Contract Crowdsourcing 2013-14: Carlos Ruiz

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2013-14 free-agent market.

Note that, this year, in addition to asking readers to estimate the years/dollars each free agent is likely to receive, FanGraphs is also requesting that readers make note of how much they’d pay each free agent were they, themselves, actual GMs.

In this edition: Carlos Ruiz.

Some relevant information regarding Ruiz:

  • Has averaged 411 PA and 3.2 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 3.7 WAR per 480 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 1.4 WAR in 341 PA in 2013.
  • Is entering his age-35 season.
  • Made $5.0M in 2013, as part of deal signed in 2010.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting catcher.

Using the form below, estimate the years and average annual dollar values both likely and ought to be received by Ruiz this offseason.

Other Players: Brian McCann / A.J. Pierzynski.



Print This Post



Carson Cistulli has just published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.


Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted
LONNIE
Guest
LONNIE
2 years 9 months ago

2 YEARS at 6mil each. 35 yrs old, not willing to go longer on his deal.

JayT
Guest
JayT
2 years 9 months ago

That’s what I was thinking too. For both what the Phillies (or whoever else signs him) would pay and what I think they should pay. If he’s healthy, he’s great, but predicting health for a 35-36 year old catcher is a bit difficult.

anonynous
Guest
anonynous
2 years 9 months ago

2/12 is what I entered before I looked at the comments.

Choo
Member
2 years 9 months ago

You and I might not be comfortable paying more than $6/yr, but what about baseball? Straight WAR-to-dollars, Ruiz was worth $7.7 mil this season and twice that in each of the previous three seasons. A solid defender with a plus bat for the position, combined with the continued infusion of revenue money, I would be surprised at anything less than $8/yr.

coldseat
Guest
coldseat
2 years 9 months ago

I see $8 for 2 yrs, too. Seems like there are more teams looking for catchers than there are catchers. He might even land an option for a 3rd year.

SS
Guest
SS
2 years 9 months ago

So you’re predicting 2 WAR for two years? He should pass the 2 WAR mark over the course of 1 mostly-healthy season.

TKDC
Guest
TKDC
2 years 9 months ago

Why on Earth would you predict a mostly healthy season from an aging catcher who has managed over 121 games once in his career? I said I’d give him 1/6 but I think he gets 2/16.

BDF
Guest
2 years 9 months ago

Worth noting that he’s a Philadelphia icon. That may boost the likelihood of the Phillies re-signing him and his real-world numbers if they do. Seems like the kind of thing Amaro would pay attention to.

Hunter
Guest
Hunter
2 years 9 months ago

Think there should be a spot for option years. I actually see Ruiz getting 2 years plus an option for games played.

FeslenR
Guest
FeslenR
2 years 9 months ago

I would be shocked if Ruiz continues decent production for another two years

Robbie G.
Guest
Robbie G.
2 years 9 months ago

Wow, some of you guys are ignoring his excellent OBPs over the past several years. He also has the reputation for being good at “handling” his pitchers, for whatever that’s worth. Anything less than two years, $20 mil seems like a tremendous steal to me.

Leaders in WAR, among catchers, 2010-13:

1 Yadier Molina 18.8
2 Buster Posey 18.0
3 Joe Mauer 16.6
4 Mike Napoli 13.9
5 Carlos Ruiz 13.7

Take a look at Ruiz’s numbers over the final couple of months of this season. I bet he was top 3 in WAR among catchers in August-September.

Robbie G.
Guest
Robbie G.
2 years 9 months ago

1.3 WAR in August-September this season. At $5 mil per 1 WAR, that’s $6.5 mil worth of production in just two months.

KM
Guest
KM
2 years 9 months ago

Yeah, once he got himself back into playing shape he really took off. I wouldn’t really expect a sharp drop with age either (though obviously there may be some decline) because his game is really based on defense, handling the staff, and good plate discipline.

wpDiscuz