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Daily Notes, Featuring That Information You Wanted

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of Daily Notes.

1. That Information You Wanted: SCOUT Leaderboards for High-A
2. Today’s Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

That Information You Wanted: SCOUT Leaderboards for High-A
Regarding What This Is, First of All
What follows is that information you asked about — i.e. the SCOUT Leaderboards for all three High-A Leagues (the California, Carolina, and Florida State) combined.

Regarding What Is SCOUT, Additionally
SCOUT is a (likely absurd, admittedly unnecessary) metric designed by the author to assess performance in those instances — like in a minor league, for example — where small samples are ubiquitous.

The Offensive Version of SCOUT, How It’s Calculated
The offensive version of SCOUT — represented as SCOUT+, where 100 is league average and above 100 is above average — is essentially a version of wRC+, except using the three main defense-independent metrics (home-run, walk, and strikeout rates), all regressed duly*, as the inputs.

*By the method outlined here.

The Pitching Version of SCOUT, How It’s Calculated
The pitching version of SCOUT — represented as SCOUT-, where 100 is league average and below 100 represents above-average run prevention — is calculated using a version of kwERA, with regressed strikeout and walk rates as the relevant inputs.

Regarding SCOUT, One of Its Benefits
A benefit of SCOUT is it allows one to compare the relative performances of players with markedly different sample sizes.

Regarding SCOUT, Another of Its Benefits
Another benefit of SCOUT is, because both SCOUT+ and SCOUT- are presented relative to league, it allows one to compare the relative performances of players across multiple leagues — like in what follows, for example.

Regarding These Numbers
All the following numbers are final for 2012.

Top Batters of the High-A Leagues (Overall)
Here are the top-10 batters of the High-A Leagues, as determined by the methodology explained above.


Player Team League Age PA xHR% xBB% xK% SCOUT+
Aaron Baker Orioles Carolina 24 364 6.0% 9.9% 21.2% 154
C.J. Retherford Dodgers California 26 322 6.2% 6.5% 13.0% 154
Yazy Arbelo Diamondbacks California 24 231 7.6% 8.7% 24.7% 153
Tyler Kelly Orioles Carolina 23 324 2.8% 16.7% 12.7% 152
Kyle Parker Rockies California 22 463 5.0% 14.3% 19.0% 150
Miles Head Athletics California 21 293 6.1% 7.8% 18.8% 145
Travis Shaw Red Sox Carolina 22 423 3.8% 13.9% 19.1% 143
Evan Gattis Braves Carolina 25 94 4.3% 9.3% 15.5% 143
Jared Clark Rockies California 26 532 4.5% 16.7% 24.1% 142
Cory Vaughn Mets Florida 23 535 4.3% 12.1% 21.3% 141

Top Batters of the High-A Leagues (Aged 22 and Under)
Here are the top-10 batters of the High-A Leagues who might still, because of their age relative to the level, be considered prospects — again, as determined by the methodology explained above.


Player Team League Age PA xHR% xBB% xK% SCOUT+
Kyle Parker Rockies California 22 463 5.0% 14.3% 19.0% 150
Miles Head Athletics California 21 293 6.1% 7.8% 18.8% 145
Travis Shaw Red Sox Carolina 22 423 3.8% 13.9% 19.1% 143
Wilmer Flores Mets Florida 20 272 3.5% 6.6% 11.0% 135
Jackie Bradley Red Sox Carolina 22 305 1.0% 17.0% 13.1% 131
Marcell Ozuna Marlins Florida 21 539 4.5% 8.2% 21.5% 130
Steve Selsky Reds California 22 307 4.9% 8.5% 20.2% 130
Lance Ray Twins Florida 22 426 3.1% 11.7% 19.0% 129
Joc Pederson Dodgers California 20 499 3.6% 10.2% 16.2% 127
C.J. Cron Angels California 22 557 4.8% 3.1% 12.9% 127

Top Pitchers of the High-A Leagues (Overall)
Here are the top-10 pitchers of the High-A Leagues, as determined by the methodology explained above.


Player Team League Age IP TBF xK% xBB% SCOUT-
Rob Wort Nationals Carolina 23 56.2 230 41.3% 8.2% 37
Michael Olmsted Red Sox Carolina 25 39.1 155 39.4% 7.3% 40
Mark Montgomery Yankees Florida 21 40.1 160 38.1% 8.9% 43
Tyler Clark Tigers Florida 23 42.2 160 36.9% 9.1% 48
Jack Leathersich Mets Florida 21 48.0 214 35.5% 9.6% 53
Michael Tonkin Twins Florida 22 30.1 127 32.3% 8.6% 60
Taylor Thompson White Sox Carolina 25 44.1 173 32.9% 8.0% 61
Tommy Kahnle Yankees Florida 22 55.0 222 32.4% 9.4% 63
Scott Gracey Blue Jays Florida 25 28.1 122 31.6% 8.6% 63
Ryan Duke Phillies Florida 23 25.0 98 31.3% 8.5% 63

Top Pitchers of the High-A Leagues (Starters Only)
Here are the top-10 pitchers in the High-A Leagues who made at least half of their appearances as starts — again, as determined by the methodology explained above.


Player Team League Age IP TBF xK% xBB% SCOUT-
Adam Morgan Phillies Florida 22 123.0 490 28.6% 6.0% 64
Rafael Montero Mets Florida 21 50.2 193 29.0% 7.5% 67
Tony Cingrani Reds California 22 56.2 220 32.3% 7.5% 68
Wilmer Font Rangers Carolina 22 85.1 344 32.6% 9.8% 68
Cody Buckel Rangers Carolina 20 75.2 294 31.0% 8.3% 69
Nathan Karns Nationals Carolina 24 71.2 278 31.3% 8.8% 69
Yordano Ventura Royals Carolina 21 76.1 326 30.1% 8.4% 72
Hiram Burgos Brewers Florida 24 41.1 150 27.3% 7.3% 72
Dylan Bundy Orioles Carolina 19 57.0 228 28.9% 8.0% 74
Michael Bolsinger Diamondbacks California 24 38.0 160 30.6% 8.4% 74

Three Notable Performances
Kyle Parker is a corner outfielder, ranked seventh among Rockies prospects by Marc Hulet on his preseason top-15 list. Heading into the season, contact was a concern for Parker, who posted a 25.6% strikeout rate last season in the Class A Sally League. Hulet notes — as does Mike Newman in a scouting-oriented piece from January — that Parker’s decision to play quarterback at Clemson through his senior year would make him (i.e. Parker) a bit less refined than other prospects with the same raw talent. In fact, Parker improved his approach this season, posting a higher walk rate and lower strikeout rate than in 2011, despite advancing a level.
• Mets infielder Wilmer Flores is not only the most highly ranked 20-year-old on this leaderboard, but he also appeared at the top of the prospect-age SCOUT offensive leaders for the Double-A Eastern League.
• Left-hander Adam Morgan receives the very considerable distinction of Best High-A Starting Pitcher, per SCOUT. A question one might ask is, “Who is Adam Morgan, actually — especially since he appears to have outpitched Tony Cingrani (now in the major leagues) by this measure?” Here’s who Morgan is: a third-round pick out of the University of Alabama in the 2011 draft who was ranked 29th overall among Philadelphia prospects by Baseball America this preseason. As of then, he was reported as throwing an 88-92 mph fastball, a curve and slider (the latter of which “show[ed] flashes of becoming a plus pitch), and a change. Morgan made six starts at Double-A Reading and posted this line: 35.2 IP, 7.32 K/9, 2.78 BB/9, 0.50 HR/9, 3.23 FIP.

Other SCOUT Leaderboards
International League (Triple-A)
Pacific Coast League (Triple-A)
Eastern League (Double-A)
Southern League (Double-A)
Texas League (Double-A)
Midwest and Sally Leagues Combined (Class-A)
New York-Penn and Northwest Leagues Combined (Low-A)
Appalachian, Arizona, Gulf Coast, and Pioneer Leagues Combined (Rookie)

Today’s Notable Games
Detroit at Chicago AL | 14:10 ET
The Tigers and White Sox remain separated by just two games in the AL Central, nor is the second-place team likely to qualify for the wild-card play-in game.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Detroit Radio.

Atlanta at Miami | 19:10 ET ***MLB.TV Free Game***
Atlanta swept the first-place Washington Nationals over the weekend, but a wild-card spot is still the most likely outcome for the club: per Cool Standings, their chances of taking the division increased by only about three percentage points.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Atlanta Radio.

Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 3.6.

Note: the following Game Scores include the poorly conceived playoff-odds adjustment discussed in a recent edition of Daily Notes. Also note: the following table is entirely sortable.


Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Doug Fister DET 7 4 6 4 5 CHA Jose Quintana 14:10
Tim Hudson ATL 4 6 2 4 3 MIA Wade LeBlanc 19:10
Aaron Cook BOS 2 5 4 5 7 TB Alex Cobb 19:10
Cliff Lee PHI 9 5 6 2 10 NYN R.A. Dickey 19:10
Kevin Correia PIT 2 4 1 1 3 CHN Travis Wood 20:05
Chris Tillman BAL 5 2 3 4 3 SEA Hector Noesi 22:10
Jhoulys Chacin COL 2 6 3 4 9 SF M. Bumgarner 22:15

To learn more about Pitcher and Team NERD scores click here.
To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.