Contract Crowdsourcing 2013-14: Matt Garza

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2013-14 free-agent market.

Note that, this year, in addition to asking readers to estimate the years/dollars each free agent is likely to receive, FanGraphs is also requesting that readers make note of how much they’d pay each free agent were they, themselves, actual GMs.

In this edition: Matt Garza.

Some relevant information regarding Garza:

  • Has averaged 152.1 IP and 2.7 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 3.2 WAR per 180 IP over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 2.2 WAR in 155.1 IP in 2013.
  • Is entering his age-30 season.
  • Made $10.25M in 2013, to avoid arbitration with Cubs.

Using the form below, estimate the years and average annual dollar values both likely and ought to be received by Garza this offseason.

Other Players: Bronson Arroyo / Carlos Beltran / A.J. Burnett / Marlon Byrd / Robinson Cano / Shin-Soo Choo / Bartolo Colon / Nelson Cruz / David DeJesus / Stephen Drew / Mark Ellis / Jacoby Ellsbury / Scott Feldman / Gavin Floyd / Curtis Granderson / Omar Infante / Adam Lind / James Loney / Brian McCann / Nate McLouth / Kendrys Morales / David Murphy / Mike Napoli / A.J. Pierzynski / Carlos Ruiz / Jarrod Saltalamacchia / Juan Uribe / Chris Young.

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He’s the biggest name pitcher on the market, so he’ll get paid. I’m guessing he essentially ends up with Anibal Sanchez’s contract, maybe slightly less since Sanchez had three straight years of good health.
If I were a GM, I’d be willing to do that, though I would prefer four years instead of five.