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Daily Notes, Featuring That Information You Wanted
Posted By Carson Cistulli On September 17, 2012 @ 10:39 am In Daily Notes | 4 Comments
Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of Daily Notes.
That Information You Wanted: SCOUT Leaderboards for High-A
Regarding What This Is, First of All
What follows is that information you asked about — i.e. the SCOUT Leaderboards for all three High-A Leagues (the California, Carolina, and Florida State) combined.
Regarding What Is SCOUT, Additionally
SCOUT is a (likely absurd, admittedly unnecessary) metric designed by the author to assess performance in those instances — like in a minor league, for example — where small samples are ubiquitous.
The Offensive Version of SCOUT, How It’s Calculated
The offensive version of SCOUT — represented as SCOUT+, where 100 is league average and above 100 is above average — is essentially a version of wRC+, except using the three main defense-independent metrics (home-run, walk, and strikeout rates), all regressed duly*, as the inputs.
*By the method outlined here.
The Pitching Version of SCOUT, How It’s Calculated
The pitching version of SCOUT — represented as SCOUT-, where 100 is league average and below 100 represents above-average run prevention — is calculated using a version of kwERA, with regressed strikeout and walk rates as the relevant inputs.
Regarding SCOUT, One of Its Benefits
A benefit of SCOUT is it allows one to compare the relative performances of players with markedly different sample sizes.
Regarding SCOUT, Another of Its Benefits
Another benefit of SCOUT is, because both SCOUT+ and SCOUT- are presented relative to league, it allows one to compare the relative performances of players across multiple leagues — like in what follows, for example.
Regarding These Numbers
All the following numbers are final for 2012.
Top Batters of the High-A Leagues (Overall)
Here are the top-10 batters of the High-A Leagues, as determined by the methodology explained above.
|Travis Shaw||Red Sox||Carolina||22||423||3.8%||13.9%||19.1%||143|
Top Batters of the High-A Leagues (Aged 22 and Under)
Here are the top-10 batters of the High-A Leagues who might still, because of their age relative to the level, be considered prospects — again, as determined by the methodology explained above.
|Travis Shaw||Red Sox||Carolina||22||423||3.8%||13.9%||19.1%||143|
|Jackie Bradley||Red Sox||Carolina||22||305||1.0%||17.0%||13.1%||131|
Top Pitchers of the High-A Leagues (Overall)
Here are the top-10 pitchers of the High-A Leagues, as determined by the methodology explained above.
|Michael Olmsted||Red Sox||Carolina||25||39.1||155||39.4%||7.3%||40|
|Taylor Thompson||White Sox||Carolina||25||44.1||173||32.9%||8.0%||61|
|Scott Gracey||Blue Jays||Florida||25||28.1||122||31.6%||8.6%||63|
Top Pitchers of the High-A Leagues (Starters Only)
Here are the top-10 pitchers in the High-A Leagues who made at least half of their appearances as starts — again, as determined by the methodology explained above.
Three Notable Performances
• Kyle Parker is a corner outfielder, ranked seventh among Rockies prospects by Marc Hulet on his preseason top-15 list. Heading into the season, contact was a concern for Parker, who posted a 25.6% strikeout rate last season in the Class A Sally League. Hulet notes — as does Mike Newman in a scouting-oriented piece from January — that Parker’s decision to play quarterback at Clemson through his senior year would make him (i.e. Parker) a bit less refined than other prospects with the same raw talent. In fact, Parker improved his approach this season, posting a higher walk rate and lower strikeout rate than in 2011, despite advancing a level.
• Mets infielder Wilmer Flores is not only the most highly ranked 20-year-old on this leaderboard, but he also appeared at the top of the prospect-age SCOUT offensive leaders for the Double-A Eastern League.
• Left-hander Adam Morgan receives the very considerable distinction of Best High-A Starting Pitcher, per SCOUT. A question one might ask is, “Who is Adam Morgan, actually — especially since he appears to have outpitched Tony Cingrani (now in the major leagues) by this measure?” Here’s who Morgan is: a third-round pick out of the University of Alabama in the 2011 draft who was ranked 29th overall among Philadelphia prospects by Baseball America this preseason. As of then, he was reported as throwing an 88-92 mph fastball, a curve and slider (the latter of which “show[ed] flashes of becoming a plus pitch), and a change. Morgan made six starts at Double-A Reading and posted this line: 35.2 IP, 7.32 K/9, 2.78 BB/9, 0.50 HR/9, 3.23 FIP.
Other SCOUT Leaderboards
International League (Triple-A)
Pacific Coast League (Triple-A)
Eastern League (Double-A)
Southern League (Double-A)
Texas League (Double-A)
Midwest and Sally Leagues Combined (Class-A)
New York-Penn and Northwest Leagues Combined (Low-A)
Appalachian, Arizona, Gulf Coast, and Pioneer Leagues Combined (Rookie)
Today’s Notable Games
Detroit at Chicago AL | 14:10 ET
The Tigers and White Sox remain separated by just two games in the AL Central, nor is the second-place team likely to qualify for the wild-card play-in game.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Detroit Radio.
Atlanta at Miami | 19:10 ET ***MLB.TV Free Game***
Atlanta swept the first-place Washington Nationals over the weekend, but a wild-card spot is still the most likely outcome for the club: per Cool Standings, their chances of taking the division increased by only about three percentage points.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Atlanta Radio.
Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 3.6.
Note: the following Game Scores include the poorly conceived playoff-odds adjustment discussed in a recent edition of Daily Notes. Also note: the following table is entirely sortable.
|Doug Fister||DET||7||4||6||4||5||CHA||Jose Quintana||14:10|
|Tim Hudson||ATL||4||6||2||4||3||MIA||Wade LeBlanc||19:10|
|Aaron Cook||BOS||2||5||4||5||7||TB||Alex Cobb||19:10|
|Cliff Lee||PHI||9||5||6||2||10||NYN||R.A. Dickey||19:10|
|Kevin Correia||PIT||2||4||1||1||3||CHN||Travis Wood||20:05|
|Chris Tillman||BAL||5||2||3||4||3||SEA||Hector Noesi||22:10|
|Jhoulys Chacin||COL||2||6||3||4||9||SF||M. Bumgarner||22:15|
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