Contract Crowdsourcing 2013-14: Robinson Cano

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2013-14 free-agent market.

Note that, this year, in addition to asking readers to estimate the years/dollars each free agent is likely to receive, FanGraphs is also requesting that readers make note of how much they’d pay each free agent were they, themselves, actual GMs.

In this edition: Robinson Cano.

Some relevant information regarding Cano:

  • Has averaged 686 PA and 6.3 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 5.5 WAR per 600 PA over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 6.0 WAR in 681 PA in 2013.
  • Is entering his age-31 season.
  • Made $15.0M in 2013, as part of extension signed in 2008.

Using the form below, estimate the years and average annual dollar values both likely and ought to be received by Cano this offseason.

Other Players: Adam Lind / James Loney / Brian McCann / Mike Napoli / A.J. Pierzynski / Carlos Ruiz / Jarrod Saltalamacchia.



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Derek
Guest
Derek
2 years 10 months ago

How hard will the Yankees make him a QO? Huh? Am I missing something?

Rule of Law
Guest
Rule of Law
2 years 10 months ago

HOW HARD?!

Hirohitahomerun already
Guest
2 years 10 months ago

As hard as Bartolo Colon’s abs.

Prince Fielder
Guest
Prince Fielder
2 years 10 months ago

Good one! That Colon is one fat fuck!

James
Guest
James
2 years 10 months ago

Try refreshing the page harder.

Jay-Z
Guest
Jay-Z
2 years 10 months ago

Why do the salary choice only go up to 40?

Dave from Pittsburgh
Guest
Dave from Pittsburgh
2 years 10 months ago

I almost replied seriously to this before I noticed your name.

tbsUCKS
Guest
tbsUCKS
2 years 10 months ago

I almost watched the playoff game last night before I noticed pittsburgh was involved

DodgersKingsoftheGalaxy
Guest
DodgersKingsoftheGalaxy
2 years 10 months ago

*Dusty Baker was involved against a team that just beat them 3 times

DodgersKingsoftheGalaxy
Guest
DodgersKingsoftheGalaxy
2 years 10 months ago

3/4-40 in fake world

BookWorm
Guest
BookWorm
2 years 10 months ago

Anyone think $30 million in AAV a possibility?

AMAC
Guest
AMAC
2 years 10 months ago

I put 5/30 in fantasy land but think 7/25 is more likely to happen.

Bip
Member
Member
Bip
2 years 10 months ago

There is approximately or exactly 0% chance Cano signs for less than 200 million.

AMAC
Guest
AMAC
2 years 10 months ago

I’d take that bet in a cocaine heartbeat.

Mort
Guest
Mort
2 years 10 months ago

There is a 85% chance no team gives Cano what he wants and the MLBPA files a collusion grievance.

Coked-up West Coast GM
Guest
Coked-up West Coast GM
2 years 10 months ago

Come on over, Robbie, let’s talk!

Hurtlockertwo
Guest
Hurtlockertwo
2 years 10 months ago

There is no choice of “Boat Load”??

OtherSideofTheCoin
Guest
OtherSideofTheCoin
2 years 10 months ago

After reading through the polling questions for the Nth time, I’ve realized I’ve read the questions all wrong. I hope I haven’t messed this experiment up. I don’t honestly think Napoli should get 30M or 25M a year. And I answered for Salty when I was still under the belief that he really was 39. Boy do I suck at this.

LONNIE
Guest
LONNIE
2 years 10 months ago

I would go 7 for 175 mil. Or 5 years for 144 mil.

BurleighGrimes
Guest
BurleighGrimes
2 years 10 months ago

Cano man, he is gonna get a scary contract.

FeslenR
Guest
FeslenR
2 years 10 months ago

not $300M though, no one’s that stupid or rich

Johnny
Guest
Johnny
2 years 10 months ago

Where do we find the results of all these contract crowdsourcing pages?

Swfcdan
Guest
Swfcdan
2 years 10 months ago

This…

Johnny
Guest
Johnny
2 years 10 months ago

I would go 5/155 or 6/170. It’s insane to go anything more than that.

Z.....
Guest
Z.....
2 years 10 months ago

I said he might end up with 9 years/$24 million per and said I’d offer 7 years/$26 million per. In reality, I’d probably rather offer him 6 years at the most, but you have to overpay in free agency

Robinson Cano is a great player. He is one of my favorite players, even though he plays for the team I hate most. He is NOT worth the contract he is reportedly seeking for multiple reasons. He would have to put up the same consistent numbers he has put up over the last 4 years, over the duration of this contract to justify it, and that just isnt realistic. I can see giving him something close to what Joey Votto got at the most, but I dont like the years more than the total value. Maybe something like 8 years/$210 million. I just dont like the 10 year contract for someone at his age. I dont like the 10 year contract for ANYONE. 8 years is pushing it, but you have to overpay in free agency. I’ll be shocked if Cano gets that historical deal he is looking for.

Swfcdan
Guest
Swfcdan
2 years 10 months ago

Whatever it is he will be way overpayed for the production he’ll bring.

I wouldnt offer more than a 3 year deal for him. At 34 he will more than likely already be in decline, no way is he worth the big salary at that stage.

No doubt he’ll get huge bucks/length and turn out to be another disappointment for the contract he recieved though, when will they ever learn….

Now just to see who makes the big offer. Id laugh my head off if it was the Angels AGAIN. Just hoping it aint (couldnt be) my teams the Nats and O’s.

filihok
Member
2 years 10 months ago

The Pujols contract makes me go a lot lower on this than the 7/$200 talk. Cano isn’t what Pujols was.

I put 6/$25 for both.

DJH
Guest
DJH
2 years 10 months ago

why not peg him at Prince Fielder’s number? 9/$214

AtlantaGM
Guest
AtlantaGM
2 years 10 months ago

Honestly I’ve never seen the big wow in Cano. He puts up great numbers but not ones that justify him getting over 20mil a year. This becomes even more true when you consider that in about 4-5 years he’d be needing a position change.

I said 5/18 per as a fake gm

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