Daily Notes: Saturday’s Games, Rated for Watchability

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Today’s Notable Games
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Today’s Notable Games
Los Angeles NL at Pittsburgh | 16:05 ET
Clayton Kershaw (100.1 IP, 83 xFIP-, 2.6 WAR) faces Brandon Cumpton (N/A). The latter makes his major-league debut in place of the injured A.J. Burnett. His most relevant numbers at Triple-A Indianapolis: 11 G, 10 GS, 65.1 IP, 6.75 K/9, 3.03 BB/9, 0.55 HR/9, 3.69 FIP. Tim Williams of Pirates Prospsects has a very current and also thorough scouting report on Cumpton. A brief summary of same: Cumpton is ground-ball oriented; his slider isn’t hopeless; might have trouble against left-handed batters.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Pittsburgh Radio or Television.

San Francisco at Atlanta | 16:05 ET
Chad Gaudin (42.2 IP, 99 xFIP-, 0.6 WAR) faces Mike Minor (84.2 IP, 93 xFIP-, 1.6 WAR). The former, despite vomiting twice during the course of it, posted a 7:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio against Arizona in his last start (box). In fact, Gaudin has been rather more effective than one might have otherwise expected during his limited time as a member of the San Francisco rotation, posting a 3.18 xFIP in 12.0 innings.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: San Francisco Radio or Television.

Seattle at Oakland | 19:15 ET
Felix Hernandez (97.2 IP, 63 xFIP-, 2.9 WAR) faces A.J. Griffin (83.1 IP, 104 xFIP-, 0.8 WAR). Nick Franklin Status Update: 63 PA, 12.7% BB, 15.9% K, .309/.397/.509 (.349 BABIP), 158 wRC+, 0.8 WAR. Mike Zunino Status Update: 8 PA, 12.5% BB, 25.0% K, .286/.375/.714 (.250 BABIP), 201 wRC+, 0.1 WAR.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Oakland Radio.

Washington at Cleveland | 19:15 ET
Jordan Zimmermann (94.2 IP, 91 xFIP-, 2.1 WAR) faces Scott Kazmir (52.1 IP, 99 xFIP-, 0.3 WAR). Not particularly related to that is this, a table of the top-five teams by park-adjusted home-run rate (or, at least by the author’s likely flawed calculation of same):

Rank Teams aHR/PA
1 Braves 3.6%
2 Indians 3.2%
3 Orioles 3.2%
4 Rays 3.1%
5 Blue Jays 3.0%

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Cleveland or Washington Radio.

Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
Arizona at San Diego | 22:10 ET
Wade Miley (77.1 IP, 105 xFIP-, 0.6 WAR) faces Jason Marquis (77.2 IP, 122 xFIP, -1.2 WAR). A brief glance suggests that the latter almost certainly has recorded the largest gap among starting pitchers between WAR as calculated by FIP (-1.2) and WAR as calculated by runs allowed (+0.6).

Author’s Preferred Broadcast: Arizona Television.

Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 5.3.

Note: the following table is entirely sortable.


Away SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Scott Feldman CHN 3 5 4 6 3 NYN Jon Niese 13:10
John Lackey BOS 6 9 6 8 3 BAL Freddy Garcia 16:05
Clayton Kershaw LAN 9 3 7 6 7 PIT Br. Cumpton* 16:05
Chad Gaudin* SF 7 6 7 8 8 ATL Mike Minor 16:05
R.A. Dickey TOR 8 5 6 3 6 TEX Josh Lindblom* 16:05
Jeremy Guthrie KC 2 4 5 9 8 TB Alex Cobb 16:10
Yovani Gallardo MIL 5 4 6 4 9 CIN Homer Bailey 16:10
Jon. Pettibone PHI 4 2 6 10 9 COL Tyler Chatwood 16:10
Lance Lynn STL 7 3 5 0 6 MIA Tom Koehler 16:10
John Danks CHA 7 1 3 3 0 HOU Lucas Harrell 19:15
Anibal Sanchez DET 10 7 5 3 1 MIN Samuel Deduno 19:15
David Phelps NYA 4 4 3 6 0 LAA Tommy Hanson 19:15
Felix Hernandez SEA 10 4 7 7 5 OAK A.J. Griffin 19:15
Jo. Zimmermann WAS 9 1 7 7 6 CLE Scott Kazmir 19:15
Wade Miley AZ 5 3 3 8 0 SD Jason Marquis 22:10

To learn how Pitcher and Team NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.




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Carson Cistulli has recently started a new project called Paris Matches.

16 Responses to “Daily Notes: Saturday’s Games, Rated for Watchability”

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  1. David says:

    How can you prefer the hacks on Arizona TV, who somehow got MORE obnoxious and homer-y in the absence of Mark Grace to Dick Enberg on San Diego TV??? Please give me ONE redeeming quality of the AZ broadcast team.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • MikeS says:

      They have never been convicted of regicide?

      Vote -1 Vote +1

      • mgraves says:

        I don’t believe they’ve even been indicted for regicide, and, as the old saw goes, “a prosecutor can indict a ham sandwich”.

        Ipso facto, they are not, in fact, ham sandwiches; which makes them that much more likely to be kosher. Should one feel the need to engage in cannibalism. And if one should be so inclined: please seek immediate mental health assistance. And lose the cutlery. Just to be on the safe side.

        [I have no idea if that is the proper use of ipso facto, and I'm too lazy to look it up--and I seriously went off the rails, so the improper use of Latin is the least of the many concerns contained in the above paragraph].

        [Additionally, I'm not an expert in Jewish dietary law, but I'm fairly certain humans do not fall in the category of "clean animals which may be eaten", and therefore, are not kosher, even if they--the humans in question--are not ham sandwiches].

        Vote -1 Vote +1

    • HollywoodDodger says:

      That ball is Goldy, Goldy…GONE.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

    • bgburek says:

      San Diego TV is actually in front of Arizona TV on the rankings.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. pudieron89 says:

    why does nick franklin have an xfip

    better question, why do you have rate stats for one game of mike zunino

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  3. I'm not your meme says:

    NERD scores for CWS

    Andrew Moore OSU 6 7 7 9 5 MSU Kendall Grave
    Chad Green UofL 4 5 5 5 6 IU Joey DeNato

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  4. Neil says:

    Carson, kind of disappointed that you didn’t drool over Rick Porcello’s outing. I can usually count on you to share my love of the under-appreciated in overzealous detail. If anyone feels the same way: http://newenglishd.com/2013/06/14/rick-porcellos-rising-star/

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  5. What Strike Zone says:

    Deduno ought to have a higher NERD score based entirely on the fact that he has no idea where the baseball is going. It’s enjoyable to watch him pitch, but even better to watch the expressions on everyones’ faces: batters, Mauer, and Deduno himself.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Also plus points for tener duende, but major downgrade for resemblance to pudendum.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

      • For that matter, “Cistulli” reminds of of Sicily (possibly because I’ve just completed 750 pages on the topic (Sicily, not Cistulli’s Wikipedia page)). Here’s what Peter of Blois had to say:

        Sicily drags us down by her very air; she drags us down too by the malice of her people, so that to me she seems odious and scarcely habitable. The distempers of her climate render her abominable to me, as does the frequent and poisonous dissemination by whose immense power our people in their heedless simplicity are constantly endangered. Who, I ask, can live in safety in a place where, leaving aside all the other afflictions, the very mountains continually vomit internal flame and fetid sulphur? For there beyond doubt is the gate of hell.

        The people err in the meagerness of their diets; for they live on so much celery and fennel that it constitutes almost all their sustenance; and this generates a humour which putrefies the body. To this I would add that, just as it is written in books of Science that all island people are in general unworthy of trust, so the inhabitants of Sicily are false friends and, in secret, the most abandoned betrayers.

        He could have but did not, or did not to my knowledge, added, “Dennis Hopper was correct, you are descended from Eggplants”.

        Vote -1 Vote +1

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