Contract Crowdsourcing 2013-14: Marlon Byrd

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2013-14 free-agent market.

Note that, this year, in addition to asking readers to estimate the years/dollars each free agent is likely to receive, FanGraphs is also requesting that readers make note of how much they’d pay each free agent were they, themselves, actual GMs.

In this edition: Marlon Byrd.

Some relevant information regarding Byrd:

  • Has averaged 405 PA and 1.6 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 2.4 WAR per 600 PA over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 4.1 WAR in 579 PA in 2013.
  • Is entering his age-36 season.
  • Made $0.7M in 2013, as part of deal signed in offseason.

Using the form below, estimate the years and average annual dollar values both likely and ought to be received by Byrd this offseason.

Other Players: Carlos Beltran / Robinson Cano / Stephen Drew / Mark Ellis / Jacoby Ellsbury / Curtis Granderson / Omar Infante / Adam Lind / James Loney / Brian McCann / Mike Napoli / A.J. Pierzynski / Carlos Ruiz / Jarrod Saltalamacchia / Juan Uribe / Chris Young.



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Matthew Tobin
Member

Lance Berkman deal type thing? Berkman got 1/$10m. I think Byrd gets 1/$7 perhaps? Maybe a little less.

Krog
Guest
Krog

There was very little demand for Byrd during the trading period. I doubt any team pays him more than five million. Some team like the Mariners or Royals will lose out on all the bigger outfield free agents, sign Byrd, proclaim themselves ready for the playoffs, and then fall flat on their faces.

That Guy
Guest
That Guy

It wouldn’t surprise me to see him get a 2-3 year deal. Even if the interest in him was lukewarm during the trading period, that doesn’t mean that someone wouldn’t want him as an FA.

LaLoosh
Guest
LaLoosh

he should be able to find a 2/16M deal since he’s also a strong OFer.

LaLoosh
Guest
LaLoosh

a return engagement with the Mets is a good possibility.

Krog
Guest
Krog

According to the Fangraphs Offense stat (batting and baserunning combine, above average), Byrd was worth 24 runs this season, as opposed to 15.1 runs for his career. That means that, prior to this season, Byrd was worth -9 runs in over 4,000 plate appearances. This season has been a huge fluke and the lack of trading interest is proof of this. I would be shocked if Byrd got more than one guaranteed year.

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