Daily Notes: Seriously, the Cardinals Offense

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of Daily Notes.

1. Featured Game: St. Louis at Los Angeles NL, 22:10 ET
2. Other Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Featured Game: St. Louis at Los Angeles NL, 22:10 ET
Status Update: St. Louis Offense
As of Friday, St. Louis continued to lead the majors both in batter WAR (13.3) and wRC+ (128).

Other Status Update: St. Louis Offense
On Friday, St. Louis scored four runs through the first three innings* of their game against Ted Lilly and the Dodgers (although, as their .322 wOBA through those first three innings indicates, it wasn’t necessarily a dominant performance early on).

*At which point, the author, who shares a great deal in common with America’s geriatric population, made his way bedward.

A Hypothetical Cardinals Lineup
Below is a hypothetical — perhaps even likely — lineup for the Cardinals tonight. (Note: WAR/600 is WAR per 600 plate appearances so far this season.)

Num Name POS PA BABIP wRC+ WAR WAR/600
1 Rafael Furcal SS 167 .400 166 2.2 7.9
2 Tyler Greene 2B 76 .295 118 0.3 2.4
3 Matt Holliday LF 170 .283 124 1.5 5.3
4 Carlos Beltran RF 146 .299 188 2.0 8.2
5 Lance Berkman 1B 47 .433 155 0.4 5.1
6 David Freese 3B 146 .315 135 1.3 5.3
7 Yadier Molina C 140 .303 147 1.8 7.7
8 Shane Robinson CF 56 .333 91 0.6 6.4
Average 118.5 1.3 6.4

Of Note Regarding That Lineup
Of note regarding that hypothetical — perhaps even likely — lineup is that the batters in it have averaged 6.4 WAR per 600 plate appearances so far this season, which would be an MVP-worthy season from an individual.

Regarding If You Replace Beltran with Craig
If you replace the semi-injured Carlos Beltran in that lineup with Allen Craig, the team’s average production drops… all the way to 6.3 WAR per 600 plate appearances.

Starting Pitchers
Cardinals right-hander Jake Westbrook (46.0 IP, 91 xFIP-, 0.9 WAR) faces Dodger lefty Clayton Kershaw (52.2 IP, 84 xFIP-, 1.1 WAR).

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast
FanGraphs readers prefer Dodgers Television (link).

Other Notable Games
New York NL at Toronto | 13:07 ET ***MLB.TV Free Game***
In a discussion of Defensive Run Efficiency at The Book blog on Thursday, Tom Tango found that Toronto leads the league so far this season in converting balls in play to outs (link). As for the Mets, they’re 28th-best at that.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: New York NL Television.

Pittsburgh at Detroit | 16:05 ET
With the exception of one decidedly miserable start on May 2nd at St. Louis, during which he conceded 12 runs in just 2.2 innings, A.J. Burnett has been excellent so far as a Pirate. Line: 31.2 IP, 23.3% K, 5.3% BB, 54.8% GB, 2.73 SIERA, 72 xFIP-, 0.7 WAR.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Detroit Radio.

Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 5.3.

Regard, a magnificent and sortable table:

Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Homer Bailey CIN 5 4 6 6 7 NYA Ivan Nova 13:05
Miguel Batista* NYN 1 2 4 6 6 TOR Brandon Morrow 13:07
Anibal Sanchez MIA 8 4 5 4 3 CLE Jeanmar Gomez 16:05
Tyson Ross OAK 4 4 3 4 1 SF Ryan Vogelsong 16:05
A.J. Burnett PIT 10 1 7 2 7 DET Drew Smyly 16:05
Randall Delgado ATL 5 8 6 7 7 TB Alex Cobb* 16:10
Carl Pavano MIN 3 2 4 5 4 MIL Yovani Gallardo 16:10
Jason Vargas SEA 3 3 6 7 10 COL Christ. Friedrich* 16:10
Ian Kennedy AZ 5 5 5 6 5 KC Bruce Chen 19:15
Jason Hammel BAL 8 6 7 4 6 WAS Ross Detwiler 19:15
Jon Lester BOS 4 6 5 4 6 PHI Joe Blanton 19:15
John Danks CHA 1 4 4 3 8 CHN Ryan Dempster 19:15
Derek Holland TEX 6 10 5 6 2 HOU Lucas Harrell 19:15
Dan Haren LAA 6 2 4 5 3 SD Eric Stults* 22:05
Jake Westbrook STL 6 10 8 6 9 LAN Clayton Kershaw 22:10

To learn more about Pitcher and Team NERD scores click here.
To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.



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Mr. Wisdom I am Not
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Mr. Wisdom I am Not

So where are all those people who think the Cards aren’t due for huge regression??

mattybobo
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mattybobo

I only found one man so far who made that claim, and it turns out he was made of straw.

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