- FanGraphs Baseball - http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs -

Daily Notes: Ft. A Count of Every Club’s Meaningless Games

Posted By Carson Cistulli On September 26, 2013 @ 10:00 am In Daily Notes | 15 Comments

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. A Count of Every Club’s Meaningless Games
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

A Statistical Update on Players in Deadline Deals
Introduction
With four days remaining in the major-league regular season, only three clubs — Cleveland, Tampa Bay, and Texas — possess some manner of playoff odds that aren’t either 0.0% or 100.0%. Some teams (Kansas City, New York AL) have only just been eliminated from a possible postseason berth; others (Chicago AL, Houston, Miami) have possessed playoff odds of 0% for over a month.

What the author has done, in the table below, is to calculate the number of meaningless games every major-league team will have played by the end of the season — where meaningless indicates games played while the team in question has possessed either a 0% or 100% chance of making the playoffs, per Cool Standings. Note that this is different, probably by a little bit, than what is frequently referred to as “mathematical elimination,” but (a) is another, pretty similar type of mathematical elimination and also (b) was easier to calculate, as the author’s internet browser happened already to be pointed to Cool Standings.

Table: Every Team’s Meaningless Games
Here’s a record of every team’s meaningless games, as calculated using the methodology above. Date represents the date since which the relevant club has possessed playoff odds of either a 0% or 100%. W and L represent that club wins and losses, respectively, on the date in question. MG is the number of meaningless games the club will have played by the end of the season. MG% is the percentage of the relevant club’s 162 regular season games played with either a 0% or 100% chance of making the playoffs.

Club Date W L MG MG%
Astros 14-Jul 33 61 68 42.0%
White Sox 3-Aug 40 68 54 33.3%
Marlins 9-Aug 43 71 48 29.6%
Twins 28-Aug 57 73 32 19.8%
Mariners 28-Aug 59 72 31 19.1%
Cubs 26-Aug 55 76 31 19.1%
Brewers 31-Aug 59 75 28 17.3%
Giants 3-Sep 61 76 25 15.4%
Phillies 4-Sep 63 76 23 14.2%
Padres 5-Sep 62 77 23 14.2%
Mets 7-Sep 63 77 22 13.6%
Rockies 7-Sep 66 76 20 12.3%
Blue Jays 10-Sep 67 76 19 11.7%
Angels 13-Sep 70 76 16 9.9%
Red Sox 14-Sep 91 59 12 7.4%
Dodgers 19-Sep 87 65 10 6.2%
Braves 21-Sep 91 62 9 5.6%
D-backs 21-Sep 77 76 9 5.6%
Athletics 21-Sep 91 63 8 4.9%
Cardinals 22-Sep 91 65 6 3.7%
Orioles 25-Sep 81 76 5 3.1%
Nationals 23-Sep 84 73 5 3.1%
Pirates 23-Sep 90 67 5 3.1%
Reds 23-Sep 90 67 5 3.1%
Yankees 26-Sep 82 76 4 2.5%
Tigers 25-Sep 92 66 4 2.5%
Royals 26-Sep 83 75 4 2.5%
Rays N/A N/A
Indians N/A N/A
Rangers N/A N/A
Average* 8-Sep 71.4 71.1 19.5 12.0%

*Average doesn’t include three active clubs.

Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
TBD at TBD | ??:?? ET
As of press time, the identity of today’s free game had as yet to be revealed.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Unknown.

Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire.

Note that these NERD scores are calculated using the methodology introduced recently and designed to account for the influence of playoff odds on the watchability of games. ***Unlike in recent iterations of this table, the author has adjusted the day’s NERD Game Scores such that, combined, they average 5.0.*** This allows said table to resemble more closely the Game Scores that have appeared here over the preceding four months.


Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Trevor Cahill AZ 4 0 4 0 5 SD Robbie Erlin 18:40
Alex Cobb TB 8 1 7 0 6 NYA Ivan Nova 19:05
Mark Buehrle TOR 4 0 3 0 3 WAS M. Gonzalez 19:05
John Hellweg MIL 0 0 2 0 5 NYN Dillon Gee 19:10
Tyler Cloyd PHI 2 0 5 0 10 ATL David Hale* 19:10
Jerome Williams LAA 4 0 10 5 6 TEX Matt Garza 20:05
Zach McAllister CLE 3 4 7 0 3 MIN Andrew Albers 20:10
Jeremy Guthrie KC 2 0 1 0 1 CHA Andre Rienzo 20:10
Edinson Volquez LAN 4 0 5 0 7 SF Tim Lincecum 22:15

To learn how Pitcher and Team NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.


Article printed from FanGraphs Baseball: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs

URL to article: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/daily-notes-ft-a-count-of-every-clubs-meaningless-games/

Copyright © 2009 FanGraphs Baseball. All rights reserved.