Contract Crowdsourcing 2013-14: Phil Hughes

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2013-14 free-agent market.

Note that, this year, in addition to asking readers to estimate the years/dollars each free agent is likely to receive, FanGraphs is also requesting that readers make note of how much they’d pay each free agent were they, themselves, actual GMs.

In this edition: Phil Hughes.

Some relevant information regarding Hughes:

  • Has averaged 137.1 IP and 1.4 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.9 WAR per 180 IP over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 1.3 WAR in 145.2 IP in 2013.
  • Is entering his age-28 season.
  • Made $7.15M in 2013, avoiding arbitration with Yankees.

Using the form below, estimate the years and average annual dollar values both likely and ought to be received by Hughes this offseason.

Other Players: Bronson Arroyo / Carlos Beltran / A.J. Burnett / Marlon Byrd / Robinson Cano / Shin-Soo Choo / Bartolo Colon / Nelson Cruz / David DeJesus / Stephen Drew / Mark Ellis / Jacoby Ellsbury / Scott Feldman / Gavin Floyd / Matt Garza / Curtis Granderson / Roy Halladay / Jason Hammel / Dan Haren / Roberto Hernandez / Tim Hudson / Omar Infante / Adam Lind / James Loney / Brian McCann / Nate McLouth / Kendrys Morales / David Murphy / Mike Napoli / A.J. Pierzynski / Carlos Ruiz / Jarrod Saltalamacchia / Juan Uribe / Chris Young.



Print This Post



Carson Cistulli has just published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.


Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted
shawn
Guest
shawn
2 years 10 months ago

I would love for the braves to go after him as a reliever, although I think san diego (or some west coast team with a big ball park) may take a 1 year 3-4 million dollar flyer on him with a vesting option as a starter. I am highly confident major league caliber stuff is there, but he may be best for a inning or two rather than 5 or 6.

vivalajeter
Guest
vivalajeter
2 years 10 months ago

I’m interested to see what kind of deal he gets. Obviously, after the year he had there’s no way he’ll get the contract he hoped for, but I remember reading articles earlier this year that mentioned the Anibel Sanchez contract when referencing him. 1 year, 3-4 million would be a tough pill for him to swallow.

http://www.nydailynews.com/sports/baseball/yankees/hughes-hoping-bank-yanks-article-1.1264907

http://metsblog.com/metsblog/phil-hughes-carlos-gonzalez-and-2014-possibilities/

JayT
Guest
JayT
2 years 10 months ago

He looks like he’s poised to have big year if you go by Steamer’s projections. 39 games started, 240 innings. Should be good!

attgig
Guest
attgig
2 years 10 months ago

Mets need to sign him to a team friendly deal. move to citifield will improve his fly ball tendancies.

Ballybunion
Guest
Ballybunion
2 years 10 months ago

He may need more psychological grounding than ballpark adjustments. A move to theNational League and a smaller market would help. Staying in the nation’s biggest meat grinder, er, media market wouldn’t help.

Chcago Mark
Guest
Chcago Mark
2 years 10 months ago

Wow, 3-4mm? I don’t follow WAR value much so may be far off. I thought he’d make closer to his 7mm. That being said, will the Cubs make a play on him, especially if it’s as low as 4mm? He fits the mold of low risk high reward trade value player.

Anon
Guest
Anon
2 years 10 months ago

Yeah, I think he’s more like 7-8 million/year, .At 3-4 he’s value.

Dayton Moore
Guest
Dayton Moore
2 years 10 months ago

Lost year for the Yankees, Hughes is a proven winner, plus you have to like a guy who isn’t all about saving his best stuff for his final contract year.

5 years $55 million.

Matthew
Member
Member
2 years 10 months ago

Ugh… 3y/25m?

He is young, but struggles to stay healthy. I’d use the Ervin Santana deal as a jumping off point.

wpDiscuz