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Daily Notes: Mat Latos Is a Talking Point, Bam

Posted By Carson Cistulli On July 13, 2012 @ 10:00 am In Daily Notes | 15 Comments

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of Daily Notes.

1. Featured Game: St. Louis at Cincinnati, 19:10 ET
2. Other Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Featured Game: St. Louis at Cincinnati, 19:10 ET
A Thing That Will Surprise You
A thing that will surprise you, the marvelous reader, is perhaps that tonight’s starter for Cincinnati, Mat Latos, after a generally miserable April and May, currently has a 95 xFIP- (i.e. park- and league-adjusted xFIP, where below 100 is better).

Regarding Mat Latos, His xFIPs by Month
Here are Latos’s xFIPs by month this season, so far (month and innings pitched in parentheses): 4.79 (April, 28.2 IP), 4.00 (May, 30.1), 3.02 (June, 38.2), 2.26 (July, 7.0).

What a Reasonable Person Might Suggest
A person — an entirely reasonable one, in fact — might suggest, after looking at Mat Latos’s month-by-month xFIPs, that some manner of “trend” has revealed itself.

Regarding Latos’s Improvement, If It’s Related to Fastball Velocity
Regard, a fact: it does not necessarily appear as though Latos’s average fastball velocity has changed substantially since the beginning of the season.

Regarding the Word Necessarily in the Above Entry, Why the Author Used It
The author has likely used the word necessarily in the above entry because he’s averse to making strong claims — prefers, instead, to couch such claims among as many qualifiers as is reasonable to use without rendering a sentence entirely meaningless.

Regarding All This Sort of Information, Where One Can Find It
Much of the above information can be found at very important internet website FanGraphs.com (link). Or in the reader’s heart, too. Either/or.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast
Per the results of our offseason crowdsourcing project, FanGraphs readers prefer St. Louis Radio (link).

Other Notable Games
Detroit at Baltimore | 19:05 ET
Can Jason Hammel continue to Jason Hammel in the Jason Hammel?!? America is wait-ting!!!

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Detroit Radio (although, note: the Detroit audio feed might not feature the above-average Baltimore center-field camera angle).

Oakland at Minnesota | 20:10 ET ***MLB.TV Free Game***
Right-hander A.J. Griffin (18.0 IP, 105 xFIP-, 0.2 WAR) and his Curveball of Desire face whatever is the name of the team from Minnesota.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Oakland Radio.

Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 5.3.

Note: the following Game Scores include the poorly conceived playoff-odds adjustment discussed in a recent edition of Daily Notes. Also note: the following table is entirely sortable.


Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Ian Kennedy AZ 6 6 4 1 3 CHN Paul Maholm 14:20
C.J. Wilson LAA 3 5 4 7 5 NYA Hiroki Kuroda 19:05
Doug Fister DET 7 5 7 1 7 BAL Jason Hammel 19:05
Justin Masterson CLE 5 5 5 8 2 TOR Ricky Romero 19:07
Franklin Morales BOS 7 5 6 4 2 TB Jeremy Hellickson 19:10
Adam Wainwright STL 9 9 8 4 8 CIN Mat Latos 19:10
Jordan Zimmermann WAS 8 6 6 3 7 MIA Josh Johnson 19:10
Chris Young NYN 1 2 5 8 5 ATL Tim Hudson 19:35
Jose Quintana CHA 7 5 4 5 4 KC Bruce Chen 20:10
A.J. Griffin* OAK 7 4 5 3 5 MIN Francisco Liriano 20:10
James McDonald PIT 6 4 6 7 9 MIL Zack Greinke 20:10
Cliff Lee PHI 9 5 6 10 7 COL Christian Friedrich 20:40
Clayton Richard SD 4 5 5 2 9 LAN Clayton Kershaw 22:10
Derek Holland TEX 6 9 3 3 3 SEA Kevin Millwood 22:10
Jordan Lyles HOU 4 5 5 4 9 SF Madison Bumgarner 22:15

To learn more about Pitcher and Team NERD scores click here.
To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.


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