Daily Notes: SCOUT Leaderboards for Low-A

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. SCOUT Leaderboards for Low-A
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

SCOUT Leaderboards for Low-A
A Brief Introduction
Featured in this edition of the Notes are the SCOUT leaderboards for Low-A. Briefly stated, SCOUT represents an attempt to use our knowledge of certain metrics, and at what sample sizes they become reliable, to measure run production/prevention in instances where small samples are all that’s available. Stated less briefly, is the explanation available here.

Other recent editions: Triple-A / Double-A / High-A / Class A.

SCOUT Leaderboard: Low-A Hitters (Overall)
Below is the current SCOUT batting leaderboard for all Low-A hitters. SCOUT+ combines regressed home-run, walk, and strikeout rates in a FIP-like equation to produce a result not unlike wRC+, where 100 is league average and above 100 is above average. Note that players are compared not to all Low-A hitters, but to those in their respective league, and then combined afterward for the sake of this leaderboard. Note also that xHR%, xBB%, and xK% stand for expected home run, walk, and strikeout rate, respectively.

Player Team League Age PA HR BB K xHR% xBB% xK% SCOUT+
Jin-De Jhang Pirates (A-) NYP 20 45 3 5 2 2.0% 9.0% 15.3% 121
Conrad Gregor Astros (A-) NYP 21 70 1 12 6 1.3% 11.4% 14.6% 120
Isaac Ballou Nationals (A-) NYP 23 58 1 9 3 1.3% 10.4% 14.2% 119
Yasiel Balaguert Cubs (A-) NWL 20 79 4 12 17 2.0% 11.8% 20.9% 118
Kevin Mager Red Sox (A-) NYP 24 53 2 9 7 1.7% 10.7% 17.6% 117
Dan Collins Pirates (A-) NYP 22 57 4 6 10 2.3% 9.0% 19.0% 117
Tony Kemp Astros (A-) NYP 21 69 1 9 6 1.3% 10.0% 14.8% 116
D.J. Peterson Mariners (A-) NWL 21 57 3 7 9 1.8% 10.4% 18.5% 115
Jamodrick Mcgruder Mariners (A-) NWL 21 67 0 13 9 0.7% 12.9% 17.2% 113
Claudio Bautista Indians (A-) NYP 19 61 2 6 7 1.6% 8.8% 16.5% 113

SCOUT Leaderboard: Low-A Hitters (Age 21 and Under)
Here are the top-10 batters from Low-A who might still, because of their age, be considered prospects — again, as determined by the methodology explained above.

Player Team League Age PA HR BB K xHR% xBB% xK% SCOUT+
Jin-De Jhang Pirates (A-) NYP 20 45 3 5 2 2.0% 9.0% 15.3% 121
Conrad Gregor Astros (A-) NYP 21 70 1 12 6 1.3% 11.4% 14.6% 120
Yasiel Balaguert Cubs (A-) NWL 20 79 4 12 17 2.0% 11.8% 20.9% 118
Tony Kemp Astros (A-) NYP 21 69 1 9 6 1.3% 10.0% 14.8% 116
D.J. Peterson Mariners (A-) NWL 21 57 3 7 9 1.8% 10.4% 18.5% 115
Jamodrick Mcgruder Mariners (A-) NWL 21 67 0 13 9 0.7% 12.9% 17.2% 113
Claudio Bautista Indians (A-) NYP 19 61 2 6 7 1.6% 8.8% 16.5% 113
Dylan Cozens Phillies (A-) NYP 19 51 2 8 9 1.7% 10.2% 19.2% 113
Tyler Hollick Giants (A-) NWL 20 85 1 11 12 1.0% 11.1% 16.8% 112
Alfredo Morales Mariners (A-) NWL 20 40 1 8 6 1.1% 11.7% 18.8% 111

SCOUT Leaderboard: Low-A Pitchers (Overall)
Below is the current SCOUT pitching leaderboard for Low-A. SCOUT- combines regressed strikeout and walk rates in a kwERA-like equation to produce a number not unlike ERA-, where 100 is league average and below 100 is better than average. Note that players are compared not to all Low-A pitchers, but to those in their respective league, and then combined afterward for the sake of this leaderboard. Note also that xK% and xBB% stand for expected strikeout and walk rate, respectively.

Player Team League Age G GS IP TBF K BB xK% xBB% SCOUT-
Joshua Mcelwee Rangers (A-) NWL 24 5 0 8.1 34 20 3 29.0% 9.6% 70
John Gant Mets (A-) NYP 20 3 3 16.0 65 25 4 28.0% 8.1% 71
Sergio Gomez Red Sox (A-) NYP 19 3 2 15.2 54 20 1 26.1% 7.7% 76
Tyler Bremer Cubs (A-) NWL 23 6 0 9.1 36 16 2 26.0% 9.4% 80
Akeel Morris Mets (A-) NYP 20 3 0 6.2 25 13 2 25.3% 8.4% 81
Michael Feliz Astros (A-) NYP 19 3 3 16.0 59 19 3 24.8% 8.0% 82
Richard Vargas Mariners (A-) NWL 22 4 0 6.1 22 12 0 25.2% 9.3% 82
Jordan Harrison Rays (A-) NYP 22 4 3 21.1 85 24 5 24.7% 8.0% 82
Chia-Jen Lo Astros (A-) NYP 27 6 0 6.0 24 12 1 24.8% 8.2% 82
Harold Guerrero Indians (A-) NYP 23 4 0 6.2 25 12 2 24.6% 8.4% 83

SCOUT Leaderboard: Low-A Pitchers (Starters Only)
Here are the top-10 pitchers in Low-A who have made at least half of their appearances as starts — again, as determined by the methodology explained above.

Player Team League Age G GS IP TBF K BB xK% xBB% SCOUT-
John Gant Mets (A-) NYP 20 3 3 16.0 65 25 4 28.0% 8.1% 71
Sergio Gomez Red Sox (A-) NYP 29 3 2 15.2 54 20 1 26.1% 7.7% 76
Michael Feliz Astros (A-) NYP 19 3 3 16.0 59 19 3 24.8% 8.0% 82
Jordan Harrison Rays (A-) NYP 22 4 3 21.1 85 24 5 24.7% 8.0% 82
Cody Dickson Pirates (A-) NYP 21 2 2 5.1 25 11 2 24.0% 8.4% 86
Paul Blackburn Cubs (A-) NWL 19 4 4 18.0 70 20 6 24.1% 9.5% 86
Kelvin Vasquez Rangers (A-) NWL 20 4 3 12.1 59 17 5 23.6% 9.5% 88
Erik Schoenrock Padres (A-) NWL 21 4 4 20.0 73 19 5 23.0% 9.3% 89
Brent Powers Athletics (A-) NYP 24 3 3 16.0 59 16 4 22.8% 8.2% 89
Jairo Heredia Yankees (A-) NYP 23 3 3 13.1 51 14 2 22.5% 8.0% 90

Three Notes
• To the degree that 45 plate appearances can be impressive, Pittsburgh catching prospect Jin-De Jhang‘s have been. Over that same interval the 20-year-old Jhang has both walked and homered more often than he’s struck out. Originally signed out of Taiwan for $250 thousand, Jhang’s offensive approach was lauded this preseason both by our Marc Hulet and also Tim Williams of Pirates Prospects. Williams considers Jhang a definite candidate to stick at catcher, given his (i.e. Jhang’s arm strength and receiving skills), but acknowledges that Jhang’s ability to control his weight will ultimately be the determining factor.

• On Tuesday, the author posted in these electronic pages an interview with Vanderbilt alumnus and recent Tigers draftee, center-fielder Connor Harrell. Here we see two other recently drafted teammates from Harrell’s alma mater, Conrad Gregor and Tony Kemp. Taken by Houston in the fourth and fifth round, respectively, Gregor and Kemp hare exhibiting the sort of plate discipline one typically expects of more polished college batters. Gregor and Kemp have made all of their defensive starts at first and second base, respectively — which is to say, the same positions they played in college.

• Taken by the Mets out of high school in the 21st round of the 2011 draft, right-hander John Gant entered the present season having produced decent results as a professional — recording, for example, a 47:19 strikeout-to-walk ratio last season in 55.1 innings at Rookie-level Kingsport. So far this season, however, the 20-year-old has been unrelenting through three starts and 16.0 innings for Brooklyn in the New York-Penn League, striking out 38.5% of batters faced while walking much closer to 0.0%. According to Toby Hyde, Gant was throwing his fastball at 85-87 mph out of high school and has added velocity since then. That said, there’s a dearth of recent information on Gant and what he might be doing differently this season.

Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
Baltimore at Chicago AL | 19:10 ET
Scott Feldman (91.0 IP, 102 xFIP-, 1.1 WAR) faces Hector Santiago (67.2 IP, 104 xFIP-, 0.8 WAR). The former makes his debut start for the Orioles after having been traded from the Cubs (along with catcher Steve Clevenger) literally yesterday for right-hander Jake Arrieta, other right-hander Pedro Strop, and international bonus slots. Of the trade, Dave Cameron said all these things.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Baltimore Radio.

Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 5.4.

Note: the following table is entirely sortable.

Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Kyle Lohse MIL 5 4 4 2 4 WAS Ross Detwiler 18:05
John Lannan PHI 4 1 4 7 3 PIT Jeff Locke 19:05
Max Scherzer DET 10 7 8 7 7 TOR Josh Johnson 19:07
Randall Delgado* AZ 7 2 7 5 10 NYN Matt Harvey 19:10
Scott Feldman BAL 3 9 4 1 5 CHA Hector Santiago 19:10
Ricky Nolasco MIA 5 1 6 8 8 ATL Mike Minor 19:10
Edinson Volquez SD 3 7 5 7 5 BOS Jon Lester 19:10
Barry Zito SF 1 6 5 3 8 CIN Tony Cingrani 19:10
Felix Hernandez SEA 10 5 8 3 9 TEX Derek Holland 20:05
Scott Kazmir CLE 6 8 4 6 1 KC Jeremy Guthrie 20:10
Zack Greinke LAN 4 1 5 9 7 COL Tyler Chatwood 20:10
CC Sabathia NYA 7 4 4 2 1 MIN P.J. Walters 20:10
Rob. Hernandez TB 7 10 5 2 3 HOU Bud Norris 20:10
Matt Garza CHN 5 5 5 6 5 OAK Bartolo Colon 22:05
Shelby Miller STL 10 4 7 6 5 LAA Jerome Williams 22:05

To learn how Pitcher and Team NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.



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Caveman Jones
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Caveman Jones

FYI, while correctly noted in this leaderboard as 19, Sergio Gomez’ player page lists his birthday as being in 1983 instead of 1993.

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