Daily Notes: Largely Concerning Ervin “Magic” Santana

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Featured Game: Tampa Bay at Kansas City, 14:10 ET
2. Other Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Featured Game: Tampa Bay at Kansas City, 14:10 ET
Firstly, Concerning the Title of This Post
With regard to the title of this post, it’s fair to say that the author was both pleased and very pleased with himself for having devised it.

Secondly, Concerning the Title of This Post
With regard to the title of this post, it’s also fair to say that, while in the midst of feeling pleased and very pleased with himself, that the author consulted Google to verify that no one else had produced the precise and amusing collection of words found in it before, and found actually that nearly everyone has produced the precise and amusing collection of words found in it before.

What One Learns
What one learns in cases like this — and, really, should have learned already — is that one is considerably less special than one’s mother had originally let on.

Considering Ervin Santana Himself
When we last considered Ervin Santana in these Notes, he had produced a surprising 86 xFIP- and 0.5 WAR and 0.9 RA/9 WAR (that is, WAR based not on FIP but on runs allowed) through four starts.

Considering Ervin Santana Himself, Part II
When we consider Ervin Santana now (through five starts) we find that he has produced an 81 xFIP- and 0.9 WAR and 1.5 RA/9 WAR — i.e. better all around.

What Happened in the Meantime
In the meantime with regard to Ervin Santana, he made an excellent start against Cleveland (box), producing a line very similar to this one: 7.0 IP, 27 TBF, 5 K, 0 BB, 15 GB on 22 batted-balls (68.2% GB), 2.21 xFIP.

A Note on Santana’s Slider
According to pitch-type values, Santana’s slider was worth over two runs better than average during that start against Cleveland — or, put differently, Santana prevented more than two runs relative to league average using just his slider.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast
Per the results of our crowdsourcing project from the 2011-2012 offseason, FanGraphs readers prefer Tampa Bay Radio (link).

Other Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
Chicago at Texas | 20:05 ET
Jake Peavy and Justin Grimm start. Not more impressive, but perhaps more surprising, than the former’s performance so far (32.0 IP, 69 xFIP-, 0.6 WAR) is the latter’s performance so far (17.0 IP, 85 xFIP-, 0.5 WAR). He’s had considerable success with his curveball, has Grimm, which pitch he throws approximately a quarter of the time.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Texas Radio.

Detroit at Houston | 20:10 ET ***MLB.TV Free Game***
Houston Astros Park-Adjusted Offense Relative to Average Watch: Just Below.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Houston Television, Perhaps.

Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 4.8.

Note: the following table is entirely sortable.


Away SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Rob. Hernandez TB 7 7 7 7 8 KC Ervin Santana 14:10
Eric Stults SD 5 4 5 5 4 CHN Travis Wood 14:20
Alex Sanabia MIA 1 0 3 2 5 PHI Kyle Kendrick 19:05
Ryan Dempster BOS 8 8 5 3 1 TOR J.A. Happ 19:07
Dan Haren WAS 4 3 4 9 3 ATL Kris Medlen 19:10
Jake Peavy CHA 9 2 7 4 7 TEX Justin Grimm* 20:05
Rick Porcello* DET 3 5 5 7 5 HOU Jordan Lyles* 20:10
Jake Westbrook STL 1 2 4 6 6 MIL Wily Peralta 20:10
Chris Tillman BAL 3 7 3 3 2 LAA Joe Blanton 22:05

To learn how Pitcher and Team NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.




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Carson Cistulli occasionally publishes spirited ejaculations at The New Enthusiast.


18 Responses to “Daily Notes: Largely Concerning Ervin “Magic” Santana”

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  1. Eminor3rd says:

    Peavy is strangely underrated at this point.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Ian R. says:

      Related question: How is it that Peavy’s WAR is only .1 ahead of Grimm’s, even though he (i.e. Peavy) has pitched almost twice as many innings with a better xFIP-?

      Vote -1 Vote +1

      • WAR is based on FIP, which accounts for home runs allowed. xFIP, meanwhile, normalizes home-run rate based on fly-ball percentage.

        Looks like Peavy has allowed a couple more home runs (16.7% HR/FB) than might otherwise be expected; Grimm, just the opposite (5.9% HR/FB).

        Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. jruby says:

    Ervin Santana’s 8 IP, 7 K, 1 ER start against the Twins on April 8 was the best 0$ I ever spent in TheGame!

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  3. Well-Beered Englishman says:

    If it’s any consolation, this is already the #1 Google result for “Ervin Magic Santana.”

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  4. Youthful Enthusiast says:

    So he has 1.5 RA per 9 WAR? What the hell is that supposed to mean?!

    Oh wait…

    Can we get rid of the / in RA per 9? Something RA9WAR or RA9-WAR would be less confusing.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  5. Baltar says:

    I’d rather skip the NERD and have the likelihood of win percentage back. I can determine my own interest in the game without NERD.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  6. El Vigilante says:

    Did the pitcher formerly known as the other Johan Santana choose the name Ervin just for this hilarious nickname?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Shauncore says:

      He loved Ervin “Magic” Johnson while he was growing up and to save confusion from the really really good Johan Santana he went with Ervin.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

  7. BurleighGrimes says:

    Can someone tell me how Santana is so good (again)?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  8. mwong19 says:

    I was offered Gio Gonzalez and Zito for my Ervin Santana and Tommy Milone. Will Ervin keep it up?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

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