 1170 innings in 2012. Simmons is at 23.9 in 1200 innings this year. Ryan career UZR/150 at short: 11.7. Simmons: 28.0. Ryan has logged 1 DRS every 56 innings at short. Simmons has logged one every 28 innings. (Pretty neat how that works out.)

This is no knock on Ryan. He’s a great shortstop. It’s just that Simmons is generational. It’s not really fair to Ryan to compare them.

Za
Guest
Za
2 years 8 months ago

Yankee fan, right?

edward
Guest
edward
2 years 8 months ago

can we point this analysis in the opposite direction? what superstar offensive player with average defense would generate the same runs added value as the number of runs that simmons has saved with his defense? what other player with average defensive skills has added 65.2 runs above replacement level?

Wil
Guest
Wil
2 years 8 months ago

If Simmons doesn’t win a Gold Glove this year it’ll be the biggest crime of the award season.

Wil
Guest
Wil
2 years 8 months ago

Other than the various murders, rapes, etc.

Antonio Bananas
Guest
Antonio Bananas
2 years 8 months ago

Not true, rapists often get put in jail and then anal raped themselves. So at least there is justice. Now, if everyone who didn’t vote for Simmons were given the same…

Brick
Guest
Brick
2 years 8 months ago

If, when you refer to “everyone who didn’t vote for Simmons [being] given the same” justice you mean “not getting voted for,” then it would just be a stupid comment. However, looking at your joke I think you meant that “everyone who [doesn’t] vote for Simmons” should get “put in jail and then anal raped”–not funny, making light of a serious topic (rape), and a poorly constructed refutation at best.

Anon21
Member
Anon21
2 years 8 months ago

Also, rape for rape is not “justice.” It’s just another crime.

Old Testament God
Guest
Old Testament God
2 years 8 months ago

Duly noted, Anon21.

Graeme McDowell
Guest
Graeme McDowell
2 years 8 months ago

So, you think that Srixon golf ball ad I did is in poor taste, Brick? Apeelman could send the check back.

Antonio Bananas
Guest
Antonio Bananas
2 years 8 months ago

Anthony Jeselnik makes a living off rape jokes. I apologize for being insensitive.

Wobatus
Guest
Wobatus
2 years 8 months ago

Kudos for clarifying your own words, but I had assumed you meant among all of the crimes having to do with the awards. Unless Murray Chass is being murdered. Or even if.

Wil
Guest
Wil
2 years 8 months ago

I’m the OP, someone else with the same name responded with the rape bit.

I clearly meant among the crimes having to do with the awards.

Bob
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Bob
2 years 8 months ago

What Simmons “hit” like Shaq Thompson? Would this be infinity divided by zero?

leeroy
Guest
leeroy
2 years 8 months ago

idea for follow-up article: what replacement-level Barry Bonds’ defense would look like, keeping offense the same.

Ian R.
Guest
2 years 8 months ago

Well, let’s see. 2001 Barry Bonds was worth 117.7 runs above average (not replacement level, average) according to wRAA. So to be even a league-average player, assuming he was slightly below-average on the basepaths (we don’t have UBR for 2001) and accounting for the positional adjustment, he would have had to give away roughly 110 runs in the field.

I’m pretty sure he couldn’t have done that if he’d stood in left field without a glove.

Kevin Mitchell
Guest
Kevin Mitchell
2 years 8 months ago

Yes. He’s nothing like me in left field.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cyFgu9CiZRo

Jake
Guest
Jake
2 years 8 months ago

I’m pretty sure if that person existed, he would be the only fielder you need.

Jake
Guest
Jake
2 years 8 months ago

Nevermind, I read that wrong. I was thinking you kept Bonds’ WAR the same but made his hitting replacement level.

Antonio Bananas
Guest
Antonio Bananas
2 years 8 months ago

Can we get a table? Like “for 0.0 WAR, he could hit like X, for 2 WAR, Y” etc

fast at last
Guest
fast at last
2 years 8 months ago

comments from the player position rankings before the season.

“Dear Jeff,

Is Andrelton Simmons the best defensive SS of all time or just the best defensive SS of our generation?

Sincerely,

Every Braves Fan”

Recently an article was posted by Jeff positing whether Simmons was having the best defensive season in the past decade. (He is by DRS)

“Expecting truly ridiculous numbers? I could see Simmons breaking 12 runs at SS a couple of years in along career, but it makes no sense as a projection, which is what these are supposed to be.”

Simmons at 39 DRS today.

“Hurray. All the braves fans have come out to cheer because they’ve found a result that supports their own opinions.”

This is in response to the win projections coming out and putting the Braves neck to neck with the Nationals when Dave Cameron said that the Braves would be closer to the Phillies than to the Nationals… hmm.

anyways, trololololol.

Tim
Guest
Tim
2 years 8 months ago

Interestingly, by UZR Simmons isn’t even having the best defensive season this year.

fast at last
Guest
fast at last
2 years 8 months ago

No! You’re right! Which is why I said DRS. Even though Simmons is having an exceptional defensive season by UZR it’s not the best ever, however we all know that UZR and DRS are not reliable in one year samples, but considering Simmons has put up the best single season DRS ever, we must take note and at least give consideration that he may be having the best defensive season since the stats were introduced.

Brick
Guest
Brick
2 years 8 months ago

“We all know that UZR and DRS are not reliable in one year samples”
“You’re right [that Simmons does not have the best UZR]”
“Simmons has the best DRS”
“he may be having the best defensive season since the stats were introduced”

Not that I disagree with the statement, but your logic(al progression) confuses me.

fast at last
Guest
fast at last
2 years 8 months ago

I get you’re saying and I should have clarified, basically I’m trying to express that– even though defensive metrics are inaccurate over one season samples, Simmons is still at a mark that’s never been achieved, and there’s only so much of that you can chalk up to variance. Take away ~25% of Simmons DRS at the end of the season and he’s still probably going to be among the top of the all time DRS seasons.

Tim
Guest
Tim
2 years 8 months ago

I don’t and didn’t mean to bash Simmons here, but I don’t think people are really failing to take note of his impressive season, especially at Fangraphs. Whereas Manny Machado is having a top-ten defensive season ever by a third baseman, and so far the third-best UZR season ever and best by an infielder, and nobody even seems to be making GIFs about it.

I’ve only seen about two games from each team this year, so I really appreciate the Simmons articles/GIFs/video and it would be nice to have some of Machado too.

Mike
Guest
Mike
2 years 8 months ago

While we can agree that Manny Machado probably should be getting more love for his defense this season, his numbers get a bit of a boost from playing 3rd base, a position where the defenses of Miguel Cabrera and Chris Johnson are taken into consideration when calculating UZR.

Wil
Guest
Wil
2 years 8 months ago

Nothing against Machado, but there is a big difference from 3rd to SS defensively.

Butt-hurt Braves fans strike again!
Guest
Butt-hurt Braves fans strike again!
2 years 8 months ago

Those mean preseason projections by one guy! We sure showed them! *High fives all around*

James
Guest
James
2 years 8 months ago

We can’t rest until Simmons is #1 on the trade value column too! Mike Trout who?

Rob
Guest
Rob
2 years 8 months ago

Yes, because only one guy made the comment that Braves wildly overrated Simmons. It became a meme that appeared in the comments section here anytime Simmons name appeared. Obviously Braves fan were ridiculous for correctly pointing out that Andrelton Simmons was criminally underrated around these parts until just a couple months ago (I mean seriously how did he get left off the trade value series again?).

Now that everyone has else has realized the obvious, you guys have to resort to making posts like these. Just eat the crow already.

bilbovibrator
Guest
bilbovibrator
2 years 8 months ago

FRANCHISE BUILDING BLOCK!!!

The Humber Games
Guest
The Humber Games
2 years 8 months ago

Could this be an argument for defense being overvalued in WAR? Just throwing that out there

The Humber Games
Guest
The Humber Games
2 years 8 months ago

Or to put it differently since you’re also using uzr – are the results you got here because Simmons is just that good, or are we just overvaluing defense in our metrics?

Wil
Guest
Wil
2 years 8 months ago

Your argument basically boils down to, is creating runs worth more than saving runs?

Runs are runs and I think people have a tendency to underrate the impact of good defense on the game.

Za
Guest
Za
2 years 8 months ago

Doubt it. The numbers match the eye test. The guy dramatically reduces the likelihood of the opposing team getting an actual hit when the ball comes his way, in a way other SS just don’t. I’ve seen good SS, but this guy’s combination of range and arm is the best I’ve seen. Better than Rey Ordoñez, and this guy’s offensive floor is obviously higher but his ceiling could be 25+ homers.

Dan
Guest
Dan
2 years 8 months ago

I’m with you, Za. I’m a Tigers fan, and I watch both Detroit and Atlanta play a lot. I can tell you that Jose Iglesias is just about the same kind of player as Rey Ordonez. Tons of range, incredible hands, and a knack for making really, really neat plays, but neither one of them is Simmons’ equal. Simmons is stronger than those guys, and he can make superb plays look relatively unremarkable, and he does it all the time. He’s the best I’ve seen in a long, long time.

Phantom Stranger
Guest
Phantom Stranger
2 years 8 months ago

His arm is the biggest difference. Simmons can get outs from the SS position that no other SS in history has ever been able to duplicate on a regular basis.

JMN19
Guest
JMN19
2 years 8 months ago

Most teams wouldn’t put up with a game plan to field replacement level players, I too would like to see what he would look like for 2 WAR, which is an average everyday player rather than a replacement player. If you lose Simmons to injury you probably bring in a replacement player for the short term, but if Simmons lost too much of his bat there has to be a consideration of an alternative in trade or development that would be considered to fill the hole.

Ozzy
Guest
Ozzy
2 years 8 months ago

It’s crazy to think that, if you believe his power spike is real, the 2013 offensive version of Simmons could be his floor. Even with the ~10% jump in FB % between this year and last, it’s hard to believe that he’s a true talent .250 BABIP hitter. ZiPS puts him at .277 ROS (albeit with a drop in ISO), but if the power is real and his BABIP can creep closer to .280 over his career, we could be looking at a scary good player.

Jason B
Guest
Jason B
2 years 8 months ago

“the 2013 offensive version of Simmons could be his floor.”

I’m not sure that term (floor) means what you think it means…

Rob
Guest
Rob
2 years 8 months ago

What about this season makes you think he will regress? Beyond the fact that he just turned 24 a week ago and is still relatively inexperienced for his age (being a foreign born player who went the US juco route), he’s currently sporting a .248 BABIP and he has seemingly progressed since the ASB (124 wRC+ with more BBs than Ks).

Phantom Stranger
Guest
Phantom Stranger
2 years 8 months ago

I think Simmons will eventually be a consistent 120 OPS+ hitter. Think Marco Scutaro with more power. Simmons definitely has solid power for his frame. If he only cuts down on the huge amount of pop ups he generates, he’ll eventually hit .290.

Spit Ball
Guest
Spit Ball
2 years 8 months ago

” and his defensive numbers are on par with Barry Bonds‘ offensive-number porn.”-bahahahaha.

los
Guest
los
2 years 8 months ago

Why do I remember Livan as a good hitter????

CJ
Guest
CJ
2 years 8 months ago

He was a good hitter for a pitcher. He had a .221 career average with 10 home runs.

Za
Guest
Za
2 years 8 months ago

So I just looked up his numbers. Apparently Simmons, despite his 90 wRC+ has already hit fifteen homers this year?!? That’s a fantastic young player…who will be tormenting my team for the foreseeable future.

Wil
Guest
Wil
2 years 8 months ago

He has some great bat speed and he can really hit the ball far. What’s even crazier is his BABIP for this year is .249 well below league average, so this isn’t even the best he can be offensively.

Wobatus
Guest
Wobatus
2 years 8 months ago

He has the 3rd lowest k rate in the majors, below Scutaro and Aoki, but a much higher ISO than those two. I think he looks promising as a hitter.

a5ehren
Guest
a5ehren
2 years 8 months ago

Check the FB%, though. He doesn’t K much, but his BABIP is low due to the massive number of pop-ups he hits.

Wobatus
Guest
Wobatus
2 years 8 months ago

His xbabip I believe is still higher than his babip of .249.

Hurtlockertwo
Guest
Hurtlockertwo
2 years 8 months ago

Ozzie Smith made a HOF career out of his fielding, same for Mazeroski.
If he hits at all it’s a bonus.

tz
Guest
tz
2 years 8 months ago

Jeff, thanks for another great article.

I mentioned a similar concept on an earlier post, which was about a “Personal Mendoza Line” that would be the batting average a player would have to hit to be at the replacement level:

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/david-dejesus-alex-rios-and-perception/

It’s funny that Simmons’ “Offense Needed to be Replacement Level” projects to be about the same as Mario Mendoza (allowing for 10 DRS of regression)

Jake
Member
Jake
2 years 8 months ago

“Andrelton Simmons is a defensive king of the wizards, or president of the wizards, or whatever, the head wizard through which all other prospective wizards must go.”

Finally a sentence that does Simmons skills justice.

awalnoha
Member
awalnoha
2 years 8 months ago

I’m a little late to the party but can I just say the play brings tears to my eyes it is so good. It’s like watching a good 3B do that on bunt but that was all the way out on the edge of the grass. He was paying really deep too.

fjrobinson44
Guest
fjrobinson44
2 years 8 months ago

I don’t like this exercise. We already had two guys in the lineup hit like pitchers this season. Thank goodness for Jordan Schafer.

Matt
Guest
Matt
2 years 8 months ago

It would be fun to do the inverse of the article and see how bad Miguel Cabrera would have to be on defense to be replacement level. Is that level of defense even possible?

Jonathan
Guest
Jonathan
2 years 8 months ago

I would like to see a comparison with Zach Cozart. Both hit about the same and it’s hard for me to believe Simmons’s UZR is 18 higher than Cozart’s.

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