ALDS Coverage: That’s a Wrap for Boston

Entering yesterday’s game, Boston had scored one run through two games and seemingly been dismantled by the Angels combo of John Lackey and Jered Weaver. They would have to get to perennial Red Sox “killer” Scott Kazmir if their championship hopes were to remain plausible. With such, the third inning was a breath of fresh air. A walk, single, double, and another single gave the Sox 3-0 advantage. A J.D. Drew two-run homer in the fourth gave the Sox a 5-1 lead. Kazmir would be lifted after six innings; striking out only one, allowing a homer, walking three, and officially giving up five earned runs.

Consider that you could square then double the total amount of runs scored through the first 20 innings for the Red Sox and it would still be less than they scored in the third inning alone. They would go on to score a run off Kevin Jepsen as well, but for the most part Boston’s offense sputtered at the most important facet of their game: getting on base. Boston only left five runners in game one and six in game two. Minnesota stranded 17 by themselves in game two.

So Boston now enters an off-season with Jason Bay potentially becoming a free agent. They’ll likely address shortstop in more depth as well. The obvious options to fill those holes are Matt Holliday and J.J. Hardy. There’s a chance the Bay versus Holliday arguments never come to fruition, but if they do, Boston needs to go with the latter. Their defense was lacking all season, and just check out the year-by-year WAR comparison of the two:

Year	Bay	Holliday
2007	0.1	7.9
2008	2.9	6.2
2009	3.4	5.6

Of course, it is Boston, so there’s always the probability of them raiding some of the market’s more undervalued talents, too. Expect some turnover, but don’t confuse it with admission of failure. This Sox team was nowhere near as bad as it showed in the playoffs.




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14 Responses to “ALDS Coverage: That’s a Wrap for Boston”

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  1. Xavier says:

    I think you have the years for the WAR stat reversed.

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  2. ineedanap says:

    If BOS picks up Holliday what does that mean for the other quick-to-be-eliminated team, the Cardinals?

    Holliday, Pinero, DeRosa, Smoltz, etc are all going to be free agents. What moves could they make to compensate for those loses and still be competetive in 2010?

    Similiarly, the Twins took an early exit in the first round. It was a bit of a surprise to see them there in the first place, what do you see in their future.

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  3. Kevin S. says:

    I hate to be ‘that guy’ who bitches about the content on a free website, but did you guys collectively decide Twins-Yanks wasn’t worth writing about?

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  4. Aaron says:

    I don’t mind being the guy who bitches about the math in an article. Why not point out that the Red Sox runs in the first 20 innings could have been cubed and then doubled, or raised to the 10th power and then doubled, or the 4,356 power, or the -pi/3 power and then doubled. It’s silly to talk about squaring run totals when those run totals are 1. If you point is that they scored few runs we get that 1 run is not very much, attempting arithmetical sleight of hand just seems over the top.

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  5. mattymatty says:

    The guy I keep thinking the Red Sox should put all their effort into (re)acquiring is Hanley Ramirez. Ramirez solves the dual problems of adding offense and finding a shortstop. True, he’s not a great fielder (UZR150 of 0.0 this season), but he’s improved (UZR150 of -20.9 two seasons ago, and -0.6 last season) if not fantastic.

    With Ramirez in the fold the Sox could acquire a stop-gap for left field without having to break the bank for Bay or Holiday.

    Of course, acquiring Ramirez is much much easier said than done.

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  6. Rob in CT says:

    Is Abreu a FA again this year? He could probably handle LF at Fenway. He’s a stop-gap solution, to be sure, but getting Holliday is no sure thing (I’d expect the Cards, Yanks and some other teams to be in on that).

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  7. Jeff says:

    Oh no…

    Now that the Sox got swept there won’t be any more content…

    Anyway, to mattymatty:

    Obviously, Hanley would be a great addition to any team. That isn’t exactly rocket science.

    “With Ramirez in the fold the Sox could acquire a stop-gap for left field without having to break the bank for Bay or Holiday”

    Except you’ll have to — in terms of prospects. Prospects have value. They may not be cold hard cash but are more like stocks. The Red Sox will have to give up tons just to even open the negotiations for the Marlins franchise player.

    The question isn’t whether Hanley would help; the question is: how can they get him? In all likelihood, they won’t.

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  8. Steve says:

    “Of course, it is Boston, so there’s always the probability of them raiding some of the market’s more undervalued talents too.”

    yeah, they could do that. or they could stop trying to prove how much smarter they are than everyone and just sign someone who is actually good at baseball. like say, John Lackey.

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  9. John says:

    The Red Sox pitching was worth nearly 24 WAR this year – best in the AL. Doesn’t seem like Lackey is a good use of their resources.

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  10. Nick Smith says:

    It all depends on the details. If it’s 4/60 then jump on it; if it’s 5/90, then you’re better off saving your money for Beckett, Mauer, VMart, Halladay, Vazquez, Felix, Prince, Pujols, Gonzalez, Verlander, Reyes, and Crawford — truly elite players who will be free agents within the next two years.

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  11. M.A. says:

    Astute Boston fans foresee a trade between Philadelphia and Boston, exchanging Werth for Papelbon. See MLB trade rumors for the gory details.

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    • Dirty Water says:

      I wouldn’t trade Paps for Werth. Paps has great value as one of the 3 best closers in baseball, and Werth has more holes in his swing than a dancing quadriplegic. And he’d also be overkill in Fenway’s LF (which is where he’d play). No NL ‘stars’ for me, thanks.

      The Sox need a Manny. Not an Agon, not a King, not a Hedley (that’s HANLEY!), not a replacement for their entire team because of year cut short. Just a Manny will do, thank you; a killer bat who would make those around him better.

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