Daily Notes: SCOUT Leaderboards for Class A

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. SCOUT Leaderboards for Class A
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

SCOUT Leaderboards for Class A
A Brief Introduction
Featured in this edition of the Notes are the SCOUT leaderboards for Class A. Briefly stated, SCOUT represents an attempt to use our knowledge of certain metrics, and at what sample sizes they become reliable, to measure run production/prevention in instances where small samples are all that’s available. Stated less briefly, is the explanation available here.

Other recent editions: Triple-A / Double-A / High-A.

SCOUT Leaderboard: Class-A Hitters (Overall)
Below is the current SCOUT batting leaderboard for all Class-A hitters. SCOUT+ combines regressed home-run, walk, and strikeout rates in a FIP-like equation to produce a result not unlike wRC+, where 100 is league average and above 100 is above average. Note that players are compared not to all Class-A hitters, but to those in their respective league, and then combined afterward for the sake of this leaderboard. Note also that xHR%, xBB%, and xK% stand for expected home run, walk, and strikeout rate, respectively.

Player Team League Age PA HR BB K xHR% xBB% xK% SCOUT+
Ryan Rua Rangers (A) SAL 23 314 24 36 71 7.6% 11.5% 22.6% 177
Viosergy Rosa Marlins (A) SAL 23 328 17 46 68 5.2% 14.0% 20.7% 159
Mookie Betts Red Sox (A) SAL 20 309 8 56 35 2.6% 18.1% 11.3% 159
Tyler Ogle Dodgers (A) MWL 22 317 10 51 44 3.2% 16.1% 13.9% 152
Stetson Allie Pirates (A) SAL 22 285 17 36 79 5.7% 12.6% 27.7% 148
Tom Murphy Rockies (A) SAL 22 244 17 21 62 6.0% 8.6% 25.4% 143
Rosell Herrera Rockies (A) SAL 20 343 13 42 61 3.8% 12.2% 17.8% 143
Jabari Henry Mariners (A) MWL 22 231 6 36 31 2.4% 15.6% 13.4% 142
Jacob Wilson Cardinals (A) MWL 22 301 11 26 34 3.7% 8.6% 11.3% 141
Tommy Coyle Rays (A) MWL 22 314 6 50 41 1.9% 15.9% 13.1% 138

SCOUT Leaderboard: Class-A Hitters (Age 21 and Under)
Here are the top-10 batters from Class A who might still, because of their age, be considered prospects — again, as determined by the methodology explained above.

Player Team League Age PA HR BB K xHR% xBB% xK% SCOUT+
Mookie Betts Red Sox (A) SAL 20 309 8 56 35 2.6% 18.1% 11.3% 159
Rosell Herrera Rockies (A) SAL 20 343 13 42 61 3.8% 12.2% 17.8% 143
Roderick Shoulders Cubs (A) MWL 21 307 15 44 88 4.9% 14.3% 28.7% 138
Joey Gallo Rangers (A) SAL 18 327 23 35 124 7.0% 10.7% 37.9% 137
Jesse Winker Reds (A) MWL 19 293 9 37 49 3.0% 12.6% 16.7% 135
Daniel Vogelbach Cubs (A) MWL 20 333 12 33 54 3.6% 9.9% 16.2% 134
Maxwell Moroff Pirates (A) SAL 20 284 5 45 45 1.8% 15.8% 15.8% 133
Travis Harrison Twins (A) MWL 20 309 13 31 68 4.2% 10.0% 22.0% 130
Byron Buxton Twins (A) MWL 19 321 8 44 56 2.5% 13.7% 17.4% 130
Chris Bostick Athletics (A) MWL 20 308 10 33 62 3.2% 10.7% 20.1% 125

SCOUT Leaderboard: Class-A Pitchers (Overall)
Below is the current SCOUT pitching leaderboard for Class A. SCOUT- combines regressed strikeout and walk rates in a kwERA-like equation to produce a number not unlike ERA-, where 100 is league average and below 100 is better than average. Note that players are compared not to all Class-A pitchers, but to those in their respective league, and then combined afterward for the sake of this leaderboard. Note also that xK% and xBB% stand for expected strikeout and walk rate, respectively.

Player Team League Age G GS IP TBF K BB xK% xBB% SCOUT-
Leonel Campos Padres (A) MWL 25 28 0 36.1 150 63 22 42.0% 10.6% 37
Dietrich Enns Yankees (A) SAL 22 19 1 44.1 170 69 14 40.6% 8.8% 44
Alexander Claudio Rangers (A) SAL 21 24 0 47.0 167 62 7 37.1% 7.5% 50
Wil Browning Blue Jays (A) MWL 24 24 0 33.1 136 51 14 35.8% 9.4% 52
Jose De Paula Yankees (A) SAL 22 13 13 64.1 256 96 23 37.5% 9.0% 54
Shae Simmons Braves (A) SAL 22 28 0 31.2 130 52 12 37.5% 9.1% 54
Tucker Healy Athletics (A) MWL 23 18 0 28.2 110 43 5 33.9% 8.2% 55
Scott Griggs Dodgers (A) MWL 22 26 0 32.1 141 52 23 35.8% 11.0% 57
Zachary Petrick Cardinals (A) MWL 23 16 0 32.2 132 46 8 33.0% 8.4% 58
Robert Stephenson Reds (A) MWL 20 12 12 66.2 265 85 17 32.1% 7.8% 59

SCOUT Leaderboard: Class-A Pitchers (Starters Only)
Here are the top-10 pitchers in Class A who have made at least half of their appearances as starts — again, as determined by the methodology explained above.

Player Team League Age G GS IP TBF K BB xK% xBB% SCOUT-
Jose De Paula Yankees (A) SAL 22 13 13 64.1 256 96 23 37.5% 9.0% 54
Robert Stephenson Reds (A) MWL 20 12 12 66.2 265 85 17 32.1% 7.8% 59
Tyler Glasnow Pirates (A) SAL 19 15 15 66.1 275 98 39 35.6% 11.6% 67
Matt Purke Nationals (A) SAL 22 6 6 29.0 118 41 7 31.9% 8.3% 68
Roberto Osuna Blue Jays (A) MWL 17 9 9 40.2 162 48 11 29.6% 8.4% 68
Carl Edwards Rangers (A) SAL 21 15 15 76.0 310 98 29 31.6% 9.2% 71
Vincent Velasquez Astros (A) MWL 21 19 10 75.0 317 88 23 27.8% 8.0% 73
Martin Agosta Giants (A) SAL 22 13 13 69.2 281 89 29 31.7% 9.7% 73
Joan Gregorio Giants (A) SAL 21 8 8 41.0 165 48 8 29.1% 7.8% 75
Jose Berrios Twins (A) MWL 19 10 10 55.1 243 65 15 26.7% 7.8% 75

Briefest Notes
• Texas second-base prospect Ryan Rua is currently tied for first among all minor-league hitters with 24 home runs, although one is compelled to note that (a) he’s on the old side for the level and also (b) playing in a park that concedes home runs to right-handed batter at a rate nearly 50% above Sally League average. RotoGraphs contributor Nathaniel Stoltz considered Rua in some depth last week.

Mookie Betts deserves our collective attention, obviously, owing to his championship praenomen. Another reason he deserves it, though, is because of how, as a young-ish (20-year-old) player in the Sally League, he’s managed to walk nearly 50% more often than he’s struck out — while also exhibiting something more than negligible power. Mike Newman suggested in these pages this winter that, while likely athletic enough to cover shortstop, Betts’ lack of arm strength relegates him to second base.

• Mexican-born Blue Jays prospect Roberto Osuna turns 18 tomorrow (July 2nd), but has been dominant in a league the average age of which is about 21.5 years old. Signed for $1.5 million in 2011 out of the Mexican League, the right-handed Osuna sits at about 92-95 mph with his fastball, according to MLB.com’s Gregor Chisholm and Teddy Cahill.

Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
Detroit at Toronto | 13:07 ET
Jose Alvarez (16.2 IP, 101 xFIP-, -0.1 WAR) faces R.A. Dickey (108.2 IP, 113 xFIP-, 0.6 WAR). Not that it’s predictive at any level, but, as this chart indicates, Dickey’s last six starts resemble a roller coaster both graphically and also probably emotionally:

Dickey Chart

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Detroit Radio, Probably.

Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 5.3.

Note: the following table is entirely sortable.


Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Jose Alvarez* DET 7 7 7 6 8 TOR R.A. Dickey 13:07
Yovani Gallardo MIL 4 5 6 2 9 WAS J. Zimmermann 19:05
Wade Miley AZ 6 3 5 5 5 NYN Shaun Marcum 19:10
Jason Marquis SD 0 7 5 0 10 MIA Jose Fernandez 19:10
Mike Kickham* SF 6 6 5 4 3 CIN Bronson Arroyo 19:10
Andy Pettitte NYA 6 4 4 2 3 MIN Scott Diamond 20:10
Matt Moore TB 4 10 5 3 6 HOU Dallas Keuchel 20:10

To learn how Pitcher and Team NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.




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Carson Cistulli occasionally publishes spirited ejaculations at The New Enthusiast.


6 Responses to “Daily Notes: SCOUT Leaderboards for Class A”

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  1. That Diamondbacks/Mets game looks less interesting than old people clogging on a porch.

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  2. Steve says:

    Surprised you didn’t note Stetson Allie, who due to his circumstances is both:

    a) interesting
    b) still a prospect

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  3. yuniform says:

    Roderick Shoulders nom de baseball is often Rock Shoulders. That name .

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  4. TimothyS says:

    Seriously, the best thing about Rock Shoulders is his name. Don’t take this away from me Cistulli.

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  5. Balthazar says:

    Yeah, Jabari Henry is 6 months over the ‘prospect’ age limit. He was hot early, while after being out with an injury he’s been merely consistent for the last month. And his HR totals don’t look as sweet, until one remembers that the Midwest League is a damned hard circuit round which to slug while the Sally League has, no surprise, all the leaders in dingers. He seems more a line drive guy than a speedster; plenty of doubles but not a triple to his name. I have no idea on Henry’s ceiling and developmental range since no one seems to care enough to write three words on him in sequence. Since he’s older, he may be nearer his ceiling, but I hafta love a guy with his BB% and K% in combination. SSS fluke? I doubt it, but I’d love to see some prospect evals get round to him.

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