Contract Crowdsourcing 2013-14: Bartolo Colon

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2013-14 free-agent market.

Note that, this year, in addition to asking readers to estimate the years/dollars each free agent is likely to receive, FanGraphs is also requesting that readers make note of how much they’d pay each free agent were they, themselves, actual GMs.

In this edition: Bartolo Colon.

Some relevant information regarding Colon:

  • Has averaged 169.0 IP and 3.0 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 3.2 WAR per 180 IP over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 3.9 WAR in 190.1 IP in 2013.
  • Is entering his age-41 season.
  • Made $3.0M in 2013, as part of deal signed in offseason.

Using the form below, estimate the years and average annual dollar values both likely and ought to be received by Colon this offseason.

Other Players: Bronson Arroyo / Carlos Beltran / A.J. Burnett / Marlon Byrd / Robinson Cano / Shin-Soo Choo / Nelson Cruz / David DeJesus / Stephen Drew / Mark Ellis / Jacoby Ellsbury / Curtis Granderson / Omar Infante / Adam Lind / James Loney / Brian McCann / Nate McLouth / Kendrys Morales / David Murphy / Mike Napoli / A.J. Pierzynski / Carlos Ruiz / Jarrod Saltalamacchia / Juan Uribe / Chris Young.

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Carson Cistulli occasionally publishes spirited ejaculations at The New Enthusiast.

20 Responses to “Contract Crowdsourcing 2013-14: Bartolo Colon”

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  1. Alex D says:

    Colon is hard pitcher to value. He has been very good this year but he’s over 40 and honestly I keep wondering when he will get hit with another PED suspension. I’d give him 1 year at 3 Mil again.

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  2. JayT says:

    I’d stick with a one year deal, but I’d be willing to go $10 million on him. He’s been really good the last three years, and it’s not like he’s depending on a big fastball to do it, so one extra year of aging doesn’t worry me that much.

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    • Alex D says:

      Colon through more fastballs than any other qualified starter this year (percentage wise that is). His fastball sits in the mid 90s. He totally relies on “a big fastball”

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      • LeeTro says:

        Or his fastball averaged 89.9 this year… You’re on the wrong site to not check your facts first.

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      • yolo says:

        Right, but he doesn’t depend on velocity, he depends on the movement in his two seam (which is kind of crazy). His 4seam averages 92 but can reach 94, his 2seam is around 89-90. There could be velocity loss on his 4 seam, but I don’t seem much coming off of the 2seam.

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        • Alex D says:

          Honestly I did not expect this but he has been loosing more velocity off the 2seam FB than his 4seam FB over the last three years. He’s been losing an average of 1 mph of his 2seamer per year and .45 mph of his 4seamer per year. That being said, I agree with you that loosing velocity off the 2seamer is less of an issue as it is a more movement dependent pitch than the 4seam FB.

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        • Tim says:

          @ Alex D: “lose” not “loose. “You’re” not “your”

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        • rageon says:

          Is there a way to down-vote like 4,000 times every post correcting someone’s grammar?

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        • Common Sense says:

          To be fair I can’t stand it every time I see loose. Insure bugs me as well–that means to buy insurance people!

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  3. FeslenR says:

    One year deal at $6M no more.

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  4. yolo says:

    Obviously he deserves a raise, but I wouldn’t go higher than 1 year, 8 million. Maybe two years.

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  5. MustBunique says:

    Abstain, no option for zero years. I think offering a contract to a 42 year old starting pitcher is too risky. That money would be better spent elsewhere.

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  6. LONNIE says:

    I would go 1-year with the contract heavy(no pun intended Mr. Colon)on incentives. Say about 5 mil with another 5 million in incentives.

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  7. Mikey says:

    10 years 250 mil take it or leave it Bartolo

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  8. miketroutfan says:

    Production depends heavily on the defense he’s provided with.

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