Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by sabermetric nobleman Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.
Most Highly Rated Game
St. Louis at San Francisco | 16:05 ET
Reyes (28.0 IP, 95 xFIP-) vs. Suarez (75.0 IP, 109 xFIP-)
St. Louis’s wild-card odds have declined by nearly 20 points since Thursday, an interval which accounts for the first three games of their series against San Francisco in the latter’s ballpark. The results could have been worse: had they not won last night, the loss in wild-card probability would likely have amounted to roughly 30 points.
|Event||STL WC%||Change||SFG WC%||Change|
|After Game 1||43.3%||-8.8||72.4%||+5.1|
|After Game 2||28.1%||-15.2||79.6%||+7.2|
|After Game 3||34.3%||+6.2||74.7%||-4.9|
The endeavor has become more difficult in the meantime, as well, with the recent success of the Mets — rendering a win today even more consequential.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: San Francisco Radio or Television.