Contract Crowdsourcing 2013-14: Scott Kazmir

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2013-14 free-agent market.

Note that, this year, in addition to asking readers to estimate the years/dollars each free agent is likely to receive, FanGraphs is also requesting that readers make note of how much they’d pay each free agent were they, themselves, actual GMs.

In this edition: Scott Kazmir.

Some relevant information regarding Kazmir:

  • Has averaged 79.2 IP and 1.2 WAR over last three seasons*.
  • Has averaged 2.6 WAR per 180 IP over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 2.5 WAR in 158.0 IP in 2013.
  • Is entering his age-30 season.
  • Made $1.0M in 2013, plus incentives, as part of offseason deal with Cleveland.

*Note that Kazmir missed all of 2012.

Using the form below, estimate the years and average annual dollar values both likely and ought to be received by Kazmir this offseason.

Other Players: Bronson Arroyo / Carlos Beltran / A.J. Burnett / Marlon Byrd / Robinson Cano / Shin-Soo Choo / Bartolo Colon / Nelson Cruz / David DeJesus / Stephen Drew / Mark Ellis / Jacoby Ellsbury / Scott Feldman / Gavin Floyd / Matt Garza / Curtis Granderson / Roy Halladay / Jason Hammel / Dan Haren / Roberto Hernandez / Tim Hudson / Phil Hughes / Omar Infante / Ubaldo Jimenez / Josh Johnson / Adam Lind / James Loney / Brian McCann / Nate McLouth / Kendrys Morales / David Murphy / Mike Napoli / A.J. Pierzynski / Carlos Ruiz / Jarrod Saltalamacchia / Juan Uribe / Chris Young.

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Carson Cistulli occasionally publishes spirited ejaculations at The New Enthusiast.

8 Responses to “Contract Crowdsourcing 2013-14: Scott Kazmir”

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  1. AK7007 says:

    It will take a lot of faith in this last season to give Kazmir anything good, but I think he could get multiple years from a team that thinks he’s as good as he was in 2013. I personally wouldn’t go more than a year – handing the guy 10-15 million can’t cripple you if it’s only for one year, even if he does implode. Can’t pencil the guy in for a whole season though, so could see him getting less, but I think somebody will pony up 2/25. Not sure it’ll be smart, but Kazmir is really, really hard to project for me. (seeing as 2010 was the last time I considered him “right”)

    Smarter people that were paying more attention might have more insight.

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  2. Well-Beered Englishman says:

    Gentle readers,
    In absence of Daily Notes, I’ll ask here: has anyone tried Founders Breakfast Stout? A store in Dallas got a single pallet of the stuff, maybe the second or third time it has ever been on sale here, and I bought a four-pack.

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    • AK7007 says:

      Yes. Pair with this:
      Slice around 2lbs of potatoes on a mandolin/food processor.
      Do the same with an onion and a few bell peppers.
      Heat some olive oil in a big skillet, sauté everything so that it gets golden.
      Sprinkle liberally with smoked paprika and a couple of crushed garlic cloves, then add a large diced tomato and mix.
      Pour a cheap porter over the top, simmer to reduce to a sauce and to break down the tomatoes.
      Crumble some goat cheese over the top, then crack a couple eggs into two divots in the center.
      Put the whole thing under a broiler to set the eggs.
      Serve with avocado and that Breakfast Stout.

      Preferably eaten with a heavy hangover, but exceptions can be made for all other occasions.

      Meat eaters (not I) are encouraged to start the whole thing off by browning some linguica, removing said sausage, and using the rendered fat in addition to a little olive oil for the frying. Add the crispy sausage back when you add goat cheese. Haven’t done this part in years, (buddy shot a boar and made linguica) but remember it being especially awesome.

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  3. GilaMonster says:

    This is tough. A guy who was an great pitcher with Tampa, was bad for a few years,died for a few years, and was resurrected to his former glory. His health is a huge red flag, he has only pitched over 150IP twice.

    2 year/$14? Maybe 1y/$9 depending on how confident he is on his ability to stay healthy.

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  4. LONNIE says:

    I think he gets 3/21 but I would do 2/12. He scares me.

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  5. Andy says:

    He was on the DL this year. He was absolutely atrocious,even in Independant baseball for 2 years. Next year he could be DFA’d by June for all we know. I could see a team signing him for 1/9, but that’s it.

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  6. BritDawg says:

    Andy, Kazmir was on the DL at the very start of 2013 and then started 29 games from April 20th onwards. Right now, he’s not really any more likely to be on the DL by next June than the average starting pitcher. Someone will likely take a stab on a 2-year deal for $15 million or so, or an incentive-laden 3-year deal for $20 million plus.

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