Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of Daily Notes.
SCOUT Leaderboards: Double-A Eastern League
Regarding What Is SCOUT, First of All
SCOUT is a (likely absurd, admittedly unnecessary) metric designed by the author to assess performance in those instances — like in a minor league, for example — where small samples are ubiquitous.
The Offensive Version of SCOUT, How It’s Calculated
The offensive version of SCOUT — represented as SCOUT+, where 100 is league average and above 100 is above average — is essentially a version of wRC+, except using the three main defense-independent metrics (home-run, walk, and strikeout rates), all regressed duly*, as the inputs.
*By the method outlined here.
The Pitching Version of SCOUT, How It’s Calculated
The pitching version of SCOUT — represented as SCOUT-, where 100 is league average and below 100 represents above-average run prevention — is calculated using a version of kwERA, with regressed strikeout and walk rates as the relevant inputs.
Regarding SCOUT, One of Its Benefits
A benefit of SCOUT is it allows one to compare the relative performances of players with markedly different sample sizes — to compare, for example, the performance of Pirates prospect Jameson Taillon (17.0 IP, 29.0% K, 1.6 % BB) to Yankees left-hander Vidal Nuno (114.0 IP, 21.5% K, 5.8% BB).
Regarding the Eastern League, Its Regular Season
The Eastern League’s regular season ended on September 3rd, it appears. As such, all following numbers are final for 2012.
Top Batters of the Eastern League (Overall)
Here are the top-10 batters of the Double-A Eastern League, as determined by the methodology explained above.
|Darin Ruf||Phillies (AA)||25||583||6.5%||11.1%||17.5%||166|
|Rhyne Hughes||Orioles (AA)||28||313||4.2%||13.1%||23.6%||132|
|Ryan Schimpf||Blue Jays (AA)||24||137||3.7%||14.2%||23.0%||131|
|Allan Dykstra||Mets (AA)||25||248||2.7%||20.6%||26.2%||131|
|Jared Goedert||Indians (AA)||27||145||2.7%||12.3%||14.0%||131|
|Juan Carlos Linares||Red Sox (AA)||27||238||3.1%||9.2%||12.6%||129|
|Deibinson Romero||Twins (AA)||25||548||3.5%||10.9%||17.7%||129|
|Zelous Wheeler||Orioles (AA)||25||389||3.3%||9.8%||16.2%||127|
|Reynaldo Rodriguez||Red Sox (AA)||26||367||4.4%||9.5%||22.1%||126|
|Luke Murton||Yankees (AA)||26||526||4.8%||8.4%||22.8%||126|
Top Batters of the Eastern League (Aged 23 and Under)
Here are the top-10 batters of the Double-A Eastern League who might still, because of their age relative to the level, be considered prospects — again, as determined by the methodology explained above.
|Wilmer Flores||Mets (AA)||20||275||2.8%||7.3%||10.9%||124|
|Michael Mcdade||Blue Jays (AA)||23||429||3.5%||10.0%||19.8%||122|
|Cody Johnson||Yankees (AA)||23||253||5.6%||11.9%||35.6%||122|
|Manny Machado||Orioles (AA)||19||459||2.4%||10.5%||15.3%||119|
|Corban Joseph||Yankees (AA)||23||102||2.0%||11.7%||14.7%||119|
|Jackie Bradley||Red Sox (AA)||22||271||2.2%||12.9%||18.1%||119|
|Aaron Hicks||Twins (AA)||22||563||2.3%||13.9%||20.4%||118|
|John Tolisano||Blue Jays (AA)||23||497||2.4%||10.7%||16.5%||118|
|Andrew Lambo||Pirates (AA)||23||108||2.6%||10.9%||18.0%||118|
|Zoilo Almonte||Yankees (AA)||23||450||4.7%||5.6%||22.7%||117|
Top Pitchers of the Eastern League (Overall)
Here are the top-10 pitchers of the Double-A Eastern League, as determined by the methodology explained above.
|Pedro Viola||Orioles (AA)||29||32.1||128||36.1%||8.0%||47|
|Bryce Stowell||Indians (AA)||25||29.0||117||33.5%||8.3%||56|
|Brett Bochy||Giants (AA)||24||53.1||205||33.7%||8.6%||57|
|Mark Montgomery||Yankees (AA)||21||24.0||91||32.8%||8.2%||58|
|Kyler Newby||Orioles (AA)||27||55.1||223||33.2%||8.9%||59|
|Victor Black||Pirates (AA)||24||60.0||249||34.1%||9.9%||59|
|Lisalverto Bonilla||Phillies (AA)||22||34.1||137||33.6%||9.5%||59|
|Josh Fields||Red Sox (AA)||26||44.2||182||32.4%||8.6%||60|
|Aaron Kurcz||Red Sox (AA)||21||50.1||224||32.1%||9.9%||65|
|Michael Olmsted||Red Sox (AA)||25||20.0||80||29.5%||8.5%||69|
Top Pitchers of the Eastern League (Starters Only)
Here are the top-10 pitchers in the Double-A Eastern League who made at least half of their appearances as starts — again, as determined by the methodology explained above.
|Kyle McPherson||Pirates (AA)||24||48.2||204||22.5%||6.3%||83|
|Chris Heston||Giants (AA)||24||148.2||595||22.7%||6.7%||84|
|Zack Wheeler||Mets (AA)||22||116.0||474||24.7%||9.0%||85|
|Jameson Taillon||Pirates (AA)||20||17.0||62||23.1%||7.7%||86|
|Vidal Nuno||Yankees (AA)||24||114.0||465||21.5%||6.2%||87|
|David Phelps||Yankees (AA)||25||6.2||22||23.4%||8.3%||87|
|Gerrit Cole||Pirates (AA)||21||59.0||252||23.8%||8.8%||87|
|Yohan Pino||Blue Jays (AA)||28||134.0||552||20.1%||5.3%||88|
|Paolo Espino||Indians (AA)||25||116.1||481||22.0%||7.2%||88|
|Sean Nolin||Blue Jays (AA)||22||15.0||60||23.3%||8.7%||88|
Three Notable Performances
• Darin Ruf hit 38 home runs this season with Double-A Reading — or, 13 more than the next batter (in this case, Yankees minor leaguer Luke Murton) on the list. At 25, Ruf was old for the level this year. Also, as a Google Image search reveals, he does not have a particularly athletic frame, meaning he’s relegated to first base or, perhaps, a corner-outfield spot. Recently promoted, Ruf has yet to make his first major-league plate appearance — although, he seems certainly to have solved the riddle of Double-A pitching, at this point.
• By most every measure, Mets infielder Wilmer Flores was better following his promotion to Double-A Binghamton this season than before it, at St. Lucie of the High-A Florida State League. His walk rate was higher; his strikeout rate, lower; and he had higher on-base and slugging percentages — and all of them are improvements over his 2011 season at St. Lucie. With his size and relative lack of athleticism, Flores was forced to move off of shortstop this season, but the other indicators — including his age (20 for most of the season) relative to level — are quite positive.
• Yankees quasi-second-base prospect Corban Joseph, 23, was also among the SCOUT offensive leaders for the Triple-A International League. Insofar as (a) his defensive position isn’t entirely clear and (b) he plays for the Yankees, his major-league future is uncertain for the moment. Still, given his offensive approach, he could have value as just as Mark DeRosa-type infield-outfield utility player, which is a thing that helps teams.
Other SCOUT Leaderboards
International League (Triple-A)
Pacific Coast League (Triple-A)
Southern League (Double-A)
Texas League (Double-A)
California, Carolina, and Florida State Leagues Combined (High-A)
Midwest and Sally Leagues Combined (Class-A)
New York-Penn and Northwest Leagues Combined (Low-A)
Appalachian, Arizona, Gulf Coast, and Pioneer Leagues Combined (Rookie)
Today’s Notable Games
Seattle at Toronto | 19:07 ET ***MLB.TV Free Game***
Here’s a Status Update for highly rated and overwhelmingly athletic Toronto prospect Anthony Gose (through Monday): 104 PA, 5.8% BB, 36.5% K, .223/.284/.330 (.364 BABIP), 84 wRC+, 0.2 WAR.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Toronto Radio.
Detroit at Chicago AL | 20:10 ET
Right-hander and avant-garde sportsman Max Scherzer (170.2 IP, 76 xFIP-, 4.0 WAR) starts this game that has Postseason Implications.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Detroit Radio.
Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 3.7.
Note: the following Game Scores include the poorly conceived playoff-odds adjustment discussed in a recent edition of Daily Notes. Also note: the following table is entirely sortable.
|Josh Johnson||MIA||7||4||5||4||10||PHI||Cliff Lee||16:05|
|Kyle Lohse||STL||4||9||4||7||4||SD||Clayton Richard||18:35|
|Alex Cobb||TB||7||6||6||2||3||BAL||Miguel Gonzalez||19:05|
|Kevin Millwood||SEA||2||4||1||5||2||TOR||Ricky Romero||19:07|
|David Phelps||NYA||5||6||3||5||2||BOS||Aaron Cook||19:10|
|A.J. Burnett||PIT||8||4||5||4||6||CIN||Homer Bailey||19:10|
|John Lannan*||WAS||3||7||4||2||10||NYN||Matt Harvey||19:10|
|Travis Wood||CHN||2||1||1||4||4||HOU||Fernando Abad*||20:05|
|Jeanmar Gomez||CLE||1||2||2||7||6||TEX||Ryan Dempster||20:05|
|Paul Maholm||ATL||4||7||4||9||6||MIL||Yovani Gallardo||20:10|
|Max Scherzer||DET||10||4||6||5||3||CHA||Gavin Floyd||20:10|
|Luke Hochevar||KC||5||7||2||5||2||MIN||P.J. Walters||20:10|
|Tim Lincecum||SF||7||3||4||7||5||COL||Jeff Francis||20:40|
|Aaron Harang||LAN||1||1||3||6||6||AZ||Trevor Cahill||21:40|
|A.J. Griffin||OAK||7||6||6||8||3||LAA||Ervin Santana||22:05|