Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of Daily Notes.
Brief Previews for Select Games
Here are brief previews for four of today’s games — each including the preferred television feed of FanGraphs readers, per the results of our offseason crowdsourcing project. (Information on probable pitchers from MLB.com.)
Chicago NL at Miami | 12:40 ET
Right-hander Jeff Samardzija makes his third start of the season for Chicago. Despite allowing five runs against St. Louis on Friday, his defense-independent numbers were still very good. Line: 5.0 IP, 26 TBF, 5 K, 1 BB, 8 GB on 20 batted-balls (40.0% GB), 2.90 xFIP… Ricky Nolasco (13.0 IP, 104 xFIP-) starts for Miami… Item: Giancarlo Stanton‘s name is officially Giancarlo Stanton now on that player’s FanGraphs page.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Chicago NL.
Texas at Detroit | 19:05 ET
Yu Darvish makes his third start. His numbers so far have been decidedly pedestrian: 11.1 IP, 15.0% K, 13.3% BB, 41.5% GB, 5.07 SIERA, 5.19 xFIP, 126 xFIP-… Per PITCHf/x, Darvish has thrown five different pitches (four-seam fastball, slider, cut fastball, curveball, and two-seam fastball) at least 5% of the time. Still, his strike percentage is just 56.1%; meanwhile, league-average strike rate for starters is 63.1%… Texas entered Wednesday with the second-highest team WAR (3.6)… Left-hander Adam Wilk starts for Detroit. Here’s the line from his first major-league start (box): 5.0 IP, 19 TBF, 4 K, 1 BB, 5 GB on 14 batted-balls (35.7%), 4.13 xFIP.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Detroit.
Oakland at Los Angeles AL | 22:05 ET
Tom Milone pitches for Oakland. While ultimately less effective — in terms of actual runs allowed — in his second start (against Seattle), Milone’s peripherals were much improved over his first, scoreless appearance. Line: 6.0 IP, 23 TBF, 5 K, 2 BB, 8 GB on 16 batted-balls (50.0%), 3.63 xFIP… Earlier this week, our Bill Petti looked at pitchers who, like Milone, have averaged less than 88 mph on their four-seam fastball but have also thrown the pitch more than 45% of the time. More often than not, Petti found, pitchers who meet those criteria finish with below-average ERAs (with Petti also acknowledging that Milone is a possible outlier)… C.J. Wilson pitches for the Angels. Here’re his numbers so far, through two starts: 13.0 IP, 13.0% K, 11.1% BB, 65.0% GB, 4.28 SIERA, 4.30 xFIP, 105 xFIP-.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Oakland, Barely.
Cleveland at Seattle | 22:10 ET ***MLB.TV Free Game***
Through his first 21.1 innings, Felix Hernandez has produced strikeout (21.4%) and walk (4.5%) rates in line with years past. His ground-ball rate (36.1%, down from 50.2% last season) and — perhaps relatedly — average fastball velocity (91.7 mph currently, down from 93.4) look different, however. As Dave Cameron notes, the secondary stuff — and, in particular, the changeup — is still excellent, but reduced velocity is rarely, if ever, of benefit… Current as of Wednesday, the Cleveland offense has posted the highest walk rate (12.2%) and the fourth-lowest strikeout rate (16.7%) in the majors. Despite a below-average BABIP (.264), the club still features the third-highest wRC+ (118) in the league. Leaders: Shelley Duncan, 202 wRC+ (.368 BABIP) and 0.6 WAR; Carlos Santana, 164 wRC+ (.250 BABIP) and 0.5 WAR; and Asdrubal Cabrera, 124 wRC+ (.265 BABIP) and 0.5 WAR… Josh Tomlin pitches for Cleveland.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Seattle.
Unhelpful Video: Cleveland Hits Four Home Runs
As noted above, Cleveland has been one of the best offensive teams on the young season.
Crowdsourcing Broadcasters: Colorado Radio
Recently, we released the results of our television broadcaster rankings — itself the product of reader crowdsourcing that started in late November. Now, FanGraphs is asking readers to rate the radio broadcast teams for all 30 major-league clubs (Click here for more on this project.)
Rate other teams: Washington / Toronto / Texas / Tampa Bay / Seattle / San Francisco / San Diego / St. Louis / Pittsburgh / Philadelphia / Oakland / New York (NL) / New York (AL) / Minnesota / Milwaukee / Miami / Los Angeles (NL) / Los Angeles (AL) / Kansas City / Houston / Detroit.