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Daily Notes: Ft. Kal Daniels’ Alternate Career Path

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of Daily Notes.

1. Kal Daniels’ Hastily Calculated and Alternate Career Path
2. Unnecessary Video: Kal Daniels Making a Catch Once
3. SCOUT Leaderboards: Dominican Winter League

Kal Daniels’ Hastily Calculated and Alternate Career Path
As noted in today’s release of the ZiPS projections for the Washington Nationals, Bryce Harper‘s closest comparable at the moment, according to ZiPS, is former Reds outfielder Kal Daniels. As also noted in that post, Kal Daniels was a pretty excellent ballplayer between his age-22 and -26 seasons, during which span he posted a 16.9 WAR over 1,970 plate appearances — i.e. over five wins for every 600 plate appearances.

After that, though, injury — and the subsequent ineffectiveness it caused — stopped Daniels’ career rather abruptly, and he was done with major-league baseball after his age-28 season.

“What if,” one is compelled to wonder, “what if Daniels were — instead of to suffer the slings and arrows of multiple knee injuries — what if he were to continue an exactly generic possible career path, where an exactly generic career path would constitute declining by precisely 0.5 WAR per season? And were to average precisely 600 plate appearances for every 162 games? And were to play until he became irrelevant?”

Here is what Kal Daniels’ career would have looked like, in that case, is the exact answer:


Season Age PA WAR
1986 22 207 2.0
1987 23 430 4.5
1988 24 589 5.1
1989 25 218 0.7
1990 26 526 4.6
1991 27 600 5.0
1992 28 600 4.5
1993 29 600 4.0
1994 30 496 2.9
1995 31 533 2.7
1996 32 600 2.5
1997 33 600 2.0
1998 34 600 1.5
1999 35 600 1.0
2000 36 600 0.5
Tot 7799 43.5

That career — one which’d produce ca 43-44 wins — is basically like the one Andy Van Slyke had. And Paul O’Neill.

Unnecessary Video: Kal Daniels Making a Catch Once
Here’s video of Kal Daniels making a catch once:

SCOUT Leaderboards: Dominican Winter League
Below are the current SCOUT leaderboards for the Dominican Winter League. (Ages as of July 1st, 2012. Players listed with most recent team. Click here for more on what is SCOUT.)

SCOUT Leaderboard: Dominican Winter League Hitters
Below is the current SCOUT batting leaderboard for the Dominican Winter League. SCOUT+ is calculated using regressed home-run, walk, and strikeout rates, where 100 is average and above 100 is above average.


Player Team Age Pos PA xHR% xBB% xK% SCOUT+
Hector Luna Phillies 32 3B 204 2.9% 14.2% 14.7% 136
Mauro Gomez Red Sox 27 1B 212 3.2% 14.2% 20.8% 127
Nelson Perez Cubs 24 OF 113 2.5% 18.6% 23.4% 127
Jordany Valdespin Mets 24 2B 111 2.2% 13.2% 14.9% 123
Ricardo Nanita Blue Jays 31 OF 135 1.3% 12.1% 9.2% 121
Donell Linares MEX 28 3B 102 2.2% 8.1% 8.8% 121
Oscar Taveras Cardinals 20 OF 166 2.5% 8.6% 12.7% 118
Miguel Tejada Orioles 38 SS 150 2.3% 6.9% 8.7% 118
Todd Linden Giants 32 OF 108 3.5% 13.4% 26.0% 118
Moises Sierra Blue Jays 23 OF 176 2.8% 10.6% 18.2% 116

SCOUT Leaderboard: Dominican Winter League Hitters (Prospects)
Here is the SCOUT batting leaderboard for the Dominican Winter League, but only populated with players who are 25 or under — i.e. something more like “prospect” age relative to the league.


Player Team Age Pos PA xHR% xBB% xK% SCOUT+
Nelson Perez Cubs 24 OF 113 2.5% 18.6% 23.4% 127
Jordany Valdespin Mets 24 2B 111 2.2% 13.2% 14.9% 123
Oscar Taveras Cardinals 20 OF 166 2.5% 8.6% 12.7% 118
Moises Sierra Blue Jays 23 OF 176 2.8% 10.6% 18.2% 116
Wilin Rosario Rockies 23 C 40 2.6% 11.1% 18.0% 116
Yan Gomes Blue Jays 24 OF 64 2.8% 8.9% 19.6% 109
Juan Francisco Braves 25 3B 139 4.0% 8.9% 26.7% 109
Arismendy Alcantara Cubs 20 SS 16 2.1% 10.7% 18.3% 108
Kole Calhoun Angels 24 OF 83 2.3% 11.0% 20.5% 108
Miguel Sano Twins 19 3B 57 2.8% 10.8% 23.1% 108

SCOUT Leaderboard: Dominican Winter League Pitchers
Below is the current SCOUT pitching leaderboard for the Dominican Winter League. SCOUT- is calculated using regressed strikeout and walk rates where 100 is average and below 100 is above average.


Player Team Age G GS IP TBF xK% xBB% SCOUT-
Erick Abreu Astros 28 21 0 31.2 119 29.2% 8.7% 69
Kyler Newby Orioles 27 7 7 31.0 128 27.4% 9.1% 75
Tony Pena Red Sox 31 19 0 23.2 94 27.0% 8.9% 76
Samuel Deduno Twins 28 6 5 25.2 105 26.9% 10.0% 79
Johan Yan Rangers 27 21 0 17.2 73 25.6% 9.1% 80
Jose De Paula Padres 22 14 7 40.0 169 24.9% 8.4% 80
Dustin Richardson IND 28 18 2 21.0 84 24.8% 8.7% 81
Kelvin De La Cruz Tigers 23 11 1 15.1 68 24.1% 9.2% 85
Fabio Castro Athletics 27 12 10 41.2 182 23.1% 8.9% 87
Juan Cruz Pirates 33 3 0 6.2 24 23.0% 9.2% 88

SCOUT Leaderboard: Dominican Winter League Pitchers (Starters)
Here is the SCOUT pitching leaderboard for the Dominican Winter League, but only populated with pitchers who’ve made at least half of their appearances as starts.


Player Team Age G GS IP TBF xK% xBB% SCOUT-
Kyler Newby Orioles 27 7 7 31.0 128 27.4% 9.1% 75
Samuel Deduno Twins 28 6 5 25.2 105 26.9% 10.0% 79
Jose De Paula Padres 22 14 7 40.0 169 24.9% 8.4% 80
Fabio Castro Athletics 27 12 10 41.2 182 23.1% 8.9% 87
Danny Salazar Indians 22 5 3 14.0 58 22.7% 9.0% 88
Esmil Rogers Indians 26 3 3 13.0 53 22.0% 8.9% 90
Josh Outman Rockies 27 6 6 25.2 111 22.2% 9.4% 90
Aneury Rodriguez Astros 24 8 8 32.0 135 21.2% 8.4% 91
Randall Delgado Braves 22 7 6 26.2 115 21.7% 9.1% 91
Stolmy Pimentel Red Sox 22 8 6 23.0 101 21.4% 8.8% 91