Daily Notes: Arbitrary Endpoint Leaderboard Explosion

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of Daily Notes.

1. Arbitrary Endpoint Leaderboards: June So Far
2. Today’s Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Arbitrary Endpoint Leaderboards: June So Far
The Arbitrary Endpoint Leaderboards, What They Are
The Arbitrary Endpoint Leaderboards represent an attempt to compensate for the influence of early season narratives, which — likely owing to a cogntive bias known as the primacy effect — are often quite powerful and can obscure more recent, notable performances. (Note: this was discussed in, like, 11% more depth recently in these same pages.)

Leaderboard: June Hitters
Here are the June leaders among field players, per WAR:


Name Team PA wRC+ BABIP Fld BsR WAR
Joey Votto Reds 73 263 .585 1.2 -0.2 1.7
Trevor Plouffe Twins 61 271 .343 -0.5 0.2 1.5
Alex Gordon Royals 76 173 .370 3.6 0.2 1.3
Mike Trout Angels 75 172 .411 2.6 0.6 1.3
Andrelton Simmons Braves 56 150 .333 4.9 0.2 1.2
Robinson Cano Yankees 68 189 .333 1.0 0.1 1.1
David Wright Mets 74 170 .315 0.2 0.5 1.0
Jose Bautista Blue Jays 70 201 .150 -0.4 0.1 1.0
Michael Bourn Braves 67 151 .489 2.5 0.5 1.0
Brandon Phillips Reds 73 157 .333 1.4 0.1 1.0
Craig Gentry Rangers 37 194 .536 3.5 0.1 1.0

Notes
• The reader may very well be totally and irretrievably drunk at the moment, but it’s not for that reason that he’s seeing Trevor Plouffe‘s name near the top of the preceding table. As of Tuesday night, at least, Plouffe had hit the most home runs (nine) among major leaguers in June.
• Even with a BABIP of .150, Blue Jays outfielder Jose Bautista is among the league leaders in WAR so far in June. Entering play on Tuesday, he had a 14:7 BB:K and eight home runs in the month.
• Note that the author has extended the leaderboard to include the top-11 players in June per WAR — thus allowing Texas outfielder Craig Gentry to make the list. This sort of gesture is what’s often referred to as “the Christian thing to do” — although, so far as I know, never by Jesus of Nazareth himself.

Leaderboard: June Pitchers
Here are the June leaders among pitchers, by WAR:


Name Team IP K/9 BB/9 GB% BABIP xFIP WAR
R.A. Dickey Mets 34.1 11.0 1.1 68.1% .186 1.54 2.0
CC Sabathia Yankees 30.0 9.9 1.8 50.6% .360 2.74 1.3
Wade Miley Diamondbacks 30.0 7.5 0.3 51.9% .241 2.39 1.3
Colby Lewis Rangers 30.2 7.3 0.9 34.1% .198 3.54 1.2
Madison Bumgarner Giants 29.2 9.4 1.5 48.7% .295 2.68 1.1
Johnny Cueto Reds 23.2 8.0 0.8 61.9% .281 2.57 1.1
Stephen Strasburg Nationals 19.0 14.2 1.4 47.2% .333 1.42 1.0
Andy Pettitte Yankees 20.1 10.6 3.1 59.6% .255 2.78 0.9
Matt Cain Giants 29.0 10.6 2.2 37.3% .235 3.02 0.9
Zack Greinke Brewers 22.0 10.6 1.6 57.9% .321 2.15 0.9

Notes
• The world needs to know: precisely how many batters has Arizona left-hander Wade Miley walked over the course of 30.0 June innings? Answer: just one. The 25-year-old has a 97 xFIP- and 2.3 WAR in 82.1 innings so far this season.
• Yankees on-again, off-again left-hander Andy Pettitte has clearly been excellent since returning. “What’s he throwing?” is the question a reasonable person would ask. Here’s the answer, according to PITCHf/x: four-seam fastball (14.1%, 87.5 mph), two-seam fastball (16.5%, 87.8 mph), cut fastball (27.1%, 87.2 mph), slider (22.6%, 80.3 mph), curve (12.3%, 73.1 mph), changeup (7.3%, 79.3 mph).

Today’s Notable Games
Note: it has come to the author’s attention that — in lieu of Jeremy Hellickson, who’s been placed the DL — that right-handed prospect Chris Archer will make his major-league debut. Archer, who was ranked fourth overall among Tampa Bay prospects by our Marc Hulet before the season, has posted this line at Triple-A Durham: 76.2 IP, 10.57 K/9, 5.28 BB/9, 0.47 HR/9, 3.41 FIP. The reader will note that control is of some concern apropos Archer, nor does this represent any sort of recent development: Archer posted a walk rate of 5.36 BB/9 last year in 134.1 Double-A innings. The reader will also note that Archer-Strasburg represents an improvement over Hellickson and same.

Seattle at Arizona | 15:40 ET ***MLB.TV Free Game***
Wade Miley isn’t pitching for the Diamondbacks today. What this brief note presupposes is… what if he were?

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Arizona Radio.

St. Louis at Detroit | 19:05 ET
The Cardinals-Tigers match-up on Tuesday garnered the first NERD score of 10 this season. Maybe if Jake Westbrook and Rick Porcello had studied a little more and earned their parents’ love a little harder, this game would’ve earned a NERD of 10, too.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: St. Louis Radio.

Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 4.9.

Note: the following Game Scores include the poorly conceived playoff-odds adjustment discussed in a recent edition of Daily Notes. Also note: the following table is entirely sortable.


Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Tommy Hanson ATL 3 6 5 6 6 NYA Phil Hughes 13:05
Bruce Chen KC 3 6 2 5 2 HOU Jordan Lyles 14:05
Undecided TOR 5 6 6 6 5 MIL Yovani Gallardo 14:10
Jason Vargas SEA 2 4 4 4 6 AZ Trevor Cahill 15:40
Yu Darvish TEX 6 10 5 5 6 SD Anthony Bass 18:35
Bronson Arroyo CIN 5 5 4 4 4 CLE Justin Masterson 19:05
Alex White COL 6 10 6 5 8 PHI Joe Blanton 19:05
Francisco Liriano MIN 5 3 4 2 4 PIT Erik Bedard 19:05
Jake Westbrook STL 6 10 7 5 6 DET Rick Porcello 19:05
Jeremy Hellickson TB 2 5 6 4 10 WAS Step. Strasburg 19:05
Brian Matusz BAL 3 4 6 1 8 NYN Dillon Gee 19:10
Ricky Nolasco MIA 3 2 5 5 8 BOS Felix Doubront 19:10
Randy Wells* CHN 3 3 4 6 5 CHA Gavin Floyd 20:10
Nathan Eovaldi LAN 8 4 5 4 4 OAK Tommy Milone 22:05
Ryan Vogelsong SF 2 5 5 3 4 LAA Jered Weaver 22:05

To learn more about Pitcher and Team NERD scores click here.
To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.




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Carson Cistulli occasionally publishes spirited ejaculations at The New Enthusiast.


10 Responses to “Daily Notes: Arbitrary Endpoint Leaderboard Explosion”

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  1. Aaron (UK) says:

    Hellickson has gone on the DL. Chris Archer debuts – I’d have thought his gaudy 10.57 K/9 in the minors this year would permit you to award a Cistulli discretionary NERD of 10?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. Jim says:

    Hellickson is not pitching and this chart does not reflect that properly. I call foul.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  3. Well-Beered Englishman says:

    Why yes I may very well be totally and irretrievably drunk at the moment

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  4. ecp says:

    Joel Carreno is listed for the Blue Jays if you want to change that from “undecided.”

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  5. KJ says:

    “They WAR who we thought they WAR!”

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  6. BravesfanofDewees says:

    Andrelton Simmons: NL ROY candidate?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

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