Contract Crowdsourcing 2013-14: Gavin Floyd

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2013-14 free-agent market.

Note that, this year, in addition to asking readers to estimate the years/dollars each free agent is likely to receive, FanGraphs is also requesting that readers make note of how much they’d pay each free agent were they, themselves, actual GMs.

In this edition: Galvin Floyd.

Some relevant information regarding Floyd:

  • Has averaged 128.2 IP and 1.8 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 2.6 WAR per 180 IP over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.2 WAR in 24.1 IP in 2013.
  • Is entering his age-31 season.
  • Made $9.5M in 2013, as part of extension signed in 2009.

Using the form below, estimate the years and average annual dollar values both likely and ought to be received by Floyd this offseason.

Other Players: Bronson Arroyo / Carlos Beltran / A.J. Burnett / Marlon Byrd / Robinson Cano / Shin-Soo Choo / Bartolo Colon / Nelson Cruz / David DeJesus / Stephen Drew / Mark Ellis / Jacoby Ellsbury / Scott Feldman / Curtis Granderson / Omar Infante / Adam Lind / James Loney / Brian McCann / Nate McLouth / Kendrys Morales / David Murphy / Mike Napoli / A.J. Pierzynski / Carlos Ruiz / Jarrod Saltalamacchia / Juan Uribe / Chris Young.

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Carson Cistulli occasionally publishes spirited ejaculations at The New Enthusiast.

6 Responses to “Contract Crowdsourcing 2013-14: Gavin Floyd”

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  1. attgig says:

    depending on his rehab…he looks for a 1 year deal in a pitcher friendly park/league to build up his value for next year….
    if 2014 is more than half gone, maybe he’ll go for a Jon Lieber/yanks contract… 2 year deal with first year getting maybe 1 mil, and 2nd year getting a nice salary with a bunch of incentives.

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  2. Gabriel says:

    There really should be an option for not offering a contract (both in our guess at real life GMs and for us). After all, every year there are some guys who want to keep playing but can’t get a contract.

    (I’m not saying that that describes Gavin Floyd.)

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  3. Johnny says:

    1 year, 2 million.

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    • Froglegs Jackson says:

      Scott Baker signed for 1 yr 5.5M last off-season. I don’t see how Floyd gets below that.

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      • Andrew Barnes says:

        Id sign him near that Scott Baker mark. 2 years about $5mil per. If he comes back healthy and earns roughly 1 WAR over the last half of 2014 it’s a good value from the gm perspective and the second year would make him quite marketable at the trade deadline and also give him a chance to prove he’s back at full strength.

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  4. AK7007 says:

    I hate guessing on these rehab types. There is just too much information asymmetry between the public and what a interested club would know regarding health. If a few teams deem the injury “healed” a mini bidding war occurs. If only one does, or only one is willing to take a lotto ticket, then the contract is tiny and incentive laden. But we have no way of knowing either way until the actual “showcasing” workout, and subsequent physicals happen. (which we don’t see)

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