Daily Notes: Garrett Richards to Start, Notably

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of Daily Notes.

1. Three Links Relevant to the Draft
2. Featured Game: Tampa Bay at New York AL, 19:05 ET
3. Other Notable Games
4. Today’s Complete Schedule

Three Links Relevant to the Draft
Here are three links relevant to the amateur draft, the first round of which (including all supplemental picks) was conducted Monday night.

Text of Marc Hulet’s Draft Chat
Our prospect man Marc Hulet conducted a live chat during last night’s draft. Read it over for the player profiles, if nothing else — like this one for first-overall pick, Puerto Rican high school shortstop Carlos Correa:

Correa was my personal favorite for the first overall pick. A big shortstop, he is very athletic and could stick at the position as long as he doesn’t keep growing. However, he may have the tools to be an above-average third baseman, as well. He has a very impressive approach at the plate with a well-balanced stance and smooth swing with excellent bat speed; he should hit for both power and average.

Baseball America Recap of First Round
Includes a list of 10 best remaining players and this quote from Houston scouting director Bobby Heck regarding the Astros’ pick of the aforementioned Correa:

“He’s a power-hitting shortstop and that’s a pretty good separator,” Heck said. “All of the players we considered had strong profiles as well, but it was tough to walk away from the shortstop with power potential.”

Wikipedia Entry on Conscription in the United States
Not relevant to baseball — but edifying!

Featured Game: Tampa Bay at New York AL, 19:05 ET
What the Reader Might Be Saying
Here’s a thing the reader might be saying right now: “A game involving the Yankees, hm? That’s fine — although, personally, I’d maybe rather stab myself in the genitals than watch it.”

What the Author Is Saying Back, In That Case
“I don’t entirely disagree with that sentiment.”

What the Author Is Adding, Also
“Don’t stab yourself in the genitals, actually.”

A Potentially Redeeming Quality in Terms of This Game
One potentially redeeming quality of this game is that it’s being started by James Shields for Tampa Bay, who’s been excellent this season and has a changeup that, owing to its potency, is projected by Nate Silver to defeat incumbent governor Scott Walker in today’s Wisconsin recall election — this, despite not actually existing as a material thing.

James Shields’ Line
Here’s James Shields’ line this season: 73.0 IP, 23.8% K, 7.1% BB, 59.0% GB, 2.84 SIERA, 69 xFIP-, 1.2 WAR.

Another Maybe Redeeming Quality
Another maybe redeeming quality in terms of this game is how the first (Tampa Bay) and last (Boston, Toronto) place teams in the AL East — of which Tampa Bay and New York are also a part — are separated by only 3.0 games.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast
Per the results of our offseason crowdsourcing project, FanGraphs readers prefer Tampa Bay Radio (link).

Other Notable Games
Atlanta at Miami | 19:10 ET
Note that selecting the Atlanta radio feed might prevent access to the straight-on Miami center-field camera.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Atlanta Radio.

Seattle at Los Angeles AL | 22:05 ET
Even after assigning Angels right-hander Garrett Richards — who makes his first start of the season tonight — a NERD of 17 on a scale of 0-10, the Game Score for this game is still lower than the featured Rays-Yankees one featured above. Richards has not been dominant (56.1 IP, 7.67 K/9, 4.63 BB/9, 0.80 HR/9, 4.41 FIP) at Triple-A Salt Lake this year, but his fastball sits at 94-plus mph as a starter and he’s generally exhibited good control in the minors — which, that’s a promising combination.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Tied, It Seems.

Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 5.7.

Note: the following Game Scores include the poorly conceived playoff-odds adjustment discussed in a recent edition of Daily Notes. Also note: the following table is entirely sortable.


Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Ubaldo Jimenez CLE 0 4 4 4 6 DET Drew Smyly 19:05
Chad Billingsley LAN 5 5 7 4 10 PHI Cliff Lee 19:05
Chris Young* NYN 6 1 7 5 8 WAS Jo. Zimmermann 19:05
James Shields TB 10 6 9 6 8 NYA Andy Pettitte 19:05
Tim Hudson ATL 6 7 8 4 8 MIA Anibal Sanchez 19:10
Jason Hammel BAL 8 5 8 5 5 BOS Jon Lester 19:10
A.J. Burnett PIT 8 2 5 4 5 CIN Homer Bailey 19:10
Jaime Garcia STL 8 10 6 5 3 HOU Lucas Harrell 20:05
Ryan Dempster CHN 6 3 4 6 4 MIL Yovani Gallardo 20:10
Francisco Liriano MIN 3 2 2 6 3 KC Bruce Chen 20:10
Ricky Romero TOR 3 6 4 6 3 CHA Philip Humber 20:10
Jeremy Guthrie COL 0 9 3 4 5 AZ Ian Kennedy 21:40
Blake Beavan SEA 2 6 8 2 17 LAA Garrett Richards* 22:05
Tim Lincecum SF 6 4 5 5 7 SD Anthony Bass 22:05
Derek Holland TEX 7 10 4 2 5 OAK Travis Blackley* 22:05

To learn more about Pitcher and Team NERD scores click here.
To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.




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Carson Cistulli occasionally publishes spirited ejaculations at The New Enthusiast.


13 Responses to “Daily Notes: Garrett Richards to Start, Notably”

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  1. mdecav says:

    4.41 FIP or xFIP?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. Chummy Z says:

    So you just gave him a 17 for no reason other than to show how uninteresting the game is? Discretional NERD is the best!

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  3. Mario Mendoza of commenters says:

    I believe Richards was Cistulli’s most-likely-”Next Pineda” this offseason.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  4. Mr. Observant says:

    C’mon, everyone, let’s all sing:

    “We’re the Skipmunks, rockin’ and managin’ like never before…” (apropos of nothing, just seemed like an appropriate addition to this board.)

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  5. spongebob80 says:

    Carson, would it be possible to list the MLB.tv free game every day? Would save some clicks. Thanks.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • I could be mistaken, but I believe MLB didn’t make note of the day’s free game (BAL at BOS, 19:10 ET) until this morning — whereas, that information is typically available the night before, when I write the bulk of the Notes.

      But, of course, I am committed to the dissemination of free-game information!

      Vote -1 Vote +1

  6. Scott Urista says:

    Am debating sitting Kennedy (at home vs Colorado) and Sanchez (at home vs Colorado) for today’s starts. Miami park not great for runs scored (even tho HRs are down vs other parks), and both Colorado and Atlanta are in the top 10 in runs scored.

    Someone care to try and talk me into starting one or both?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  7. Well-Beered Englishman says:

    An unusually excellent edition!

    I will appreciate any and all links to Wikipedia and/or reminders not to stab myself in the genitals whilst watching the Yankees. Exhortations to start on my 5th bottle of Newcastle Brown might be more conducive to Yankee-enjoyment.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

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