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Daily Notes, Ft. All the Big Hector Santiago Coverage

Posted By Carson Cistulli On November 15, 2012 @ 10:00 am In Daily Notes,White Sox | 1 Comment

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of Daily Notes.

1. Hector Santiago Coverage, Featuring Hector Santiago
2. Action GIFs: Hector Santiago’s Changeup vs. His Screwball
3. Premature SCOUT Leaderboards: Puerto Rican League

Hector Santiago Coverage, Featuring Hector Santiago
The Puerto Rican League is approximately a week old, and, as the (very premature) leaderboards below reveal, White Sox left-hander Hector Santiago has been quite effective in his first two appearances (both starts), posting a 13:3 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 11.0 innings.

Despite some difficulties at the beginning — difficulties which got him removed from the closer role rather early on — Santiago’s 2012 season was entirely adequate (70.1 IP, 106 xFIP-). Notably, he made four starts in September and October, with surprisingly proficient results. To wit: 19.1 IP, 26 K, 11 BB, 55.8 GB%, 3.41 xFIP.

Santiago’s screwball has been important to his development. Owing to the similarity of the screwball to the changeup, it’s hard to isolate its precise effectiveness per our pitch-type values. However, the two offerings work nicely in tandem to neutralize the right-handed platoon advantage. Santiago also sits with his fastball, even as a starter, at around 93-95 mph — considerable for a left-hander. His challenge in 2013 will continue to be command: Santiago walked 13.1% of batters faced in 2012, which is too inefficient for a starting role.

Given his lack of economy (if that continues) and his relative effectiveness right-handers (if that continues), Santiago is an interesting candidate for a sort of extended-type relief role.

Action GIFs: Hector Santiago’s Change vs. His Screwball
Despite the similarities in movement between the two, Santiago throws both a changeup and a screwball. According to the left-hander himself, his grip and arm action is also mostly the same. The main difference is a more exaggerated turning of that arm for the screwball — which he throws with less velocity and more depth.

Below are examples from August of the change and then screwball on consecutive pitches to Baltimore’s Adam Jones.

First, here’s the 82 mph change:

And next, here’s the screwball at 74 mph for the strikeout:

Premature SCOUT Leaderboards: Puerto Rican League
Below are the SCOUT leaderboards for the Puerto Rican League, which is only a week old. (Ages as of July 1st, 2012. Players listed with most recent team. Click here for more on what is SCOUT.)

SCOUT Leaderboard: Puerto Rican League Hitters (Overall)
Below is the current SCOUT batting leaderboard for the Puerto Rican League. SCOUT+ is calculated using regressed home-run, walk, and strikeout rates, where 100 is average and above 100 is above average.


Player Team Age Pos PA xHR% xBB% xK% SCOUT+
Edgardo Baez MEX 26 OF 23 2.3% 12.3% 18.8% 111
Andy Gonzalez Brewers 30 SS 23 2.3% 11.3% 18.1% 109
Daniel Ortiz Twins 22 OF 16 2.0% 11.2% 17.0% 107
Brandon Snyder Rangers 25 1B 12 2.0% 11.4% 17.5% 107
Carlos Rivera MEX 34 1B 19 2.0% 10.5% 16.6% 106
Jorge Padilla MEX 32 OF 27 1.9% 10.6% 17.0% 105
Luis Matos MEX 33 OF 15 1.7% 11.8% 17.1% 105
Jesus Feliciano Rays 33 OF 18 1.7% 11.1% 16.1% 105
Yazy Arbelo D-backs 24 1B 11 2.0% 10.5% 17.6% 104
Roberto Pena Astros 20 C 5 2.1% 10.8% 18.3% 104

SCOUT Leaderboard: Puerto Rican League Hitters (Prospects)
Here is the SCOUT batting leaderboard for the Puerto Rican League, but only populated with players who are 25 or under — i.e. something more like “prospect” age relative to the league.


Player Team Age Pos PA xHR% xBB% xK% SCOUT+
Daniel Ortiz Twins 22 OF 16 2.0% 11.2% 17.0% 107
Brandon Snyder Rangers 25 1B 12 2.0% 11.4% 17.5% 107
Yazy Arbelo D-backs 24 1B 11 2.0% 10.5% 17.6% 104
Roberto Pena Astros 20 C 5 2.1% 10.8% 18.3% 104
Juan Centeno Mets 22 C 9 2.1% 10.1% 17.1% 104
Roberto Ortiz* Orioles 23 OF 1 2.1% 10.5% 18.1% 104
Reymond Fuentes Padres 21 OF 16 1.7% 12.7% 19.0% 104
Jaime Ortiz Marlins 23 1B 6 1.7% 11.2% 17.5% 103
Kennys Vargas Twins 21 1B 22 2.0% 10.9% 18.9% 102
Luis Mateo Cardinals 22 2B 18 1.7% 11.1% 17.4% 102

*Roberto Ortiz hit a home run in his only plate appearance (through Tuesday, at least).

SCOUT Leaderboard: Puerto Rican League Pitchers (Overall)
Below is the current SCOUT pitching leaderboard for the Puerto Rican League SCOUT- is calculated using regressed strikeout and walk rates where 100 is average and below 100 is above average.


Player Team Age G GS IP TBF xK% xBB% SCOUT-
Hector Santiago White Sox 24 2 2 11.0 46 21.2% 10.2% 91
Jose De La Torre Red Sox 26 3 0 4.2 14 21.2% 10.2% 91
Kelvin Villa IND 26 1 1 5.0 19 21.2% 10.3% 92
Josh Walter IND 27 3 0 5.0 22 20.1% 10.8% 96
Julio Rodriguez Phillies 21 2 0 3.2 12 19.4% 10.3% 96
Miguel A. Martinez IND 29 3 0 6.1 23 19.3% 10.2% 96
Daniel Stange Padres 26 3 0 3.2 11 19.5% 10.5% 96
Anthony Ranaudo Red Sox 22 2 2 4.2 20 19.1% 10.3% 97
Jeremy Kehrt Red Sox 26 1 1 3.2 14 19.2% 10.4% 97
Sergio Espinosa IND 26 2 0 2.1 8 19.1% 10.5% 97

SCOUT Leaderboard: Puerto Rican League Pitchers (Starters)
Here is the SCOUT pitching leaderboard for the Puerto Rican League, but only populated with pitchers who’ve made at least half of their appearances as starts.


Player Team Age G GS IP TBF xK% xBB% SCOUT-
Hector Santiago White Sox 24 2 2 11.0 46 21.2% 10.2% 91
Kelvin Villa IND 26 1 1 5.0 19 21.2% 10.3% 92
Anthony Ranaudo Red Sox 22 2 2 4.2 20 19.1% 10.3% 97
Jeremy Kehrt Red Sox 26 1 1 3.2 14 19.2% 10.4% 97
Zack Segovia Tigers 29 2 2 9.0 39 18.8% 10.3% 98
Jason Lowey N/A 27 1 1 4.0 17 18.8% 10.4% 98
Mark Cohoon Mets 24 1 1 4.1 19 18.5% 10.1% 98
Jarret Martin Dodgers 22 1 1 1.2 8 19.2% 10.9% 98
Deinys Suarez IND 28 2 2 6.2 28 18.8% 10.9% 99
Luis Atilano Reds 27 1 1 3.0 11 18.1% 10.3% 99

Credit to Brooks Baseball for PITCHf/x data.


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