Archive for Daily Notes

Daily Notes: Professional Stats of Last Year’s Cape Leaders

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Professional Stats of Last Year’s Cape Leaders
2. Danny Salazar Night in the Americas, Maybe
3. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
4. Today’s Complete Schedule

Professional Stats of Last Year’s Cape Leaders
Introduction
The 2013 iteration of the Cape Cod League — the collegiate, wood-bat summer league responsible for approximately a third of the most recent draft’s first-round picks (and a similar percentage of the first ten rounds’ picks) — concluded this past Thursday. Tomorrow, the author will publish the SCOUT* leaderboards for this year’s Cape League hitters and pitchers. For the purposes of this edition of the Notes, however, what the author has done is to create a custom leaderboard featuring the top-10 hitters and pitchers from last year’s Cape League, according to that same methodology.

*The (poorly) regressed defense-independent index stat devised by the author.

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Daily Notes: Danny Salazar Night in the Americas

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Danny Salazar Night in the Americas
2. Promotion Watch 2013: Xander Bogaerts
3. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
4. Today’s Complete Schedule

Danny Salazar Night in the Americas
The Purpose of This Post
The purpose of this post is to announce — such that residents of the Americas (plural) be made aware — to announce that today is Danny Salazar Night in all their respective countries.

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Daily Notes: Feat. Analysis from the Author’s Unsporting Friend

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Analysis from the Author’s Unsporting Friend
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Analysis from the Author’s Unsporting Friend
The author, as he writes this, is presently sitting across a breakfast table from a former grad-school companion — one (a) who is a very good and talented friend, but (b) whose knowledge of baseball appears entirely confined to the end of Ronald Reagan’s second term in office.

What follows is a small collection of that same friend’s thoughts on the game, in the order which they (i.e. those thoughts) appeared:

On the 1988 World Series
“I hope Kirk Gibson’s leg is alright.”

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Daily Notes: Largely Concerning Jenrry Mejia’s Start Today

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Largely Concerning Jenrry Mejia’s Start Today
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Largely Concerning Jenrry Mejia’s Start Today
The Purpose of This Post
The purpose of this post is mostly to announce that Mets right-hander Jenrry Mejia both (a) has been excellent thus far in his return to the majors and (b) is pitching tonight (Saturday) at 8:40pm ET.

Regarding Mejia’s Performance to Date
Through four starts and over 24.1 innings, the 23-year-old Mejia has recorded strikeout and walk rates of 22.5% and 3.1%, respectively — marks which would place him 23rd and first overall, also respectively, among 91 qualified starters. His ground-ball rate of 57.5%, moreover, would be second-best among that same population.

A Haphazard Comparison Involving Jenrry Mejia
Here’s a haphazardly selected statistical comparison between Mejia and another pitcher (in this case, Adam Wainwright) whom the author noticed has a similar profile — in this case, featuring each pitcher’s defense-independent performance over the last month:

Name Team IP K% BB% GB% vFA (pfx) xFIP-
Jenrry Mejia Mets 24.1 22.5% 3.1% 57.5% 92.3 65
Adam Wainwright Cardinals 36.0 22.2% 6.3% 58.2% 91.3 76

Mejia and Wainwright, Another Similarity
Beyond some statistical similarities over the past month, what Mejia and Wainwright also have in common is that each throws a fastball with cutting action about one-third of the time.

Action Footage: Jenrry Mejia’s Slider
Here’s action footage from Mejia’s August 8th start against Colorado of the right-hander striking out Corey Dickerson on an excellent slider:

Mejia Dickerson SL SS K

Slower Action Footage: That Same Slider
And here’s slower action footage of that same pitch:

Mejia Dickerson SL SS K SLOW

Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
Houston at Los Angeles AL | 21:05 ET
Dallas Keuchel (114.0 IP, 90 xFIP-, 0.4 WAR) faces Garrett Richards (93.2 IP, 88 xFIP-, 1.1 WAR).

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Houston Radio, Perhaps?

Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 5.8.

Note: the following table is entirely sortable.


Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Trevor Cahill AZ 5 3 4 7 3 PIT Jeff Locke 16:05
Hiroki Kuroda NYA 5 3 6 9 8 BOS John Lackey 16:05
Joe Kelly STL 4 3 4 5 3 CHN Travis Wood 16:05
Chad Bettis* COL 8 7 6 9 3 BAL Bud Norris 19:05
Clayton Kershaw LAN 10 3 5 0 3 PHI Kyle Kendrick 19:05
Wade Davis KC 4 7 6 7 7 DET Doug Fister 19:08
Chris Sale CHA 10 1 7 3 7 MIN Andrew Albers* 19:10
Mat Latos CIN 8 3 5 4 4 MIL Yovani Gallardo 19:10
Matt Cain SF 5 5 5 1 7 MIA Hend. Alvarez 19:10
J.A. Happ TOR 0 5 4 10 6 TB R. Hernandez 19:10
St. Strasburg WAS 10 2 8 8 8 ATL Mike Minor 19:10
Felix Hernandez SEA 10 4 8 3 8 TEX Martin Perez 20:05
Jenrry Mejia NYN 10 7 7 6 3 SD Edinson Volquez 20:40
Ubaldo Jimenez CLE 3 7 5 6 6 OAK Dan Straily 21:05
Dallas Keuchel HOU 7 4 7 7 7 LAA Garrett Richards 21:05

To learn how Pitcher and Team NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.


Daily Notes: Most Improved Pitchers So Far, Per ZiPS

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Most Improved Pitchers So Far, Per ZiPS
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Most Improved Pitchers So Far, Per ZiPS
In May, the author examined those hitters and pitchers whose projections had most improved, up till that point, according to the Steamer and ZiPS systems. This week, in the Notes, we’re revisiting that effort.

On Tuesday and Wednesday, we looked at the most improved hitters according to Steamer and ZiPS, respectively. Yesterday, we considered here the most improved pitchers according to Steamer — where “most improved” is defined as “greatest decrease in projected ERA.” Below are the most improved pitchers according to ZiPS.

Note: pitchers who (a) are projected to make starts in fewer than 50% of their remaining appearances or (b) are absent currently from a major-league roster have been omitted from consideration. Other note: only pitchers who were assigned both a preseason and rest-of-season projection have been considered.

5. Derek Holland, LHP, Texas
ZiPS (Pre): 170.2 IP, 7.43 K/9, 2.90 BB/9, 1.42 HR/9, 4.53 ERA
ZiPS (RoS): 47.0 IP, 7.80 K/9, 2.75 BB/9, 1.11 HR/9, 4.02 ERA
Notes: Holland’s strikeout and walk rates this season are better, but not significantly better, than in past seasons. His ground-ball rate has actually decreased. What’s mostly improved for Holland is the rate at which fly balls have become home runs: the left-hander has recorded a 7.3% HR/FB this season, after a 15.2% mark last one.

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Daily Notes: Most Improved Pitchers So Far, Per Steamer

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Most Improved Pitchers So Far, Per Steamer
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Most Improved Pitchers So Far, Per Steamer
In May, the author examined those hitters and pitchers whose projections had most improved, up till that point, according to the Steamer and ZiPS systems. This week, in the Notes, we’re revisiting that effort.

On Tuesday and Wednesday, we looked at the most improved hitters according to Steamer and ZiPS, respectively. Below are the most improved pitchers according to Steamer — where “most improved” is defined as “greatest decrease in projected ERA.”

Note: pitchers who (a) are projected to make starts in fewer than 50% of their remaining appearances or (b) are absent currently from a major-league roster have been omitted from consideration.

5. John Lackey, RHP, Boston
Steamer (Pre): 143.0 IP, 5.89 K/9, 2.98 BB/9, 0.98 HR/9, 4.42 ERA
Steamer (RoS): 43.0 IP, 7.47 K/9, 2.55 BB/9, 0.85 HR/9, 3.77 ERA
Notes: Lackey’s present strikeout rate of 22.2% is the highest such figure he’s recorded since 2005, when he posted a 22.3% mark. His current 81 xFIP- would be the lowest of his career by that measure.

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Daily Notes: Most Improved Hitters So Far, Per ZiPS

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Most Improved Hitters So Far, Per ZiPS
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Most Improved Hitters So Far, Per ZiPS
In May, the author examined those hitters and pitchers whose projections had most improved, up till that point, according to the Steamer and ZiPS systems. This week, in the Notes, we’re revisiting that effort.

In yesterday’s edition: the league’s most improved hitters, according to Steamer — where “most improved” is defined as “greatest increase in wOBA projection.” Today: that same thing, but for ZiPS.

Note: only players with both a preseason and rest-of-season projection have been considered. Other note: any player either (a) presently absent from a major-league roster or (b) with fewer than 60 projected plate appearances remaining has been omitted from consideration.

5. Mike Carp, Cornerman, Boston
ZiPS (Pre): 506 PA, .239/.304/.394 (.286 BABIP), .305 wOBA, 97 wRC+
ZiPS (RoS): 105 PA, .274/.335/.471 (.331 BABIP), .350 wOBA, 117 wRC+
Notes: Owing to a switch in parks from Safeco to Fenway, Carp’s raw wOBA differential is greater proportionately than his wRC+ differential — which is what makes him fifth on this list, as opposed to second. Still, he’s been excellent for Boston. ZiPS, which is rather aggressive about integrating particularly low or high seasonal BABIPs into rest-of-season projections, appears to remain rather aggressive about integrating Carp’s rather high .410 BABIP into his rest-of-season projection.

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Daily Notes: Most Improved Hitters So Far, Per Steamer

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Most Improved Hitters So Far, Per Steamer
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Most Improved Hitters So Far, Per Steamer
In May, the author examined those hitters and pitchers whose projections had most improved, up till that point, according to the Steamer and ZiPS systems. This week, in the Notes, we’ll revisit that effort.

In this edition: the league’s most improved hitters, according to Steamer — where “most improved” is defined as “greatest increase in wOBA projection.”*

Note: only players with both a preseason and rest-of-season projection have been considered. Other note: any player absent currently from a major-league roster has been omitted from consideration.

5. Josh Donaldson, 3B, Oakland
Steamer (Pre): 403 PA, .250/.315/.421 (.279 BABIP), .319 wOBA, 103 wRC+
Steamer (RoS): 166 PA, .264/.336/.441 (.294 BABIP), .340 wOBA, 117 wRC+
Notes: Despite hitting quite poorly in the first half of 2012, Donaldson produced a slash-line of .290/.356/.489 (.323 BABIP) and 136 wRC+ over 194 plate appearances in the second half. The third baseman has improved slighly even upon that in 2013 and is projected to post end-of-season WAR totals of 5.8 and 5.9 by ZiPS and Steamer, respectively.

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Daily Notes: Danny Salazar Night in America

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Danny Salazar Night in America
2. Other Notable Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Danny Salazar Night in America
The Purpose of This Post
The purpose of this post is to announce that Cleveland right-hander Danny Salazar, of the Santo Domingo Salazars, is starting tonight (Monday) at 8:10pm ET against Minnesota — a game which is available gratis, care of MLB.TV.

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Daily Notes: Featuring Analysis from the Author’s Grandfather

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Analysis from the Author’s Grandfather
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Analysis from the Author’s Grandfather
The author, as he writes this, is presently sitting across a breakfast table from his 92-year-old grandfather, a man who not only has opinions, but whose opinions themselves have opinions.

What follows is a small collection of that same grandfather’s opinions on the Boston Red Sox and AL East.

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Daily Notes: Regarding Alex Wood’s Resume, Thus Far

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Regarding Alex Wood’s Resume, Thus Far
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Regarding Alex Wood’s Resume, Thus Far
Introduction
Left-hander Alex Wood, 22, starts tonight (Saturday) against Miami at 7:10pm ET. What follows is a brief examination of his impressive, if short, professional resume.

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Daily Notes: Speed and Defense Leaders, Laggards

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Speed and Defense Leaders, Laggards
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Speed and Defense Leaders, Laggards
Introduction
This past November the author wrote a piece examining the value of elite speed as measured in wins — which it to say, those sorts of wins as might be produced by baserunning and (in this case) outfield defense.

What follows is a sort of conceptual relative of that brief study, insofar as the object has been to identify those players who have been most productive this season by means of baserunning and defensive ability alone. What the author has done is find, for each player, both his baserunning runs and also his total of defensive runs saved (UZR) with the positional adjustment from WAR included.

While the caveats regarding single-season defensive numbers absolutely apply in this instance, one will also observe that, by including positional adjustments, as well, that the effect of the volatility of those same numbers over a small sample is somewhat muted.

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Daily Notes: Carlos Martinez to Make First Major-League Start

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Carlos Martinez to Make First Major-League Start
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Carlos Martinez to Make First Major-League Start
Introduction
Right-handed St. Louis prospect Carlos Martinez, who’s split time this season as a starter in the minors and also as a member of the Cardinal bullpen, makes his first major-league start today (Thursday) at 8:15pm ET against the Los Angeles Nationals.

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Daily Notes: A Sober Dispatch from the Corey Kluber Society

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. A Sober Dispatch from the Corey Kluber Society
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

A Sober Dispatch from the Corey Kluber Society
Adherent always to noted French poet and inventor of the frown Charles Baudelaire’s pronouncement that “Il faut être toujours ivre,”* it’s without joy that the Corey Kluber Society announces quite soberly that Corey Kluber himself has been placed on the disabled list for an indefinite period of time with a sprain of the right middle finger.

*Roughly translated: “One must always be drunk.”

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Daily Notes: Prince Fielder’s RBI Total with Every Team

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Prince Fielder’s RBI Total with Every Team
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Prince Fielder’s RBI Total with Every Team
Introduction
On Monday, during the SportsTime Ohio broadcast of the Detroit-Cleveland game, Indians color commentator Rick Manning referred to Detroit first baseman Prince Fielder as a “good RBI man.” Nor is Manning mistaken in this assessment, at all. Indeed, entering play on Monday, Fielder had recorded the ninth-highest RBI total (76) in the major leagues this season — and is fourth overall by that same measure since his rookie season in 2006.

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Daily Notes: Selected Wisdom of the Corey Kluber Society

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Selected Wisdom of the Corey Kluber Society
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Selected Wisdom of the Corey Kluber Society
The Purpose of This Post
The purpose of this post is to announce a meeting — in this case, at 7:05pm ET today (Monday) — of the Corey Kluber Society.

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Daily Notes: Rest-of-Season Leaderboards for Hitters, Pitchers

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Rest-of-Season Leaderboards for Hitters, Pitchers
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Rest-of-Season Leaderboards for Hitters, Pitchers
Introduction
While Italian people are famously always like “che sarà” this and “sarà” that, it would appear as though the baseballing public’s relationship with the future is considerably more fraught. With a view towards easing whatever such anxieties might exist among this site’s readership, the author has prepared the following — namely, hitting and pitching leaderboards for the rest of the season, created from the projections freely available at the site.

For each hitter below is included his projected rest-of-season plate appearances, wOBA, and WAR; for each pitcher, projected rest-of-season innings, ERA, and WAR. Column headings preceded by an s denote Steamer projections; z, ZiPS projections; and c, a combination of the two.

A full list of both hitter and pitcher rest-of-season projections is available as a web page here.

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Daily Notes: On Jose Fernandez’s Last Two Starts, Briefly

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. On Jose Fernandez’s Last Two Starts, Briefly
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

On Jose Fernandez’s Last Two Starts, Briefly
A Note Regarding Jose Fernandez
Following his performance on Friday against Cleveland (box), Miami right-hander Jose Fernandez has recorded 27 strikeouts and a single walk against 56 batters over two starts and 16.0 innings, posting a 0.29 xFIP and 1.2 WAR over that interval.

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Daily Notes: Including a Leaderboard of Traded Players

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. A Leaderboard of Traded Players
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

A Leaderboard of Traded Players
Regarding What Has Happened
With the trade deadline having passed, it is now the duty of the public — between now and the end of the baseball season — it’s the duty of the public to pass Spirited Judgment regarding the efficacy of July’s trades. With a view to helping that same public fulfill their very important obligations, the author has produced a custom leaderboard of all the players both (a) who were involved in a trade during this past July who also (b) have some sort of previous major-league experience.

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Daily Notes: Very Compelling Prospect Chad Bettis to Debut

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Very Compelling Prospect Chad Bettis to Debut
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Very Compelling Prospect Chad Bettis to Debut
The Purpose of This Post
The purpose of this post is to announce how talented right-handed Colorado prospect Chad Bettis is making his debut today (Thursday) against Atlanta at 7:10pm ET.

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