Corbin Latest Success For D-backs’ Rotation
The first time the D-backs lost Daniel Hudson to injury, it seemed like it would be a big blow to their playoff hopes, but Wade Miley stepped in and opened people’s eyes. When he went down the second time, it seemed like it would really put Arizona in a bind, as while Miley was by then a rotation fixture, Joe Saunders was out of action as well. Neither Josh Collmenter not touted prospect Trevor Bauer were able to get the job done, but the void has been filled quite amply as of late by left-hander Patrick Corbin.
Acquired by the Diamondbacks in the Dan Haren trade, Corbin was good enough that Marc Hulet ranked him as one of the D-backs top 10 prospects both this year and last, but wasn’t quite good enough to crack the top 100. He was ranked similarly this year by ESPN’s Keith Law. In other words, he was a sleeper.
Corbin first got the call to the Majors on April 30, when he replaced Collmenter, who had struggled to the tune of a 6.42 FIP in April. He didn’t exactly have a star turn, and he found himself back at Triple-A when Hudson returned from the disabled list just before Memorial Day. While it wasn’t a banner beginning for Corbin, there were positives. He kept his walks down, and he showed an ability to generate ground balls, as he netted 43 grounders versus 27 fly balls for a 1.59 GB/FB.
As he had done before his call-up, Corbin went back to Triple-A and pitched well. He was bumped back to the majors a second time at the end of June when Hudson hit the DL for the second and final time this season, but this time he worked in relief, shuttling between the roles of long man and lefty specialist. He handed both roles with aplomb, as he continued to generate more grounders than fly balls, kept his walk rate relatively low, and he added in a healthy dose of strike outs as well. The team sent him down again after the All-Star break when they needed a roster spot for Saunders’ return, but his stay in Reno would once again prove to be short-lived. When Arizona once again decided that Collmenter fit better in the bullpen — and he just may, as he has posted a 2.74 FIP in relief this season compared to a 5.14 FIP as a starter — Corbin was brought back for a third time, and was given another chance to start. He has run with that chance.
In his first three starts in this, his second iteration in the rotation, Corbin was tasked with taking on three playoff contenders. The first two were on the road against the Dodgers and Pirates. He pitched swimmingly in each, notching six-inning quality starts. But yesterday was a bigger test. The Nationals were in Phoenix, and came into yesterday’s game having won eight straight — including the previous two in Arizona, during which they had scored nine and six runs, respectively. Corbin held Washington to two runs over seven innings, saddling the Nats with their first loss in more than a week. That makes three quality starts and counting, a 19-inning span in which he has allowed just four runs.
Aside from the positive results against three playoff contenders, there are other positive takeaways here as well. First, Corbin’s velocity is up from earlier this season. In his first five starts of the season, his average four-seamer topped out at 90.5 mph, but in these past three starts, he has averaged at least 90.7 mph. The strikeouts have also remained, as Corbin has whiffed a batter per inning. And he’s doing so with an increased swinging strike percentage, giving rise to the notion that he has tweaked something for the better. It’s far too early to tell definitively, but the difference could be his slider, which has been much improved in these three outings. Looking at his season as a whole, another encouraging sign is his work against right-handed hitters, something that Hulet diagnosed as a potential problem for him entering the season. Holding righties to a 3.72 FIP while being death to lefties is a good recipe for success.
Corbin’s success these past three starts highlights the D-backs’ pitching depth. While many teams might have needed to trade for a starter to replace Hudson, Arizona was able to just reach down in its system. Bauer proved to not yet be ready the same way Wade Miley proved not to be ready last season, but Corbin was. That’s ridiculous depth. And if Bauer learns what he needs to in the minors and is ready to contribute next season the way Miley has this season, well then the D-backs will just go right on not missing Hudson. Arizona could open 2013 with a rotation of Ian Kennedy, Trevor Cahill, Miley, Corbin and either Bauer or Tyler Skaggs. This would allow them to let Saunders — who is actually having a nice season (for him) — walk, and use his $6 million elsewhere. It would also allow them to not rush back Hudson, and create competition in camp for the final spot(s) in the rotation as well.
No matter how general manager Kevin Towers and manager Kirk Gibson choose to fill out their rotation going forward, they will have a wealth of pitching at their disposal. The D-backs started the season with Hudson and Collmenter in the rotation, and may finish it with Miley and Corbin in their place. They didn’t need to make a trade to find two ample replacements, and they didn’t have to rely on their stud prospects Bauer and Skaggs. That incredible depth, most recently exemplified by Patrick Corbin, is going to make Arizona a contender for the foreseeable future. Corbin entered the season as a sleeper, but if he can maintain this level of effectiveness or something close to it, he won’t be slept on for much longer.
Doesn’t referring to his starts against ‘three playoff contenders’ gloss over the fact that two of those teams are bottom-third offenses and the Nationals are just 15th overall in runs scored? I agree he has done well, but those three teams just don’t present as much of a challenge as the article seems to suggest.
Still laugh at the fact that some Angels fans think that the Haren trade was the only “steal” that Tony Reagins ever pulled off as Angels GM…..when the Angels failed to contend in 2010 or 2011 and Haren’s predictable decline continued this season, the deal is basically a failure for them…..while Saunders helped the D-Backs to a division title last year, Corbin joined him in the rotation this year and the real prize of the trade (Tyler Skaggs) hasn’t even come up yet….seems like a spectacular steal for Arizona and the second worst trade in baseball history (behind Wells for Napoli/Rivera) for the Angels….no wonder they snapped up DiPoto…..
As recently as about a year ago, some people on this site were considering that trade a mistake in the opposite direction.
Or, at best, the consensus was “they didn’t get enough.”
sorry but the worst trade of all-time is still 1) babe for $100,000( to finance a broadway play.lol) 2) Lou Brock for ernie broglio. 3)Jeff Bagwell for Larry Anderson and 4) Jim Fregosi for Nolan Ryan, Don Rose, Frank Estrada and Stanton. and 5) Bartolo Colon for Cliff Lee, Grady Sizemore, Brandon Phillips, and Lee Stevens.
I can’t wait to see Corbin on contracts.
Corbin on contracts? What does that mean?
It’s an inside joke for lawyers. Corbin on Contracts is a famous law treatise.
I don’t know that book, but for this guy I always think of “bec de corbin,” the name of a polearm from back in my D&D days. Wikipedia says it means, “crow’s beak,” so I assume that Corbin is French for crow.
Sorry, I realize this comment belongs on NotGraphs….
Collmenter didn’t pitch poorly as a starter, Gibson just prefers him as a reliever. The last time that Corbin got sent to AAA it was to stretch him out as a starter so that he could take a spot in the rotation, and that’s what happened.
Assuming Kennedy, Miley, and Cahill are locks for the Dbacks rotation, next year should be interesting. Bauer, Skaggs, and Corbin are all ready for the big leagues, but there’s only 2 spots for them to compete for (assuming Corbin has an advantage), and Hudson probably returns late in the season.
Also, for arizona to be a contender in the future, they’ll need more consistency from Young or Upton, it’s time for one of them to become consistent or the team should just dump one of them.
You can’t have 2 guys that hit poorly and strikeout a lot, even if they have decent power and good range.
Why?
Yeah, I think Corbin’s success could sustain while I am quite iffy on Miley. Ever since being acquired by the Dbacks he’s shown very good control numbers in the minors which was a good sign. While he certainly doesn’t have the high ceiling of the Bauer and Skaggs types he proved to be the most polished in spring training (likely owing to being a couple years older) and poor springs from Collmenter and Saunders almost led to him being named to the rotation prior to opening day. Miley’s success was surprising but Corbin’s wasn’t, at least to me. While Miley has shown great improvement I think he will top out as a back-end rotation guy, and that is only if he can work out some issues that have come up recently, namely pitch selection/location. Corbin has the ceiling of a good mid rotation guy and should make a very good #4 SP at worst, all in my opinion. The Dbacks have the benefit of a lot of LHPs in their farm system (Skaggs, Holmberg and Chafin all project to be SPs on top of Skaggs and Miley already at the big league level) which adds to their value somewhat. They all vary quite a bit in composition and projections but all have the potential to be serviceable SPs at some point.