Daily Notes: Every Team’s Park-Adjusted Home-Run Rate

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Table: Every Team’s Park-Adjusted Home-Run Rate
2. Today’s Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Table: Every Team’s Park-Adjusted Home-Run Rate
The reader might be surprised to learn — as the author was surprised to learn — that the Cleveland Indians currently lead the entire major leagues in home runs. Nor is their success merely an illusion of park factors. In fact, Cleveland’s Progressive Field allows home runs at a rate somewhat below league average.

Below are the raw and adjusted home runs totals and rates for every major-league team currently. Note that home-run park factors for Mariners, Mets, and Padres don’t reflect all recent structural changes to those teams’ respective home parks. Note also that park factors have already been halved for use on full season stats.

Here is every team’s park-adjusted home-run rate:

Rank Team PA HR HR% HR PF aHR aHR%
1 Indians 1233 49 4.0% 96 51 4.1%
2 Braves 1289 48 3.7% 98 49 3.8%
3 Rays 1279 40 3.1% 97 41 3.2%
4 Blue Jays 1342 45 3.4% 105 43 3.2%
5 Pirates 1241 36 2.9% 94 38 3.1%
6 Yankees 1233 42 3.4% 111 38 3.1%
7 Brewers 1204 38 3.2% 103 37 3.1%
8 Red Sox 1345 39 2.9% 95 41 3.1%
9 Mets 1198 34 2.8% 93* 37 3.1%
10 Cubs 1264 40 3.2% 104 38 3.0%
11 Rockies 1333 45 3.4% 112 40 3.0%
12 White Sox 1157 38 3.3% 112 34 2.9%
13 Angels 1350 38 2.8% 97 39 2.9%
14 Mariners 1300 36 2.8% 96* 38 2.9%
15 Orioles 1330 41 3.1% 109 38 2.8%
16 Rangers 1277 39 3.1% 109 36 2.8%
17 Diamondbacks 1371 38 2.8% 103 37 2.7%
18 Nationals 1221 31 2.5% 100 31 2.5%
19 Athletics 1440 34 2.4% 93 37 2.5%
20 Cardinals 1245 28 2.2% 91 31 2.5%
21 Astros 1310 33 2.5% 104 32 2.4%
22 Tigers 1324 32 2.4% 102 31 2.4%
23 Phillies 1297 31 2.4% 104 30 2.3%
24 Padres 1264 26 2.1% 90* 29 2.3%
25 Twins 1198 25 2.1% 92 27 2.3%
26 Giants 1326 27 2.0% 93 29 2.2%
27 Reds 1378 33 2.4% 110 30 2.2%
28 Royals 1169 22 1.9% 92 24 2.0%
29 Dodgers 1248 23 1.8% 98 23 1.9%
30 Marlins 1293 19 1.5% 97 20 1.5%

Today’s Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
Chicago NL at Washington | 19:05 ET ***MLB.TV Free Game***
Right-hander Jeff Samardzija starts for Chicago NL. A table relevant to that is this one, featuring the leaders (among starting pitchers only) in average fastball velocity:

# Name Team IP vFA
1 Stephen Strasburg Nationals 44.1 95.4
2 Jeff Samardzija Cubs 43.2 94.9
3 Garrett Richards Angels 26.0 94.8
4 Allen Webster Red Sox 7.2 94.8
5 Matt Harvey Mets 49.1 94.7

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Chicago NL Television.

Cleveland at Detroit | 19:08 ET
The earliest returns on the new Standings tool here at the site reveal that the Tigers are currently projected to win the AL Central by ca. 13 games — in which sentence the author has italicized the word projected to emphasize the natural conservatism of projections and, therefore, the unlikelihood of such an optimistic result in favor of Detroit.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Cleveland Radio.

Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 5.1.

Note: the following table is entirely sortable.


Away SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Jeff Samardzija CHN 9 5 6 3 5 WAS Ross Detwiler 19:05
Corey Kluber* CLE 8 10 9 7 10 DET Max Scherzer 19:08
Yovani Gallardo MIL 3 7 6 4 10 CIN Tony Cingrani 19:10
Wandy Rodriguez PIT 5 7 5 8 4 NYN Shaun Marcum* 19:10
Edinson Volquez SD 1 4 4 7 6 TB Alex Cobb 19:10
Ramon Ortiz* TOR 3 4 5 9 6 BOS Jon Lester 19:10
Tommy Hanson LAA 1 4 1 0 0 CHA Dylan Axelrod 20:10
Jason Hammel BAL 1 7 2 4 0 MIN Mike Pelfrey 20:10
Phil Hughes NYA 7 5 6 6 4 KC Wade Davis 20:10
Alexi Ogando TEX 5 4 4 5 3 HOU Dallas Keuchel 20:10
Jon Garland COL 3 7 6 1 9 STL Shelby Miller 20:15
Tyler Cloyd* PHI 5 1 4 5 3 AZ Ian Kennedy 21:40
Jose Fernandez MIA 10 0 6 2 6 LAN Matt Magill* 22:10
Dan Straily* OAK 8 6 7 4 7 SEA Hisashi Iwakuma 22:10
Tim Hudson ATL 6 9 6 5 4 SF Matt Cain 22:15

To learn how Pitcher and Team NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.




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Carson Cistulli occasionally publishes spirited ejaculations at The New Enthusiast.


10 Responses to “Daily Notes: Every Team’s Park-Adjusted Home-Run Rate”

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  1. Benzedrine says:

    Maybe Angel Hernandez was trying to suppress the park factor for home runs to its normal rate the whole time!

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. rianwatt says:

    May I humbly suggest a new feature for the Daily Notes?

    Where you currently are in the habit of writing

    “The average NERD Game Score for today is X,”

    where ‘X’ represents the average NERD Game Score for today (that day), you might instead write:

    “The average NERD Game Score for today is X, ranking today as the Yth most exciting day of baseball in the Z days since the season began. The day with the highest average NERD Game Score since the season began was A”

    Where ‘X’ once again represents the average NERD Game Score for today (that day), ‘Y’ represents the number of days, plus one, where the average NERD Game Score was higher than today’s (that day’s), ‘Z’ represents the number of days on which regular season Major League baseball has been played in 2013, inclusive of today (that day), and ‘A’ represents the day in 2013 in which the highest average NERD Game Score was attained. You may adjust the two letters following the value for ‘Y’ (st, nd, rd, th) as the accepted rules of English grammar dictate.

    It is my general feeling that such an addition to the (traditionally) penultimate sentence of the Daily Notes would greatly increase general enjoyment of said Notes and would also lower many readers’ cholesterol, thereby prolonging their lives.*

    *There is as yet no scientific basis for this claim.

    +7 Vote -1 Vote +1

    • rianwatt says:

      Gosh, it’s hard to write that way for any length of time. I tip my cap* to you, Carson Cistulli.

      *I am not currently wearing a cap, but there is currently one sitting on the corner of my cabinet and it is indeed tipped at something of a jaunty angle, so I consider the verity of this sentenced unimpeached.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

    • VB says:

      I will add my support to this motion.

      Also, I could envision this leading to prediction contests at the beginning of the year (albeit a terrible contest), of the date with the highest Nerd score.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

  3. TKDC says:

    Can you do the same thing, but adjust for the fact that the AL has the DH and the NL does not?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  4. Well-Beered Englishman says:

    You remarked on a notable fact about Jeff Samardzija, so may I remark on a notable fact about Ross Detwiler.

    Pitch Type Leaderboard: Fastball%
    1. Ross Detwiler (90.8%)
    2. Bartolo Colon (89.4%)
    3. Lance Lynn (75.2%)
    4. Juan Nicasio (74.9%)
    5. Shelby Miller (74.2%)

    PITCHf/x differentiates between Detwiler’s traditional (46.6%) and sinking (44.0%) fastballs.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  5. MikeS says:

    As a life long White Sox fan I must protest the NERD score for this years team.

    It is much too high.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  6. bgburek says:

    Soon good ‘ol Mark Reynolds will get his strikeout rate back up to 33% and then the HRs will stop coming

    Vote -1 Vote +1

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