Also, agree that Yankees, Indians, orioles should be higher than 1… Their slim odds to make the playoffs i would argue makes them more fun to watch because every game matters so much to them.

]]>A = the lesser of x) abs(50.0% – PO%) and y) abs(50.0% – DIV%)

B = 50.0% – A

September Team NERD = B * 20, then rounded to nearest integer value

Where:

PO% = the % chance of making the playoffs, and

DIV% = the % chance of winning the division

So if a team has a 40% chance of winning the division and a 40% chance of making the wildcard, then the divisional race is inherently more important since there is an 80% chance of making the playoffs – this gets you to a NERD of 8. Likewise, if a team has a 20% chance of the division and a 40% chance of a wildcard, then you use the fact that the team has a 60% chance of making the playoffs, also getting you to a NERD of 8.

]]>Whatever the method is, the Yankees, Indians, and Orioles all should be higher than 1, if some formula were seriously to be created.

]]>Anyhow, the Twins’ “Undecided” will likely be Pedro Hernandez, and he’s probably a “2″ on the ol’ NERD score–so you are right.

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