Daily Notes, Ft. A Possible Solution for Texas at First

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of Daily Notes.

1. Texas First Baseman Someday, Maybe: Chris McGuiness
2. SCOUT Leaderboards: Arizona Fall League
3. Double-Video Situation: Chris McGuiness Homering

Texas First Baseman Someday, Maybe: Chris McGuiness
Chris McGuiness is a 24-year-old first base-type in the Texas system who has sat (sitted?) atop the SCOUT batting leaderboard (below) for almost the entirety of the Arizona Fall League season. He was also — again, per SCOUT — he was also one of the top hitters in the Double-A Texas League this season. In both cases — that is, both the Arizona Fall and Eastern Leagues — McGuiness has been old relative to his league/level (or, at least older than a prospect proper would be).

Here’s who Chris McGuiness is, in case you want to know: a 13th-round pick in 2009 out of The Citadel by the Boston Red Sox. Here’s who else: part of the package sent by Boston to Texas in the 2010 trade for catcher Jarrod Saltalamacchia. Here’s who, also: a left-handed batter who hit .268/.366/.474 (.302 BABIP), 134 wRC+ in 530 plate appearances at Double-A Frisco this past season.

With the departure of Mike Napoli from the Rangers this offseason, there are more questions for the club at first base and DH than there have been in recent years. As things stand at the moment, some combination of Mitch Moreland, Mike Olt, and Michael Young is likely to fill the two roles. Purely as an exercise, I’ve listed below the 2013 OLIVER projections for all four players below.


Player AVG OBP SLG wOBA
Chris McGuiness .238 .320 .416 .323
Mitch Moreland .261 .320 .433 .327
Mike Olt .248 .331 .485 .350
Michael Young .285 .326 .402 .319

It appears, from this, as though McGuiness wouldn’t be the worst-case scenario as the left-handed part of a platoon for Texas either at first base or DH. Given that Moreland is eligible for arbitration in 2014, however, it’s also the case that he (i.e. McGuiness) could be a cheap replacement for him (i.e. Moreland) at that time.

SCOUT Leaderboards: Arizona Fall League
Below are the SCOUT leaderboards for the Arizona Fall League, current through Saturday. (Ages as of July 1st, 2012. Players listed with most recent team. Click here for more on what is SCOUT.)

SCOUT Leaderboard: Arizona Fall League Hitters (Overall)
Below is the current SCOUT batting leaderboard for the Arizona Fall League. SCOUT+ is calculated using regressed home-run, walk, and strikeout rates, where 100 is average and above 100 is above average.


Player MLB Age PA xHR% xBB% xK% SCOUT+
Christopher McGuiness Rangers 24 91 2.5% 11.5% 15.9% 122
David Adams Yankees 25 80 2.3% 11.5% 17.3% 116
Nate Roberts Twins 23 71 1.7% 11.5% 13.9% 116
Matt Szczur Cubs 22 98 1.5% 11.6% 13.6% 115
Trayce Thompson White Sox 21 59 2.1% 14.1% 20.8% 114
Kent Matthes Rockies 25 84 2.6% 10.8% 19.5% 113
George Springer Astros 22 73 2.3% 12.9% 20.9% 113
Josh Prince Brewers 24 97 1.5% 12.2% 15.7% 112
Jonathan Schoop Orioles 20 83 1.9% 13.9% 20.9% 112
Jeudy Valdez Padres 23 71 2.0% 11.5% 17.9% 112

SCOUT Leaderboard: Arizona Fall League Hitters (Prospects)
Here is the SCOUT batting leaderboard for the Arizona Fall League, but only populated with players who are 22 or under — i.e. something more like “prospect” age relative to the league.


Player MLB Age PA xHR% xBB% xK% SCOUT+
Matt Szczur Cubs 22 98 1.5% 11.6% 13.6% 115
Trayce Thompson White Sox 21 59 2.1% 14.1% 20.8% 114
George Springer Astros 22 73 2.3% 12.9% 20.9% 113
Jonathan Schoop Orioles 20 83 1.9% 13.9% 20.9% 112
Joe Panik Giants 21 78 1.6% 10.1% 13.6% 112
Jonathan Singleton Astros 20 103 2.1% 13.4% 21.6% 112
Nick Ahmed Braves 22 70 1.7% 10.1% 15.3% 108
Logan Watkins Cubs 22 22 1.9% 10.5% 17.7% 108
Ricky Oropesa Giants 22 51 2.1% 13.0% 22.5% 108
Cory Spangenberg Padres 21 34 1.9% 11.4% 18.8% 108

SCOUT Leaderboard: Arizona Fall League Pitchers (Overall)
Below is the current SCOUT pitching leaderboard for the Arizona Fall League. SCOUT- is calculated using regressed strikeout and walk rates where 100 is average and below 100 is above average.


Player MLB Age G GS IP TBF xK% xBB% SCOUT-
Robbie Erlin Padres 21 6 6 18.2 74 26.8% 9.6% 85
Mark Montgomery Yankees 21 9 0 10.1 41 27.2% 10.2% 85
Chase Anderson Diamondbacks 24 5 5 18.1 75 25.3% 10.0% 88
Kevin Quackenbush Padres 23 10 0 10.0 37 25.0% 9.8% 89
Kevin Rhoderick Cubs 23 9 0 9.1 35 24.6% 9.8% 90
Boone Whiting Cardinals 22 6 6 21.1 91 24.5% 9.7% 90
Kevin Siegrist Cardinals 22 5 4 15.0 60 24.6% 9.9% 90
Kyle Gibson Twins 24 5 5 20.0 89 24.1% 9.5% 90
Nick Tropeano Astros 21 10 1 14.0 56 24.5% 10.0% 90
Nicholas Bucci Brewers 21 5 5 15.0 74 24.1% 9.6% 90

SCOUT Leaderboard: Arizona Fall League Pitchers (Starters)
Here is the SCOUT pitching leaderboard for the Arizona Fall League, but only populated with pitchers who’ve made at least half of their appearances as starts.


Player MLB Age G GS IP TBF xK% xBB% SCOUT-
Robbie Erlin Padres 21 6 6 18.2 74 26.8% 9.6% 85
Chase Anderson Diamondbacks 24 5 5 18.1 75 25.3% 10.0% 88
Boone Whiting Cardinals 22 6 6 21.1 91 24.5% 9.7% 90
Kevin Siegrist Cardinals 22 5 4 15.0 60 24.6% 9.9% 90
Kyle Gibson Twins 24 5 5 20.0 89 24.1% 9.5% 90
Nicholas Bucci Brewers 21 5 5 15.0 74 24.1% 9.6% 90
James Paxton Mariners 23 5 5 12.2 57 23.0% 10.1% 94
T.J. House Indians 22 5 5 22.0 86 22.5% 10.0% 94
Dennis Tepera Blue Jays 24 5 5 16.2 81 21.8% 9.5% 95
James Nelson Brewers 23 6 5 18.0 80 22.6% 10.8% 96

Double-Video Situation: Chris McGuiness Homering
Here are two videos of Chris McGuiness homering this season in the Double-A Texas League.

First, in July:

Second, in August:




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Carson Cistulli occasionally publishes spirited ejaculations at The New Enthusiast.


2 Responses to “Daily Notes, Ft. A Possible Solution for Texas at First”

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  1. Eminor3rd says:

    So awesome to see Trayce Thompson with a 14% xBB

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. Mike D says:

    Are 2013 Oliver Projections available? Its not advertised.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

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