Daily Notes: Sunday’s Games, Considered for Your Pleasure

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Today’s Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
2. Today’s Notable Minor-League Games
3. Today’s Game Odds, Translated into Winning Percentages

Today’s Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
Oakland at Tampa Bay | 13:40 ET ***MLB.TV Free Game***
Tommy Milone (18.2 IP, 97 xFIP-) faces Roberto Hernandez (18.2 IP, 92 xFIP-). Regarding the latter: he’s posted a 21.2% strikeout rate and 10.6% swinging-strike rate thus far, both figures considerably better than his previously established levels. A brief inspection of his PITCHf/x data reveals that, rather than having demonstrated improvement with any one pitch, that all of Hernandez’s pitches are currently eliciting more whiffs than in 2011, for example, when he last pitched significant innings.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Tampa Bay Radio.

Kansas City at Boston | 19:10 ET
Right-handed prospect Allen Webster, acquired last season from the Dodgers in that one trade, makes his major-league debut for the Red Sox. Here’s where Webster ranked on Marc Hulet’s preseason top-100 list: 55th. And on Baseball America’s top-100 prospect list: 49th. And on Bullpen Banter’s same kind of list: 93rd. Mike Newman has seen Webster a couple of times, noting both that (a) Webster is capable of “working full innings at 94-96 mph, touching 98” but also that (b) “Webster’s stuff has fallen off a cliff” after four innings each time.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Boston Radio or Television.

Today’s Notable Minor-League Games
Click here for entire MiLB.TV schedule on just one page.

Louisville (Reds) at Indianapolis (Pirates) | 13:35 ET
Former No. 1 draft pick and right-handed pitcher Gerrit Cole starts for Indianapolis. Here’s where Marc Hulet ranked Cole among all of baseball’s prospect: fifth. And here’s where Baseball America did: seventh. And Bullpen Banter: fifth. Also likely to appear in this game: the very fast Billy Hamilton.

Broadcast: MiLB.TV.

Reno (Diamondbacks) at Sacramento (Athletics) | 20:05 ET
In what is being described as a “a feast for all six senses” by the present author, right now, sitting at his desk, right-hander (and inaugural member of The Fringe Five) Chase Anderson faces Dan Straily, who is also great and will suffice. Also likely to be seen: Oakland outfield prospect Michael Choice and Arizona third-base prospect Matt Davidson.

Broadcast: MiLB.TV.

Today’s Game Odds, Translated into Winning Percentages
Note: the very proprietary and also critically acclaimed NERD game scores will become available again at the end of April/beginning of May.

Here — for purposes entirely of entertainment and not for gambling, which is a Scourge of Propriety — are all of today’s games with moneyline odds (from relatively “sharp” sportsbook Pinnacle Sports) translated into projected winning percentages (and adjusted to account for the vigorish).

Games are listed in Eastern Time, and presented as they appear at Pinnacle — which appears to be in order of (a) National League and then (b) American League and, finally, then (c) interleague play.

Game Teams Starters IP xFIP- —– Line Win%
13:10 Washington Nationals Jordan Zimmermann 22.0 92 | 1.73 56.8%
ET New York Mets Dillon Gee 14.0 137 | 2.27 43.2%
|
13:10 Miami Marlins Alex Sanabia 17.0 134 | 3.19 30.8%
ET Cincinnati Reds Homer Bailey 19.0 93 | 1.42 69.2%
|
13:35 Atlanta Braves Kris Medlen 19.0 117 | 1.60 61.4%
ET Pittsburgh Pirates Jonathan Sanchez 8.1 141 | 2.54 38.6%
|
14:10 Chicago Cubs Scott Feldman 9.0 169 | 2.21 44.4%
ET Milwaukee Brewers Wily Peralta 16.0 101 | 1.76 55.6%
|
16:05 San Diego Padres Eric Stults 16.0 86 | 2.28 43.0%
ET San Francisco Giants Barry Zito 16.2 119 | 1.72 57.0%
|
16:10 Arizona Diamondbacks Brandon McCarthy 15.2 99 | 2.17 45.2%
ET Colorado Rockies Juan Nicasio 16.0 138 | 1.79 54.8%
|
20:05 St. Louis Cardinals Jake Westbrook 15.2 141 | 1.87 52.4%
ET Philadelphia Phillies Kyle Kendrick 18.2 95 | 2.06 47.6%
|
13:05 New York Yankees Ivan Nova 9.2 79 | 2.32 42.3%
ET Toronto Blue Jays Josh Johnson 14.1 99 | 1.70 57.7%
|
13:35 G1 Kansas City Royals Ervin Santana 22.0 93 | 2.36 41.5%
ET G1 Boston Red Sox Ryan Dempster 17.0 66 | 1.68 58.5%
|
13:40 Oakland Athletics Tommy Milone 18.2 97 | 1.86 52.6%
ET Tampa Bay Rays Roberto Hernandez 18.2 92 | 2.07 47.4%
|
14:10 Cleveland Indians Ubaldo Jimenez 12.0 124 | 1.86 52.6%
ET Houston Astros Erik Bedard 7.2 136 | 2.07 47.4%
|
14:10 Minnesota Twins Scott Diamond 4.1 121 | 2.27 43.2%
ET Chicago White Sox Gavin Floyd 15.2 79 | 1.73 56.8%
|
15:05 Seattle Mariners Aaron Harang 5.0 86 | 2.51 39.1%
ET Texas Rangers Justin Grimm 4.0 133 | 1.61 60.9%
|
15:35 Detroit Tigers Doug Fister 20.0 102 | 1.98 49.5%
ET LAA Angels C.J. Wilson 18.0 120 | 1.94 50.5%
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13:35 Los Angeles Dodgers Stephen Fife N/A N/A | 2.15 45.6%
ET Baltimore Orioles Jake Arrieta 15.0 124 | 1.80 54.4%
|
19:10 G2 Kansas City Royals Jeremy Guthrie 19.2 85 | 2.29 42.8%
ET G2 Boston Red Sox Allen Webster N/A N/A | 1.71 57.2%


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Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted
Maggie
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Maggie
3 years 1 month ago

It should be noted, lest the casual reader be deceived, that the game between the Blue Jays and the Yankees actually starts at 13:07, NOT 13:05, as advertised on these pages.

Glomp
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Glomp
3 years 1 month ago

No mention of Anthony Rendon’s debut? Maybe I’m being a homer but I feel like that’s pretty significant news

Ryan Zimmerman
Guest
Ryan Zimmerman
3 years 1 month ago

Nope, dude sucks. Nothing worth mentioning. Terrible, just terrible.

Well-Beered Englishman
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Well-Beered Englishman
3 years 1 month ago

As a Rice graduate, I’m excited.

conorjay
Member
conorjay
3 years 1 month ago

What’s the “Readers’ Preferred Broadcast” metric based off? TV contract money, ie. Red Sox ($60M) v. Royals ($6k). Don’t quote me on those numbers.

Anon
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Dan Rosart
Guest
Dan Rosart
3 years 1 month ago

Bear in mind, the radio score for Toronto was earned with Alan Ashby as the analyst. The current analyst is Jack Morris. I’m pretty sure that would drag down the score, but probably not below Tabler/Martinez on the TV side.

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