Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.
No Fewer Than Two Caveats
Here are at least two caveats — or something not unlike caveats — regarding today’s edition of the Notes.
Caveat No. 1
While the author is typically dissatisfied until every American, each day, has both (a) read completely that morning’s edition of the Daily Notes and then (b) sent to the author a personal note of congratulations, he (i.e. that same author) understands if the readership — owing to Events Most Grievous currently unfolding in Boston, and the Haunted Appeal of those events to the public’s mind (the author’s own mind included) — is distracted.
Caveat No. 2
In decidedly less fraught news, note that the author has added — to the game odds below, with the translations to projected winning percentages — has added pitcher innings totals and xFIP- figures for the 2013 season so far.
Today’s Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
Washington at New York NL | 19:10 ET
Stephen Strasburg, who (not surprisingly) has posted the highest average fastball velocity among 103 qualified starters so far, faces Matt Harvey, who’s posted the third-highest one of those. Of note: the slow-motion camera on the Mets broadcast, which has inspired GIFs like the one below here of Matt Harvey’s beguiling slidepiece.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: New York NL Television.
Chicago NL at Milwaukee | 20:10 ET
As noted above, Strasburg and Harvey have so far posted the league’s highest and third-highest average fastball velocities, respectively. Second in the league by that same measure is Jeff Samardzija. For our Convenience and Pleasure, Samardzija has consented to pitch this evening. Both Samardzija (19.2 IP, 60 xFIP-, 0.9 WAR) and his opponent, right-hander Marco Estrada (18.0 IP, 83 xFIP-, 0.2 WAR), have been rather effective so far.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Milwaukee Radio.
Arizona at Colorado | 20:40 ET ***MLB.TV Free Game***
Through 15 games, the Colorado Rockies have posted the league’s third-best collective field-player WAR among major-league teams. Here’s a table, provided for the reader entirely free of charge, of the club’s top-five players by WAR thus far:
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Arizona Radio*.
*The Arizona television broadcast team has changed since FanGraphs released the results of its crowdsourcing efforts to rank the league’s broadcast teams.
Here — for purposes entirely of entertainment and not for gambling, which is a Scourge of Propriety — are all of today’s games with moneyline odds (from relatively “sharp” sportsbook Pinnacle Sports) translated into projected winning percentages (and adjusted to account for the vigorish).
Games are listed in Eastern Time, as the author has recently bothered to learn how to convert time zones in Excel. Game presented in order of (a) National League and then (b) American League and, finally, then (c) interleague play.
|19:05||Atlanta Braves||Tim Hudson||18.0||93|||||1.79||54.8%|
|ET||Pittsburgh Pirates||Wandy Rodriguez||9.0||118|||||2.17||45.2%|
|19:05||St. Louis Cardinals||Jaime Garcia||19.1||87|||||1.83||53.5%|
|ET||Philadelphia Phillies||Roy Halladay||15.1||107|||||2.11||46.5%|
|19:10||Miami Marlins||Kevin Slowey||17.2||115|||||3.06||32.1%|
|ET||Cincinnati Reds||Mat Latos||19.1||85|||||1.44||67.9%|
|19:10||Washington Nationals||Stephen Strasburg||18.1||95|||||1.83||53.5%|
|ET||New York Mets||Matt Harvey||22.0||79|||||2.11||46.5%|
|20:10||Chicago Cubs||Jeff Samardzija||19.2||60|||||2.02||48.6%|
|ET||Milwaukee Brewers||Marco Estrada||18.0||83|||||1.91||51.4%|
|20:40||Arizona Diamondbacks||Ian Kennedy||18.2||102|||||2.23||44.0%|
|ET||Colorado Rockies||Jhoulys Chacin||18.1||102|||||1.75||56.0%|
|22:15||San Diego Padres||Edinson Volquez||12.1||128|||||3.01||32.6%|
|ET||San Francisco Giants||Madison Bumgarner||20.1||101|||||1.46||67.4%|
|19:05||New York Yankees||Andy Pettitte||15.0||109|||||2.04||48.0%|
|ET||Toronto Blue Jays||Brandon Morrow||15.2||112|||||1.89||52.0%|
|19:10||Kansas City Royals||James Shields||21.0||73|||||2.20||44.6%|
|ET||Boston Red Sox||Clay Buchholz||22.0||85|||||1.77||55.4%|
|19:10||Oakland Athletics||Brett Anderson||18.2||87|||||1.98||49.5%|
|ET||Tampa Bay Rays||Alex Cobb||14.0||87|||||1.94||50.5%|
|20:05||Seattle Mariners||Joe Saunders||17.1||107|||||2.92||33.6%|
|ET||Texas Rangers||Yu Darvish||19.2||56|||||1.48||66.4%|
|20:10||Cleveland Indians||Brett Myers||16.1||119|||||1.94||50.5%|
|ET||Houston Astros||Lucas Harrell||16.0||109|||||1.98||49.5%|
|20:10||Minnesota Twins||Vance Worley||12.0||113|||||2.47||39.7%|
|ET||Chicago White Sox||Jake Peavy||18.1||53|||||1.63||60.3%|
|22:05||Detroit Tigers||Anibal Sanchez||19.0||84|||||1.93||50.9%|
|ET||LAA Angels||Tommy Hanson||11.0||121|||||2.00||49.1%|
|19:05||Los Angeles Dodgers||Hyun-Jin Ryu||18.2||71|||||2.15||45.6%|
|ET||Baltimore Orioles||Jason Hammel||18.2||131|||||1.80||54.4%|